Curt Doolittle

Theme: AI

  • “The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed.” – William Gibson (south af

    “The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed.” – William Gibson (south africa) (via James Santagata)

  • “The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed.” – William Gibson (south af

    “The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed.” – William Gibson

    (south africa)

    (via James Santagata)

    Source date (UTC): 2018-03-03 21:35:00 UTC

  • “The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is go

    –“The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is going to be multibillion. Always on, looking at all of the set-and-forget influencing and nuding variables (scarcity, commitment, etc.) along with more direct persuasion + economics calculating the Economic Value of decisions, in short, mid and long term. That is what I am banking on and building towards in the long term road map. Analog, semi-digital tools today, to full digital to cognitive to ai…..and all the gaming in between. False takeways, raising and lower buying temperature and so on.”— James Santagata

  • “The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is go

    –“The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is going to be multibillion. Always on, looking at all of the set-and-forget influencing and nuding variables (scarcity, commitment, etc.) along with more direct persuasion + economics calculating the Economic Value of decisions, in short, mid and long term. That is what I am banking on and building towards in the long term road map. Analog, semi-digital tools today, to full digital to cognitive to ai…..and all the gaming in between. False takeways, raising and lower buying temperature and so on.”— James Santagata

  • “The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is go

    –“The market for AI agent Advanced Persistent Threat detection and handling is going to be multibillion. Always on, looking at all of the set-and-forget influencing and nuding variables (scarcity, commitment, etc.) along with more direct persuasion + economics calculating the Economic Value of decisions, in short, mid and long term. That is what I am banking on and building towards in the long term road map. Analog, semi-digital tools today, to full digital to cognitive to ai…..and all the gaming in between. False takeways, raising and lower buying temperature and so on.”— James Santagata

    Source date (UTC): 2018-03-01 21:04:00 UTC

  • (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution) I think the more operati

    (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution) I think the more operational answer is that all AI’s will be able to do is drastically reduce informational asymmetries, and predict reactions to them out to the first or second order. Just as money, accounting, and now digital accounting have drastically reduced asymmetries of information. However, people will also develop AI’s to outwit such AI’s for competitive advantage, and Human beings will seek Virtue Signals (Status signals) to outwit those predictions for social advantage. The principle example being fashion, which while cyclical is driven by technological innovation with a surprisingly small number of variables. We keep discussing AI in the context of a monopoly like the government without considering that Ai’s will seek to outwit AI’s just as traders and digital trading seek to outwit each other today. I don’t think AI’s are as much of a problem as finding a way to organize society when all the multiples of any meanning, require vast capital expenditures limited to very few. So just as the stock market provides a credit advantage that often defeats more meritocratic (and quality) advances, so will artificial intelligence. Conversely, it is far easier to starve machines of information than it is people. And while human organizations of all scales can degrade somewhat gracefully except in rare circumstances, mechanical networks degrade quickly. Just as we are one war away from ending the era of navies, we are one major conflict away from ending our over conficence in the instantaneous delivery of energy, and the unwise luxury of such velocity that we have only three hours of power, three days of water, and one week of food in ‘storage’.

  • (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution) I think the more operati

    (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution) I think the more operational answer is that all AI’s will be able to do is drastically reduce informational asymmetries, and predict reactions to them out to the first or second order. Just as money, accounting, and now digital accounting have drastically reduced asymmetries of information. However, people will also develop AI’s to outwit such AI’s for competitive advantage, and Human beings will seek Virtue Signals (Status signals) to outwit those predictions for social advantage. The principle example being fashion, which while cyclical is driven by technological innovation with a surprisingly small number of variables. We keep discussing AI in the context of a monopoly like the government without considering that Ai’s will seek to outwit AI’s just as traders and digital trading seek to outwit each other today. I don’t think AI’s are as much of a problem as finding a way to organize society when all the multiples of any meanning, require vast capital expenditures limited to very few. So just as the stock market provides a credit advantage that often defeats more meritocratic (and quality) advances, so will artificial intelligence. Conversely, it is far easier to starve machines of information than it is people. And while human organizations of all scales can degrade somewhat gracefully except in rare circumstances, mechanical networks degrade quickly. Just as we are one war away from ending the era of navies, we are one major conflict away from ending our over conficence in the instantaneous delivery of energy, and the unwise luxury of such velocity that we have only three hours of power, three days of water, and one week of food in ‘storage’.

  • (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution) I think the more operati

    (from elsewhere, To Alex Tabarrok, marginal revolution)

    I think the more operational answer is that all AI’s will be able to do is drastically reduce informational asymmetries, and predict reactions to them out to the first or second order. Just as money, accounting, and now digital accounting have drastically reduced asymmetries of information. However, people will also develop AI’s to outwit such AI’s for competitive advantage, and Human beings will seek Virtue Signals (Status signals) to outwit those predictions for social advantage. The principle example being fashion, which while cyclical is driven by technological innovation with a surprisingly small number of variables.

    We keep discussing AI in the context of a monopoly like the government without considering that Ai’s will seek to outwit AI’s just as traders and digital trading seek to outwit each other today. I don’t think AI’s are as much of a problem as finding a way to organize society when all the multiples of any meanning, require vast capital expenditures limited to very few. So just as the stock market provides a credit advantage that often defeats more meritocratic (and quality) advances, so will artificial intelligence. Conversely, it is far easier to starve machines of information than it is people. And while human organizations of all scales can degrade somewhat gracefully except in rare circumstances, mechanical networks degrade quickly.

    Just as we are one war away from ending the era of navies, we are one major conflict away from ending our over conficence in the instantaneous delivery of energy, and the unwise luxury of such velocity that we have only three hours of power, three days of water, and one week of food in ‘storage’.

    Source date (UTC): 2018-03-01 12:22:00 UTC

  • What Are Some Unnamed Foreign Intelligence Agency? How Would A Tech Company In The United States Arrange A Meeting With Them? Why?

    It doesn’t work like that. You don’t contact intelligence agencies per se. That’s the most certain means of being ignored. (Darpa is an exception.) You write technical papers. You submit articles to think tanks. You show up at intelligence related conferences and military trade shows. You hire a small PR firm to spread the information around. But you establish relationships.

    Remember that there are people posing as you for counter intelligence or intelligence purposes, and lunatics of every stripe – it is hard to identify an opportunity that isn’t a land mine.

    “To catch a mouse, make a noise like cheese.”

    • Talk about what you do.
    • Talk about the benefit to those organizations.
    • Make it easy to be found.

    The international community largely works through Think Tank networks at the higher end, and academic networks at the lower end.

    Think tanks generally have access. They provide brokering services for both sides. And they do that because they are the most informed parties on both sides.

    Some think tanks are also government fronts. (I won’t name names.)

    (I have, in the past, offered to pay for ‘research’ on the viability of x in y government. It’s actually incredibly cheap. My favorite quote: “You can hire our entire team for a summer for pocket change”. Conversely You wouldn’t believe some of the things i have been asked to do. )

    (fwiw – This is how the Russians are so effective for so little money)

    https://www.quora.com/What-are-some-unnamed-foreign-intelligence-agency-How-would-a-tech-company-in-the-United-States-arrange-a-meeting-with-them-Why

  • What Are Some Unnamed Foreign Intelligence Agency? How Would A Tech Company In The United States Arrange A Meeting With Them? Why?

    It doesn’t work like that. You don’t contact intelligence agencies per se. That’s the most certain means of being ignored. (Darpa is an exception.) You write technical papers. You submit articles to think tanks. You show up at intelligence related conferences and military trade shows. You hire a small PR firm to spread the information around. But you establish relationships.

    Remember that there are people posing as you for counter intelligence or intelligence purposes, and lunatics of every stripe – it is hard to identify an opportunity that isn’t a land mine.

    “To catch a mouse, make a noise like cheese.”

    • Talk about what you do.
    • Talk about the benefit to those organizations.
    • Make it easy to be found.

    The international community largely works through Think Tank networks at the higher end, and academic networks at the lower end.

    Think tanks generally have access. They provide brokering services for both sides. And they do that because they are the most informed parties on both sides.

    Some think tanks are also government fronts. (I won’t name names.)

    (I have, in the past, offered to pay for ‘research’ on the viability of x in y government. It’s actually incredibly cheap. My favorite quote: “You can hire our entire team for a summer for pocket change”. Conversely You wouldn’t believe some of the things i have been asked to do. )

    (fwiw – This is how the Russians are so effective for so little money)

    https://www.quora.com/What-are-some-unnamed-foreign-intelligence-agency-How-would-a-tech-company-in-the-United-States-arrange-a-meeting-with-them-Why