Form: Quote Commentary

  • CRASH I’d originally predicted that the China bubble would pop over Christmas of

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/19/opinion/krugman-will-china-break.htmlCHINA CRASH

    I’d originally predicted that the China bubble would pop over Christmas of 2010 — a year ago now — based upon the relationship between prices, inventory and incomes. I’m not sure I was wrong about when it popped, even if it’s taking a long time to become visible. But It’s certainly happening right now. In 50 of 70 Cities prices are in free fall. What I don’t know, is how their economy will ‘recalculate’ prices and actions. Totalitarians are great at spending money, but now people are schooled, trained, invested, and habituated to a future that can’t exist. Recalculating a new future is going to be expensive and likely painful for them, as much as it has been for us.

    2012 will be a very, very, interesting year. It’s the 1870’s and the 1930’s all over again. And we’re finally seeing the big guns in economics calling this a DEPRESSION. Finally.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-19 08:58:00 UTC

  • AS THE ACOLYTES OF TOTALITARIANISM “Once people decided that they wanted to make

    http://www.capitalismv3.com/index.php/glossary/#schumpeterian%20intellectualsECONOMISTS AS THE ACOLYTES OF TOTALITARIANISM

    “Once people decided that they wanted to make a living from giving economic advice, they needed customers. The government was the obvious target. The new class of professional economists said that politicians could spend the taxpayer’s money willy-nilly, even on total waste. And, that all their remaining economic problems could be solved, without cost or effort, by monetary manipulation, in time for the next election. This proved to be a big seller, and it remains so today.” (- Courtesy of Forbes)

    See: Schumpeterian Intellectuals in my Glossary of Political Economy


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-19 08:30:00 UTC

  • is irrelevant. Property rights, the common law, manners, ethics, morals and trut

    http://www.capitalismv3.com/index.php/2011/12/democracy-is-irrelevant-for-the-creation-of-prosperity/Democracy is irrelevant. Property rights, the common law, manners, ethics, morals and truth telling, which support property rights are what is required for a wealthy country.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-08 09:59:00 UTC

  • “We don’t let children play with matches. It’s dangerous. Not just for them, but

    “We don’t let children play with matches. It’s dangerous. Not just for them, but for everyone else. They can burn down the whole house. For the same reason, we shouldn’t let Keynesians play with money. They burn the civilization to the ground while they cheer the bonfire, congratulating themselves on having made heat for everyone.” — (Me.)


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-05 09:17:00 UTC

  • know, back in 2006 I didn’t resort to calling people ‘idiots’ when they suggeste

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveschaefer/2011/11/30/bernanke-ecb-throw-more-dollars-at-europes-crisis/You know, back in 2006 I didn’t resort to calling people ‘idiots’ when they suggested that the world was decoupling. (I leave the name calling to Paul Krugman.)

    If there was any illusion left, it was wiped away today.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-11-30 22:31:00 UTC

  • Dying Climate Religion

    http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2011/11/green-junk-15000-abandonded-windmills.htmlThe Dying Climate Religion


    Source date (UTC): 2011-11-30 22:11:00 UTC

  • “Capitalism without failure is like Christianity without Hell. You have to have

    “Capitalism without failure is like Christianity without Hell. You have to have atonement for ridiculous levels of spending both the US and Europe have gone through. The spending idiocy of the world is going to catch up to itself. And that’s where we are today.” — Kyle Bass, Hayman Capital


    Source date (UTC): 2011-11-19 07:55:00 UTC

  • Is The US Any More Or Less Redistributive Than Europe?

    On the Economist’s View, a Dr Why, a commenter says

    In the United States, countercyclical fiscal and monetary policies redistribute income mainly from the rich to the poor, which is politically acceptable. In Europe, countercyclical policies also redistribute income from the German pensioners to the Greek civil servants and the Italian Mafia, which is much less acceptable. Eventually, Germany will probably have to capitulate, since it needs the euro more than anyone else; but for now German politicians have no choice but to play this game of chicken in order to get the best possible deal for their voters.

    This is true ideologically but not not in practice. The resistance we see in the states is driven by a redistribution from white to non-white. Today’s poll numbers, divided along racial lines, illustrate natural human tribal sentiments. And that any concept of ‘fair’ is governed by the transfer of status signals in exchange for money. This means that groups with different status signals will never permit monetary transfers. And since racial groups contain different status signals, they will, at least under duress, fail to be charitable with their money. The status signal economy provides all human incentives because it determines access to mates and experiences. THe status signal economy is as real an equilibrium as are supply and demand or IS-MP curves. It is unscientific to believe otherwise.

  • Is The US Any More Or Less Redistributive Than Europe?

    On the Economist’s View, a Dr Why, a commenter says

    In the United States, countercyclical fiscal and monetary policies redistribute income mainly from the rich to the poor, which is politically acceptable. In Europe, countercyclical policies also redistribute income from the German pensioners to the Greek civil servants and the Italian Mafia, which is much less acceptable. Eventually, Germany will probably have to capitulate, since it needs the euro more than anyone else; but for now German politicians have no choice but to play this game of chicken in order to get the best possible deal for their voters.

    This is true ideologically but not not in practice. The resistance we see in the states is driven by a redistribution from white to non-white. Today’s poll numbers, divided along racial lines, illustrate natural human tribal sentiments. And that any concept of ‘fair’ is governed by the transfer of status signals in exchange for money. This means that groups with different status signals will never permit monetary transfers. And since racial groups contain different status signals, they will, at least under duress, fail to be charitable with their money. The status signal economy provides all human incentives because it determines access to mates and experiences. THe status signal economy is as real an equilibrium as are supply and demand or IS-MP curves. It is unscientific to believe otherwise.

  • Why does the right lean toward NGDP targeting?

    On Worthwhile Canadian Initiative, Nick Rowe asks “Why isn’t NGDP targeting a lefty thing?” and asks why the right seems to support it, instead of supporting inflation targeting. My reply was: Nick, I think you miss the point that from the right’s position, NGDP targeting would require that the government focus its efforts on industrial policy in order to be able to fund redistribution, and therefore cooperate rather than prey on business and industry. This in turn would require we correct our dysfunctional education system that creates uncompetitive workers, and it would reduce class warfare by focusing on specific policy initiatives that would make the nation competitive rather than devolutionary. The right originally abandoned industrial policy because of the collaboration between unions and the state. Now that they see unions as weak and foreign states as a threat, they would prefer to return to industrial policy and very likely, away from free trade – which was just a vehicle for competing against the government-union alliance while the USA had a temporary postwar technological advantage. Conservatism is the sentiment and subsequent philosophy of inter-temporal group persistence by the concentration of capital in all it’s forms. In the USA conservatism also includes an allegiance to the status quo of classical liberalism, which in itself is a commercial meritocratic philosophy that retains the english system of class cooperation through multiple houses of government. The democratic socialist movement is an attempt by the proletariat and public intellectuals to obtain political and economic power by propagating the mythos of equality in order to undermine the multi-class system of government in which tehy are at a disadvantage compared to the commercial productive classes. But it is nothing more than an appeal to power for the purpose of material gain. Nothing more and nothing less. While conservatism is more likely to rely on historical metaphor and moral argument because of their inter-temporal content, and the left is more likely to argue for empirical positivism because it specifically lacks that inter-temporal content and replaces that historical view with an absolute faith in the human ability to manage it’s own destiny, that does not mean that conservatism cannot be articulated as a rational philosophy. It simply means, that because it is more complex, it is harder to do so. But then again, concepts of this depth are usually outside of the understanding of macro economists, and are instead the provenance of political philosophers and historians to whom economic activity is a predictable cycle driven by little more than institutions, military power, trade routes, and population composition.