Curt Doolittle

Form: Short Note

  • (Beauty) YT PPL STUFF

    (Beauty)
    YT PPL STUFF

    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-02 00:58:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006892904611242300

  • We thought the hundred years war was bad. But it turns out that the two century

    We thought the hundred years war was bad. But it turns out that the two century war to end agrarian empires and convert (evolve) the world to industrial technological nation states free of previous wars hasn’t been completed. Why? The anglos are european and presume settlement and mutual adaptation and reconciliation. This is a distinctly european behavior of small states dependent upon trustworthy alliances projected on ancestral empires dependent upon trustless control that populate the rest of the world.
    Russia is dying. Iran is closing on restoration of its heritage. China’s communist party prevented the fragmentation and conversion of china into it’s natural nine or more nations. But china has, we think, burned it’s population.
    From my perspective we are in an endurance race to see which demographic population can restore its birth rates, and create a homoegenous enough politiy to possess shared strategy, values and culture to survive.
    It is quite possible nobody wins.
    And a dark age follows.
    It’s happened repeatedly before.
    Bronze age middle east, Iron Age Rome, Middle age India, Modern Age China.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-31 19:04:53 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006441447294406830

  • (NLI) I would put our core team up against any other existing think tank. Easily

    (NLI)
    I would put our core team up against any other existing think tank. Easily. The difference: our team isn’t interested in attention. They’re interested in a better world. We are not a pretentious group of people. It’s yeoman’s labor. The hard problem: we are so far ahead that bridging the gap with any other group produces the substantive challenge – not our arguments.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 21:42:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006118808923300001

  • (Worth Repeating) Most people who encounter my work do not know the context in w

    (Worth Repeating)
    Most people who encounter my work do not know the context in which I work, which is to attempt to use truth however uncomfortable to get us to reform our priors such that we can cooperate with less friction and less conflict at greater scale for greater returns. Unfortunately this requires we often slay our sacred cows – which may be elements of our group strategy that are inconsistent with that broader goal. Europeans have become better at this reform than others but the world does seem to slowly move in this direction – because it must.
    Cheers

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-27 19:26:28 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004997327736766821

  • NOTE FOR ALL: There is a relationship between culture and genome that is self-re

    NOTE FOR ALL: There is a relationship between culture and genome that is self-reinforcing, but mostly in the direction of neotenic evolution (domestication syndrome). So the [R1b > R1a > I] cline have been co-evolving for millennia – at least since the end of the ice age.
    We might argue that genome is just a proxy for civilization because civilizations reflect the demands of their genetic distributions, and the primary axis of genetic distribution in both sexual rate and depth of maturity, sexual dimorphism, temperament (personality) and intelligence.
    But all that would mean is that it’s the distribution of the population under that culture evolved under that genome evolved under that degree of neotenic evolution, made possible by isolation and sub-speciation.
    This is the correct explanation of the correlation of integration possibility rather than purely attributing it to genetics.
    When we account for the entire sequence we see causal clarity and ends the criticism of reliance on genetic determinism.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 22:20:37 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003953988144930884

  • AN IMPORTANT THOUGHT Because our modeling of the world evolved from the physical

    AN IMPORTANT THOUGHT
    Because our modeling of the world evolved from the physical to the economic, we tend to think that’s a dependency. And instead, I might extend my argument by saying that for human reasoning, the physical world and how we think of it in cardinal indexing and measure by mathematical reduction is a subset of the economic world and we think of it in natural indexing and measure by satisfaction of supply and demand.
    It helps us humans a bit to grasp that all cardinality and ordinality is effectively a statistical game rather than the purity we presume in mathematical reasoning. And that naturality is effectively the neural equivalent of a statistical game (predictive) by dendritic computation that we can barely observe.
    I put all this ‘error’ in the category of ‘mathiness’ which is one of the principle traps in both physics, and philosophy, and possibly why philosophy stalled until we developed twenty first century cognitive science to escape the failure of the non-sciences.
    I hope this has some value to you.
    Curt Doolittle

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 21:49:12 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003946084604039502

  • Signaling Goods and Services (~30–40% of budget; real costs up 200–1,000% since

    Signaling Goods and Services (~30–40% of budget; real costs up 200–1,000% since 1960): These involve status competition, where “more” signals investment in a child’s future success (e.g., elite credentials). The “parenting arms race” has normalized extras, raising fertility barriers and inequality—e.g., extracurriculars now cost $3,000+/year on average, up from negligible in 1960. Much of the child care/education surge (from 2% to 16–18%) is signaling-driven.
    Advanced Child Care/Education (core driver): Private preschools, tutors, test prep, elite colleges—+1,175%; e.g., SAT coaching ($1,000+) or travel sports ($5,000/year) signal “ambitious parenting.” Public basics are sufficient; extras are positional.
    Enrichment/Extracurriculars (in Misc): Music lessons, camps, gadgets—+20% overall, but signaling subset up 300%+; e.g., competitive robotics vs. free playground time.
    Premium Housing: Homes in top school districts—part of housing’s stability, but signaling adds 20–50% premium ($50k+ over 18 years) for “good zip codes.”
    Specialty Health/Wellness: Elective therapies, orthodontics for aesthetics—subset of health’s +155%; signals health-conscious status.

    This split explains why costs feel “out of control” despite modest totals: signaling inflates via social norms, not just needs. For instance, fertility drops in high-inequality areas correlate more with relative costs (e.g., affording Ivy signals) than absolutes. To mitigate, policies like universal pre-K could compress the arms race. For personalized breakdowns, USDA’s tool at
    http://
    CNPP.usda.gov is useful.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 21:24:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003939970470567952

  • Untitled Media Post

    [No text content]

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:57:13 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003646112973095181

  • “Runcible is a change in the grammar of power: from “who persuades” to “who pass

    –“Runcible is a change in the grammar of power: from “who persuades” to “who passes a test and bears the cost.””–

    Today was a profound day in AI.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-21 17:25:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002792567013069232

  • Russia has already drained it’s stockpiles, is trying to rebuild it’s industry,

    Russia has already drained it’s stockpiles, is trying to rebuild it’s industry, but has a tiny economy to do it with.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-21 00:22:13 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002535039066865831