Not me. I’m a hobbit. I’m not going anywhere. I’m gonna munch popcorn while .3% of the population dies off because of world ventilator shortage.
The part I’m worried about is when the zombies come.
Oh. Wait. They’re already here. They’re called millennials.
lol
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-26 01:09:14 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232472657091710976
Reply addressees: @KTdidntdoit @swingleft
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232471556695064576
I was too conservative because I expected the rates outside of China to be lower, and they’re coming in the same @ 20% of Spanish Flu’s 10-20% mortality rate, 1% european, 3%+ world population loss. So will cause contraction b/c hospitalization, work disruption, zero inventory. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1232465743729442816
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-26 01:01:25 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232470690806128640
https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1232465743729442816
Flu 2019: ~18m cases, ~200k hospitalizations, ~20k deaths. = ~.1%.
Wuhan/Covid-19 more severe, some organ failure, longer recovery up to 6+wks, and 2.6-3% mortality under care. (Iran 19%? Care?)
So? High elder mortality, +many people in care and out of economy for far longer.
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-26 00:41:46 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232465743729442816
Reply addressees: @paleofuture
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232385716463656960
“The Case Against Reality” No. The Case for Woo Woo Pseudoscience. https://propertarianism.com/2020/02/25/the-case-against-reality-no-the-case-for-woo-woo-pseudoscience/
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-25 21:26:48 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232416681919729666
“The Case Against Reality” The case for woo woo pseudoscience. This is pseudoscientific nonsense. We see actionable reality at actionable scale, using some pretty amazing instrumentation. We ‘predict’ (imagine consequences from) our model of the world, that is not real. That’s simply a lack of discipline. I can and have, and others can and have, explained consciousness – and with recent work it’s not even complicated. I’d like to see the ‘math’ he’s talking about because I’m pretty sure he’s hand-waving. He’s using Truth as an undefined ‘woo woo’ term (hand waving). A fitness payoff (more correctly, return on cost of continuous production) An organism that sees the world as it is (processes unnecessary information) that models the world independent of it’s capacity for action will be out-competed by an organism that reduces the world model necessary for action to the minimum necessary for action, and just competes on what works regardless of any model of the world. Well, this is only true to the point at which organisms can voluntarily cooperate – because there are no competitors to return on cooperation. The camera obscura, and the camera, are a purely physical thing without consciousness. Yet we see what the camera records, without manipulating it. Sure, we can’t see all the same colors. Some of us see more than others. But that’s a difference in resolution of color not a difference in any ‘truth’ we see. “Space and time don’t exist independent of our perception.” Well that’s demonstrably false. Space and time are vocabulary we use to describe what we perceive through sensory information. “There are other consciousnesses out there”. OMG…. I would eat these morons for lunch. https://youtu.be/dd6CQCbk2ro
“The Case Against Reality” The case for woo woo pseudoscience. This is pseudoscientific nonsense. We see actionable reality at actionable scale, using some pretty amazing instrumentation. We ‘predict’ (imagine consequences from) our model of the world, that is not real. That’s simply a lack of discipline. I can and have, and others can and have, explained consciousness – and with recent work it’s not even complicated. I’d like to see the ‘math’ he’s talking about because I’m pretty sure he’s hand-waving. He’s using Truth as an undefined ‘woo woo’ term (hand waving). A fitness payoff (more correctly, return on cost of continuous production) An organism that sees the world as it is (processes unnecessary information) that models the world independent of it’s capacity for action will be out-competed by an organism that reduces the world model necessary for action to the minimum necessary for action, and just competes on what works regardless of any model of the world. Well, this is only true to the point at which organisms can voluntarily cooperate – because there are no competitors to return on cooperation. The camera obscura, and the camera, are a purely physical thing without consciousness. Yet we see what the camera records, without manipulating it. Sure, we can’t see all the same colors. Some of us see more than others. But that’s a difference in resolution of color not a difference in any ‘truth’ we see. “Space and time don’t exist independent of our perception.” Well that’s demonstrably false. Space and time are vocabulary we use to describe what we perceive through sensory information. “There are other consciousnesses out there”. OMG…. I would eat these morons for lunch. https://youtu.be/dd6CQCbk2ro
Causality https://propertarianism.com/2020/02/25/causality/
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-25 20:43:48 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1232405859034112001
photos_and_videos/TimelinePhotos_dJ9jhts2Ng/87867222_580106869252874_2103379608089919488_o_580106862586208.jpg Update b/c Italian data. Slowly accumulate basics that will run out. Now we will get to learn why ‘really efficient supply chains’ are a really f—king bad idea. As for markets, well, this problem will get solved so think in terms of discovering buying opportunities on those investments that will not be victims of world supply chain contractions.Update b/c Italian data. Slowly accumulate basics that will run out. Now we will get to learn why ‘really efficient supply chains’ are a really f—king bad idea. As for markets, well, this problem will get solved so think in terms of discovering buying opportunities on those investments that will not be victims of world supply chain contractions.
Source date (UTC): 2020-02-25 20:04:00 UTC
—“Physics is too hard for physicists.”—Mathematician —“Economics is too hard for economists”—Physicist —“Social science is too hard for social scientists”—Economist —“Psychology is too hard for psychologists”–Behavioral economist
“Philosophy is too hard for philosophers” – Sociologist — via Kevin Wu “Philosophy is too hard for philosophers” – literally every specialized knowledge field– via Matt Vujovic
—“Physics is too hard for physicists.”—Mathematician —“Economics is too hard for economists”—Physicist —“Social science is too hard for social scientists”—Economist —“Psychology is too hard for psychologists”–Behavioral economist
“Philosophy is too hard for philosophers” – Sociologist — via Kevin Wu “Philosophy is too hard for philosophers” – literally every specialized knowledge field– via Matt Vujovic