Source: Facebook

  • CORRUPTION DOESN”T GREASE THE WHEELS. IT”S RUST. —Whether demands for bribes f

    http://wber.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2015/05/12/wber.lhv001.abstractNO. CORRUPTION DOESN”T GREASE THE WHEELS. IT”S RUST.

    —Whether demands for bribes for particular government services are associated with expedited or delayed policy implementation underlies debates around the role of corruption in private sector development. The “grease the wheels” hypothesis, which contends that bribes act as speed money, implies three testable predictions. First, on average, bribe requests should be negatively correlated with wait times. Second, this relationship should vary across firms, with those with the highest opportunity cost of waiting being more likely to pay and facing shorter delays. Third, the role of grease should vary across countries, with benefits larger where regulatory burdens are greatest. The data are inconsistent with all three predictions. According to the preferred specifications, ceteris paribus, firms confronted with demands for bribes take approximately 1.5 times longer to get a construction permit, operating license, or electrical connection than firms that did not have to pay bribes and, respectively, 1.2 and 1.4 times longer to clear customs when exporting and importing. The results are robust to controlling for firm fixed effects and at odds with the notion that corruption enhances efficiency.—


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 21:27:00 UTC

  • UPPER CLASS INSIGHTS

    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/17/opinion/sunday/poor-little-rich-women.htmlAMERICAN UPPER CLASS INSIGHTS


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 21:23:00 UTC

  • LEFTISTS ARE IGNORANT —“Never, in all my years of leftist activism, did I ever

    LEFTISTS ARE IGNORANT

    —“Never, in all my years of leftist activism, did I ever hear anyone articulate accurately the position of anyone to our right. In fact, I did not even know those positions when I was a leftist.”— Danusha Goska, in American Thinker


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 09:12:00 UTC

  • “Evidence will be presented to demonstrate that Proto-Indo-European is the resul

    —“Evidence will be presented to demonstrate that Proto-Indo-European is the result of the imposition of a Eurasiatic language on a population speaking one or more primordial Northwest Caucasian languages.”—

    Language is a Technology


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 07:30:00 UTC

  • Riffing off Don’s post on Musk. How can I construct a business that is profitabl

    Riffing off Don’s post on Musk.

    How can I construct a business that is profitable enough to pay my employees a twenty percent premium wage in a tribal work environment?

    Loyalty must be reciprocal. And it’s the only emotion I really understand anyway.

    I get juice out of making good jobs and happy customers. And honestly I care about wealth only in so far as it makes that possible while allowing me my intellectual freedom.

    (unfortunately, because of the advisory and pedagogical way that I manage, over time, my partners seem to have the habit of thinking they can do what I do. And they always fail. )

    My happiest memories in business are the big holiday parties. That’s the fruit of my labor.

    We all operate by different biases.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 05:07:00 UTC

  • (emotionally satisfying rant of the day) —“Imagine if Obama were just as TOUGH

    (emotionally satisfying rant of the day)

    —“Imagine if Obama were just as TOUGH on ISIS Muslim savages as he is on lawful gun owners, and high income earners.”—–

    Some nonsense that ends up in my inbox is still entertaining. 🙂


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-19 04:31:00 UTC

  • JUSTIFICATION OF MAINSTREAM MACRO BY CREATIVE DEFINITION (I am on a roll today)

    http://crookedtimber.org/2015/05/18/the-political-is-personal/IMMORAL JUSTIFICATION OF MAINSTREAM MACRO BY CREATIVE DEFINITION

    (I am on a roll today)

    John,

    This might come across as offensive, but we all have jobs to do in defense and preservation of the informational commons, and this is mine.

    1) Fascism was a ‘good’. A necessary means of combating communism. Persisting in the denigration of authors who supported it is merely conflating a utility in time of stress with a truth of social science. Fascism was a good. By any measure.

    2) Hayek completed his journey by correctly identifying the common law as the source of liberty, which is how he perceived western exceptionalism. Most of his work an be seen as a series of investigations in various fields into solving the problem of the social sciences. It took him most of his life but he got there. Prior works can only be seen in this light. Most of his work is partly correct. His movement across fields is evidence that he ran into dead ends in all of them.

    3) The jury is out on social democracy, and at present, despite the rather obvious self interest of the state and academy, those of us who work the subject are fairly certain that democracy is little more than a temporary luxury for the redistribution of a civilizations windfall, rather than a system that constructs liberty and prosperity.

    4) Mises failed to solve the problem of economics because he failed, like everyone else in his generation, to solve the problem of operationalism. (Mises:economics, Brouwer:math, Hayek:Law, Bridgman:physics. And countless others in philosophy.) Everyone failed.

    They failed, and Hayek’s prediction that the 20th century would be seen in retrospect as an era of mysticism appears to be true. He didn’t get it quite right, because pseudoscience and mysticism perform the same obscurantist functions differently. But it is becoming clear that the 20th century (macro included) will be seen as an era of pseudoscience, and most of us will be cast as fools because of it.

    Hayek is not to be disrespected for having failed if so many thinkers failed in every other field of human inquiry. I made this mistake myself by crucifying Mises for a time. They were men of their time. They could sense something was wrong, but they were not able to solve it. Strangely enough, Brouwer and Bridgman do so, but not thoroughly enough to grasp that the problem was material in morality, epistemology, law, economics, and politics. Helpful in physical science. and only tepidly meaningful in mathematics. Its both telling and interesting that psychology – a pseudoscientific field totally absent any empirical content – saved itself by adopting Operationalism – and in doing so produced all the innovative content that it has in just twenty years – nearly overturning the century of pseudoscience.

    Economics requires this reformation as well. Mises could sense but not construct it. In simple terms Keynesian macro is the the study of how much we can ‘lie’ in order to achieve a suspected good by increasing consumption despite the negative externalities for mankind by doing so. So objectively, mainstream macro is very much the study of immoral politics The operational view, and the moral study of economics (Austrian) is predicated on attempting to improve voluntary transfers so that all lying is eliminated from human cooperation.

    They were great minds working desperately hard against an existential threat to man. But they failed. That does not mean we have to.

    Neither does it mean that we should consider luxuries not of our own construction, as measures of our merit. They are not. If anything we merely consume twenty thousand years of western development in a century.

    So, economics is the study of human cooperation. We can perform that study toward immoral ends (dysgenia, consumption, and lying), or we can perform that study toward moral ends (eugenia, accumulation, and truth).

    There is only one ‘law’ of human cooperation: that is that the only moral criteria that one can imposed costs upon another, is by productive, fully informed, warrantied, voluntary exchange, free of negative externality. Under no other condition is cooperation rational. That single statement explains all moral biases.

    The purpose of economics is to complete the sequence of training the human mind to understand cause and effect at different levels of complexity. Perception(existence), counting(scale), arithmetic, mathematics(ratio), geometry(space), calculus(relative motion), economics(equilibria), relativity(frames).

    Only with this understanding can man understand and apply this general rule to human affairs such that we can calculate all worlds determined by an action, and choose between them. But only once we have determined the full circuit of consequences in each.

    Only with this understanding can man apply this general rule to human affairs so that we can use monetary prices to sense and compare complex phenomenon at a given point in time.

    Only with this understanding can we make policy decisions that allow us to justify takings and givings as producing a common good.

    But only if we include all costs: Genetic, Territorial, Institutional, Normative, Pedagogical (Knowledge), Material, can we say we have accounted for all costs.

    Otherwise, we are just engaged in an obscurant means of justifying our preferences.

    5) You (John) have an extremely Australian view of the world, and your definition of economics and your interpretation of what ‘economics is reducible to’ is a justification of that Australian view. That Australian view is, like that of the English, Canadian and Americans: a North Sea islander’s view: one who is insulated by the seas from the pressures common to territorial peoples. If your tradition and genetics originated in the steppe or the levant you would hold very different views.

    So it appears (obvious) that your perception is a cognitive bias that you are seeking to justify, not a scientific truth that describes necessary properties of human cooperation. It is terribly apparent to me (as I would assume it was to any intellectual historian) that you are confusing a luxury of circumstance with a ‘good’ that one should aspire to.

    So as far as I can tell your selected definition is one that justifies your conclusion. It’s creative accounting so to speak by selective ‘ben franklin’ accounting of costs and benefits.

    By carefully defining a preconception as a good, we can justify anything.

    And that is what your two laws do.

    6) The alternative argument I would like to put forward. “Every forced transfer, is a lost opportunity for mutually beneficial exchange.”

    We do need a means of constructing commons. Physical and institutional commons are a unique western competitive advantage, second only to our most valuable commons: truth-telling. But why is it that commons must be constructed monopolistically? Why is not government constructed to facilitate exchanges, rather commands?

    There isn’t an answer justifies that question that does not violate the only law of human cooperation: that cooperation must be rational.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-18 13:40:00 UTC

  • THE CHRISTIAN CONENT OF THE WEST? MOSTLY A BAD THING What’s the point of lamenti

    THE CHRISTIAN CONENT OF THE WEST? MOSTLY A BAD THING

    What’s the point of lamenting the fall of christianity? It’s an obscurant, irrelevant argument.

    Compare Mithraism vs Aristotelianism/Stoicism/CommonLaw vs Buddhism and it’s predecessor hinduism, vs christianity/islam/judaism and their predecessor Zoroastrianism.

    It’s pretty obvious that aristotelianism/stoicism/law are scientific and uniquely western systems of thought.

    As far as I can tell, Christianity is an appropriation of Mithraism in order to create a utopian cult-rebellion against rome. It’s fairly obvious as a student of religions to grasp that there is nothing novel in christianity that was not in Mithraism and practiced by countless legionnaires.

    It’s pretty obvious that the romans used genocide to wipe out the norther european religion of nature worship (druidism). Although we are slowly reconstructing a bit of at present from fragments.

    It’s pretty obvious that the political value of the church was in importing eastern despotism in order to decrease the cost of managing the crumbling and impoverished empire using propaganda.

    It’s pretty obvious that the church could not resist the greeks even after forcing closed the schools, and that it took a concerted effort via propaganda (like marxism) to impose propagandism on the west.

    It’s pretty obvious that Augustine tried to defend the eastern despotism by using obscurantism to incorporate the greek thought.

    It’s pretty obvious that this strategy failed and sent us into a thousand years of ignorance.

    It’s pretty obvious that the good produced by the church was accidental: banning cousin marriage and granting property rights to break up the tribes, and then using church crowning of kings as legitimacy, using conniving politics and literacy to both keep the people ignorant and control them.

    It’s pretty obvious that the enlightenment was caused by a reassertion of greek thought.

    It’s pretty obvious that the marxist era in response to darwin, was a second attempt at creating authoritarian mysticism, this time in the form of pseudoscience.

    It’s pretty obvious that the 20th century europeans failed (the operational revolution failed – although I think I can rescue it) to counter the pseudoscientific movement (Marx/Keynes and mainstream economists).

    I care about christianity only so far as I care about having a church/temple/school because I understand the value of performing ritual together and invoking the submission-to-the-pack response that most of us feel as revelation.

    We cannot go back into mysticism. Albeit we need a new religion to rescue us from neo-puritan-secualr-social-democracy. But that religion must both provide ritual, and return us to truth/science/and reality, which is the unique western tradition, and the origin of our competitive against the other civilizations with whom we compete.

    Christianity was a bad implementation of mithraism. And it was a bad thing compared to stoicism and aristotelianism and law. I am not sure precisely what form that new religion must take (although I know parts of it) but it will not by a return to ignorance and mysticism.

    Curt Doolittle


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-18 12:33:00 UTC

  • AUTOCRATIC GOVERNMENTS SEEK RENTS SOCIETIES CAN NEVER DEVELOP. —“|Peter Boettk

    http://www.coordinationproblem.org/2015/05/there-is-no-magic-bullet-in-development.htmlIF AUTOCRATIC GOVERNMENTS SEEK RENTS SOCIETIES CAN NEVER DEVELOP.

    —“|Peter Boettke|

    That is what Marshall Poe concludes as the punch line for Robin Grier and Jerry Hough’s The Long Process of Development. As he puts it, development in the Grier and Hough story is about style of governance and the passage of time:

    If autocratic governments do nothing but take rents, the societies they rule will not develop, not ever, no matter how long or hard the governments try to development them. If they are even semi-popular and pro-trade, they will develop, though it will take a very, very long time. There’s no magic bullet. You can’t simply import democracy and capitalism and hope for a rapid transition to freedom and prosperity.

    The process of development takes centuries.”—

    ( Ayelam Valentine Agaliba )


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-18 11:33:00 UTC

  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb (re: violence) I’d like to add an economist’s point of vie

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    (re: violence)

    I’d like to add an economist’s point of view: that the use of the term ‘violence’ is obscurant. (In my lexicon that is equivalent to pseudoscientific).

    Humans engage in a vast spectrum of parasitism whenever possible, and in production only when easy or necessary. Parasitism can be performed by violence, theft, fraud, fraud by omission, fraud by obscurantism, imposed cost by indirection, free riding, privatization of commons, socialization of losses, conspiracy to extort, by normative conversion, by immigration, asymmetric reproduction, conquest, and genocide.

    Conversely, mutually beneficial, productive, warrantied, fully informed, cooperation by voluntary exchange is, by contrast, a very narrow field of human activity in a vast spectrum of parasitism.

    Over the centuries we have increasingly abstracted assets (that which we seek to consume by parasitism), from the physical to, fragments of a value chain, to mere numerical promises (accounts), so that violence is almost useless as a means of obtaining wealth. However, the volume of predation and parasitism performed by violence, is currently performed by various forms of pseudo-scientific and pseudo-moral fraud instead of violence.

    But the parasitism remains.

    Humans are open to coercion by only three technologies: Gossip(religion and morality), remuneration(trade, credit, tax and redistribution), or threat of violence(law,military). Although at any times some people specialize in some axis of coercion (public intellectuals:gossip, government:violence, corporations:purchasing influence.)

    So if we have exchanged parasitism via violence, for parasitism via pseudoscientific fraud (which is one aspect of what I believe you are investigating), then the form of parasitism has changed, but not the parasitism itself.

    We might argue that some form of parasitic equilibrium is actually some sort of Pareto optimum. But that is very different from saying that parasitism no longer exists, or has decreased.

    So as far as I am able to tell, net change in parasitism is zero, or perhaps as some people argue, we have seen a dramatic increase. It is just that we have created sufficient technology that our parasitism by pseudoscience does not injure production as much as parasitism by violence does.

    Furthermore, all the great syntopical historians have, as far as I know, come to the same conclusion: that since 1945, the Pax Americana is only paralleled by the Pax Romana.

    I argue rather frequently (as do many historians) that all economic measures since 1600 are little more than the reflection of the distribution of consumer capitalism, accounting, and rule of law around the world at the point of British gunships.

    So to address violence instead of parasitism, is to blind one’s self to the rest of the spectrum of human criminality in order to congratulate one’s self on having invented a more effective form of crime.

    Affections.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-18 11:23:00 UTC