Form: Short Note

  • Cultural Differences in Negotiation Given Differences in Time Frame, Risk, Trust and Dominance Hierarchy

    I follow Cheney (specialists) for international negotiation, and then keep up with the research, but nothing has changed since I first started in the80’s other than indian and chinese awareness of american markets and styles. IMPORTANT: The west uses the OODA loop. that is our group strategy. Always has been. Initiative and manuever and speed. This is completely antithetical to every other civilization. Why? Because it requires a lot of trust, trustworthiness, weakens the hierarchy and localizes credit for success in the individual. We are the only people who see time as a risk. It took me a long time to ‘develop patience’ in negotiations. It took me longer to learn to build relationships rather than incentives – because it’s irrational. (to me) lol.

  • Constitution Status

    Mar 26, 2020, 6:37 PM The most important reformations in the constitution have to do with the law and rights. The rest of it decreases power distance as intended by the framers. Or the various political, economic, commercial, and educational reforms. If I keep at it for another few weeks I can get the constitution done enough for public debate. I just have to keep at it. And take a break just to do a course video. The topics are pretty much there. I find TINY holes still. But mostly I have to fill in topics and plug holes. Today I discovered a few holes: (a) didn’t handle the distinction between political disassociation for the production of commons, and political and territorial disassociation that would put the federation (empire) at risk. (b) that i didn’t define each of the markets in the ‘man’ (article 1) section. Now, the constitution is wrapped in a ‘book’. That book is a prosecution, judgement, and set of restitutions. The constitution is one of the restitutions. That will take longer. I should be able to get the constitution to edit-ready form during the crisis. The book is now ‘the big book’ because I have moved even the logics over into it. That has more holes. And unfortunately, I still can only work that hard a few hours a day without getting exhausted and having to work on something else.

  • Constitution Status

    Mar 26, 2020, 6:37 PM The most important reformations in the constitution have to do with the law and rights. The rest of it decreases power distance as intended by the framers. Or the various political, economic, commercial, and educational reforms. If I keep at it for another few weeks I can get the constitution done enough for public debate. I just have to keep at it. And take a break just to do a course video. The topics are pretty much there. I find TINY holes still. But mostly I have to fill in topics and plug holes. Today I discovered a few holes: (a) didn’t handle the distinction between political disassociation for the production of commons, and political and territorial disassociation that would put the federation (empire) at risk. (b) that i didn’t define each of the markets in the ‘man’ (article 1) section. Now, the constitution is wrapped in a ‘book’. That book is a prosecution, judgement, and set of restitutions. The constitution is one of the restitutions. That will take longer. I should be able to get the constitution to edit-ready form during the crisis. The book is now ‘the big book’ because I have moved even the logics over into it. That has more holes. And unfortunately, I still can only work that hard a few hours a day without getting exhausted and having to work on something else.

  • Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:32 AM

    Ok. So using civilizational development, demographic, generational, technological, and business cycles I’ve been within a month or two of every major correction (opportunity exhaustion) since I started working (except china). Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

  • Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:32 AM

    Ok. So using civilizational development, demographic, generational, technological, and business cycles I’ve been within a month or two of every major correction (opportunity exhaustion) since I started working (except china). Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

  • Simple Rules Exist

    Mar 29, 2020, 5:24 PM

    I mean you have ‘act in imitation of jesus’ that’s as simple as it gets. You have the silver rule, and the golden rule second. You have reciprocity within the limits of proportionality third. After that you’re into supply and demand curves, and sorry, there is no dummies version.

  • Simple Rules Exist

    Mar 29, 2020, 5:24 PM

    I mean you have ‘act in imitation of jesus’ that’s as simple as it gets. You have the silver rule, and the golden rule second. You have reciprocity within the limits of proportionality third. After that you’re into supply and demand curves, and sorry, there is no dummies version.

  • How About Checks and Balances at The Top??

    Mar 31, 2020, 10:40 PM First, there is very little federal government left. It consists almost exclusively of the military and treasury plus the insurer function of the treasury. The states are more like european states except that they share a military. (a) Monarchs are superior to presidents and prime ministers, prime ministers are superior to presidents, hired CEO’s are superior to prime ministers. Competing contractors are superior to bureaucracies. So Governors > Senate > Executives (Professional Cabinet) > Bureaucracies (Minimum) > Firms (maximum) (b) The checks and balances rely more on court (suits) against individuals and groups than on votes. After courts, then approval of federal appropriations. Appropriations are not pooled so they are more like payment plans. So there is no discretionary use of these fees. After that we have votes for our governors. Our governors (and governments) appoint senators. The only significant improvement would be an hereditary monarchy to overrule if something gets out of hand (think the present queen of England with more likely exercise of power.) The french really ruined government. The english had it right. Our experiment didn’t work as well as our enumerated rights in the constitution. So the P-constitutional amendments further enumerate rights and shift from the french vision of government back to the British. (classes).

  • How About Checks and Balances at The Top??

    Mar 31, 2020, 10:40 PM First, there is very little federal government left. It consists almost exclusively of the military and treasury plus the insurer function of the treasury. The states are more like european states except that they share a military. (a) Monarchs are superior to presidents and prime ministers, prime ministers are superior to presidents, hired CEO’s are superior to prime ministers. Competing contractors are superior to bureaucracies. So Governors > Senate > Executives (Professional Cabinet) > Bureaucracies (Minimum) > Firms (maximum) (b) The checks and balances rely more on court (suits) against individuals and groups than on votes. After courts, then approval of federal appropriations. Appropriations are not pooled so they are more like payment plans. So there is no discretionary use of these fees. After that we have votes for our governors. Our governors (and governments) appoint senators. The only significant improvement would be an hereditary monarchy to overrule if something gets out of hand (think the present queen of England with more likely exercise of power.) The french really ruined government. The english had it right. Our experiment didn’t work as well as our enumerated rights in the constitution. So the P-constitutional amendments further enumerate rights and shift from the french vision of government back to the British. (classes).

  • Flattening the curve saves the medical system from overloading. It means margina

    Flattening the curve saves the medical system from overloading. It means marginal cases might not die due to equipment shortages. It doesn’t mean that the frail and elderly won’t die soon. Nor does it mean the coming pain from shutting down the world won’t be a greater suffering.


    Source date (UTC): 2020-05-23 11:40:23 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1264159237267226625

    Reply addressees: @Quillette

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1264157376980148225