Form: Quote Commentary

  • FOR CANADAS CRASH?

    http://business.time.com/2012/11/30/oh-no-canada-as-household-debt-skyrockets-will-canadians-face-a-2007-style-crisis/TIME FOR CANADAS CRASH?


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-30 17:32:00 UTC

  • Demographic cliff too….., (HT Cowen)

    http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/11/29/u-s-birth-rate-falls-to-a-record-low-decline-is-greatest-among-immigrants/A Demographic cliff too…..,

    (HT Cowen)


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-30 17:25:00 UTC

  • “5000 YEARS OF DEBT” By David Graeber (From Elsewhere) I started to write someth

    https://www.youtube.com/all_comments?v=CZIINXhGDcsON “5000 YEARS OF DEBT”

    By David Graeber

    https://www.youtube.com/all_comments?v=CZIINXhGDcs

    (From Elsewhere)

    I started to write something substantial about this but I havent read his book. So I’m afraid to criticize his lecture, under the assumption that his book may make some kind of substantial argument where his lecture absolutely fails to.

    The lecture is entirely anecdotal. He describes what could be construed as proximal accounting practices when people all know each other, are marginally related, and where their productivity and interests marginally indifferent.

    But that’s not why we have debt. we have debt because people who do NOT know each other, are not related, and where their productivity and interests are marginally different.

    We have numerical debt because it would be impossible to plan our use of resources without it. This property of money is known as “a unit of account, a medium of exchange, and a store of value”. Without units of account, we cannot plan the complex economies that make our escape from malthusian poverty possible.

    His argument that debt has become a component of morality is sensible only in the sense where we DO have numerical monetary debt. Humans and most animals obey reciprocity. if they didn’t they’d cease all cooperation (like apes). Humans would simply go extinct. So non-numeric debt is demonstrable in all societies. And it must be. It is necessary for cooperation.

    His argument that we have made debt immoral, and that we must pay our debts is a moral technological innovation that guarantees that people will take the vast risk necessary to lend money to people that they don’t know. Just as the church broke family bonds by giving women property rights and prohibiting cousin-marriage in order to de-capitalize the extended family so that it could more easily acquire lands, the manorial system that resulted made it necessary for farmers as well as merchants to borrow money for tradable goods from people who were NOT in their families. This allowed greater concentration of capital, but also led to the protestant work ethic, and from the protestant work ethic, the high trust society that exists EXCLUSIVELY in the west.

    In this sense, Debt is in no small part, part of the reason we have such dramatically lower corruption than the rest of the world. (And why it is counter-intuitive to have a high trust society.)

    His argument that the purpose of FIAT MONEY and FIAT CREDIT, which is the requirement that taxes be paid in government currency, and that this allows the government to finance warfare, is true. That the vast expansion of warfare from the traditional european monarchical war, to Napoleonic Total War, is only possible with Fiat Money and the ability for the government to borrow vast sums because of it. (Which we now borrow to pay for services. We do not pay for our military. The rest of the world does through the artifice of petro-dollars, US treasuries, and US Inflation.) Without this artifice we would not be able to possess our military, nor would Europe be able to possess its social programs.

    So not only is debt necessary but it’s GOOD. Unless we want to return to dirt scratching poverty again.

    Lastly, the current reason to criticize debt is that it’s unclear that it is not more profitable and evolutionarily viable to directly redistribute gains (profits we call taxes, or additional fiat debt we call inter-temporal-redistribution) to consumers in order to stimulate demand. This is the idea behind Modern Monetary Theory. THe general criticism of this theory is that it will not only lead to permanent inflation which destroys risk taking, and economic calculation, but that it would (like the tech and housing booms) misallocate human capital and expose the nation to competitive long term risk. This is why the debate among economists is to determine how much intertemporal debt we can create without dangerous consequences (like our current collapse), by targeting NGDP growth rates rather than inflation. People in my wing of economics argue (rightly I think) that this limit is very low before it causes disastrous booms and busts.

    Debt has further value, since it acts as an unorganized police force on human behavior. One can be ostracized from the credit system by bad behavior and impulsive behavior, and doomed to poverty. As such, DEBT= Citizenship.

    I hope this is useful to someone on your list. I”ll cross post it on mine.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-24 15:56:00 UTC

  • LINCOLN FILLED THE SLAVES It had nothing to do with moral conviction

    http://www.dickmorris.com/how-lincoln-freed-the-slaves-dick-morris-tv-history-video/HOW LINCOLN FILLED THE SLAVES

    It had nothing to do with moral conviction.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-24 11:26:00 UTC

  • ON THE DEATH OF TWINKIES BY FED POLICY “There is plenty of blame to go around, i

    http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/11/hostess-fires-15000-workers-twinkies.htmlMISH ON THE DEATH OF TWINKIES BY FED POLICY

    “There is plenty of blame to go around, including untenable wages and benefits, leveraged debt, untenable management salaries etc.

    However, the enabling factor behind the debt is loose monetary policy by the Fed coupled with fractional reserve lending. Factor in unions and corrupt management and there is no way the company could make it without huge concessions from the union.

    The union will likely see pension benefits slashed by 50% or more when handed over to the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation (PBGC). The PBGC is of course US taxpayers who should not have to pick up any of this tab at all (but they will).”

    Read more at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/11/hostess-fires-15000-workers-twinkies.html#VWB2xVMuqKHmsbxe.99


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-23 07:44:00 UTC

  • TWINKIES DISAPPEAR FROM THE FACE OF THE EARTH Personally I like snowballs better

    http://www.nbcdfw.com/news/national-international/NATL-Twinkies-Maker-Hostess-Going-Out-of-Business-179643161.htmlCRISIS: TWINKIES DISAPPEAR FROM THE FACE OF THE EARTH

    Personally I like snowballs better than TWINKIES.

    But this means the era of late night twinkies and pepsi from the office vending machine is forever gone. Along with green screens.

    The halcyon days of youth.

    😉


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-16 10:47:00 UTC

  • THE ERROR IN ROTHBARDS PRAXEOLOGY TO INTRANITIVE PREFERENCES Priceless post. Pre

    http://fensel.net/2012/11/16/intransitive-preferences-and-the-money-pump-argument/TYING THE ERROR IN ROTHBARDS PRAXEOLOGY TO INTRANITIVE PREFERENCES

    Priceless post.

    Preferences are a network – a map, a graph – not a hierarchy or a stack.

    Moreover, when preferences are cleared, the network is satisfied, not the node. Even though we only have visibility into the preference exposed by the physical exchange.

    This is the fundamental problem with praxeological thought that equates the simplicity of commodities for which the network consists of little more than price, with consumer goods that at least within any price range consist largely of signals. And signals consist in no small part, of contributions both supportive and competitive to norms.

    Preferences are not linear, they are sets of values on a graph. And as such, those that appear intransitive are so only because the label that we give to them represents only one item in the (large) set. We make a logical error when we attribute linearity to the label or name, which is only a subset of the values of the set of values that constitute any preference. This confuses the convenience of the label with the inconvenient and often opaque contents of the set.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-16 00:46:00 UTC

  • FROM ELSEWHERE: ON RORTY AND THE POST ANALYTIC MOVEMENT Rorty is not important i

    FROM ELSEWHERE: ON RORTY AND THE POST ANALYTIC MOVEMENT

    Rorty is not important in the traditional contexts. If we consider the metaphysical and epistemological efforts in philosophy, then certainly the epistemological program has been fruitful, even if the metaphysical program has been a failure (in the sense of philosopher’s attempts to render philosophy into a science.)

    Rorty, and the post-analytic program have been important in specifically abandoning the metaphysical program, first, and even the epistemic program, in order to return philosophy to meaningful use as a tool by which we can determine right actions both public an private.

    The criticisms above do not account for the relative abandonment of philosophy outside of the discipline, specifically because the analytical program, which attempts to integrate physical sciences, while maintaining the dream of solving the metaphysical program, and therefore rendering philosophy into a science, and as a science, return it to legitimacy as an influential social program, which in turn will convey status upon its advocates – status that was lost when science and empiricism became dominant tools, abandoning philosophy altogether.

    The post-analytical movement is an attempt to correct this problem in philosophy and to return it to its relevance in society. Experimental psychology, biology and economics are providing us the answers that philosophical introspection cannot.

    While Rorty and others have not sufficiently divorced post analytic from analytic as thoroughly as analytic has been divorced from continental, and, continental and enlightenment from religion, they have at least acknowledged and attempted to work at solving the problem of making philosophical reasoning once again useful, by applying it to practical matters, and treating scientific information first and foremost, using philosophy to assist us in properly understanding that scientific information.

    I believe it is possible to create a unified philosophical framework for discussion of meaningful ideas

    I also realize that to make this argument forces those indoctrinated and habituated into philosophy that attempts to solve the metaphysical program to consider that their fascinations, problems, hobbies and careers are an outdated technology akin to cobol programming or water wheel construction. 🙂

    But then, an economist would argue that this makes sense, because it is too great an effort to change one’s point of view without material incentives. 🙂

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-15 02:59:00 UTC

  • IN INCIDENCE OF AUTISM THE RESULT OF ASSORTIVE MATING. (personally I’m not sure

    http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2012/11/childhood-autism-and-assortative-mating.htmlINCREASE IN INCIDENCE OF AUTISM THE RESULT OF ASSORTIVE MATING. (personally I’m not sure that thus isn’t a ‘good’)


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-12 06:56:00 UTC

  • SORT OF “Despite this fast growth among “catching-up” countries, the rankings of

    http://www.tutor2u.net/blog/index.php/economics/comments/unit-4-macro-looking-to-2060-a-global-vision-of-long-term-growth?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+economics_news+%28tutor2u+Economics+Blog%29#When:09:48:54ZCONVERGENCE : SORT OF

    “Despite this fast growth among “catching-up” countries, the rankings of GDP per capita in 2011 and 2060 are projected to remain very similar”

    I hate to share a link from one of the two sites that have banned me. But the article and external links are worth it.

    While progressives look for reasons to justify their one world fantasy, those of us who know better see reduced western privilege leading to resurgent nationalism, and permanent friction as large poor countries remain permanently unequal. And as such doom the western lower classes to exactly the opposite future that they and their absurd egalitarian policies fantasizes about.

    Only innovation defeats Malthus. And with innovation comes greater intellectual demand on citizens.

    The fact that we have held Malthus at bay is a temporary product of asymmetric development and the conversion of farm to industrial labor. And that is a temporary conversion since labor is just as rapidly replaced both technically through productivity and geographically through labor competition.

    We will get either a eugenic or disgenic result from our egalitarian universalist fantasy.

    What we will not get is a harmonious egalitarian world order.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-11-11 07:15:00 UTC