Category: Politics, Power, and Governance

Barring 1) DEU, restoration of will as the ‘rightful’ (competent) power(responsi

Barring 1) DEU, restoration of will as the ‘rightful’ (competent) power(responsibility) in europe, and reversal of immigration and population collapse, and 2) US civil war, then 3) there is near zero chance my prediction above will fail.
Deterministic.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-10 14:42:02 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568610756131708928

Reply addressees: @mccairty

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568610031133954050

IN REPLY TO:

Unknown author

@mccairty Truth: only intermarium matters. France has been as much an enemy of europe since the high middle ages as has been the RU empire. DEU have abandoned responsibility for Europe. Intermarium hasn’t a choice. US/UK+Intermarium will emerge as power center, DEU will die & FR-RU oppose.

Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1568610031133954050

September 10, 2022
Truth: only intermarium matters. France has been as much an enemy of europe sinc

Truth: only intermarium matters. France has been as much an enemy of europe since the high middle ages as has been the RU empire. DEU have abandoned responsibility for Europe. Intermarium hasn’t a choice. US/UK+Intermarium will emerge as power center, DEU will die & FR-RU oppose.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-10 14:39:09 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568610031133954050

Reply addressees: @mccairty

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568606293698531329

September 10, 2022
The libertarian-to-fascist spectrum of the (male)right is a clown world for the

The libertarian-to-fascist spectrum of the (male)right is a clown world for the simple reason that RU preserves familial culture over hedonistic sedition w/o rule of law, and West fails to suppress sedition against cultural sedition with rule of law. The problem is our cowardice.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-10 14:30:27 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568607841266839554

Reply addressees: @NationalAnarchy

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568558910675554304

September 10, 2022
There was no contract with (defeated) Russian empire that was of HIGHER priority

There was no contract with (defeated) Russian empire that was of HIGHER priority than the contract between developed nation-states. RU chose kleptocracy, resoration of kleptocratic empire, resource sales, and military over rule of law, economics, and prosperity (as is china).

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-10 14:26:35 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568606867709902848

Reply addressees: @NationalAnarchy

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568558910675554304

September 10, 2022
Not so. US wants it to last as long as possible. UA is willing to make it last a

Not so. US wants it to last as long as possible. UA is willing to make it last as long as US/EU will supply arms and ammunition. RU (or at least Putin) views their demographic collapse as an existential threat, and westward expansion the only means of preserving the kleptocracy.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-10 14:22:25 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568605822149591042

Reply addressees: @mccairty

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568585231472513030

September 10, 2022
“She was crowned an Empress, and will depart as the head of a “developing countr

–“She was crowned an Empress, and will depart as the head of a “developing country”–

(via mark sanders)

ouch. I love the queen. Always will. Monarchy with rights as I’ve enumerated them, is the only guarantee against loss of nationhood.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-09 22:30:36 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568366288757719041

September 9, 2022
Dunno. I see cutting off Nordstream-1 as a desperate move by Putin. I don’t get

Dunno. I see cutting off Nordstream-1 as a desperate move by Putin. I don’t get it. Take the money. RU is f’ing dead if this goes on thru ’23. IMO if it goes thru ’24, RU won’t recover for a decade. Any longer, it means RU will NEVER recover, and is a failed state. WTH??

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-09 21:29:03 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568350796416180225

September 9, 2022
Now here is an important caveat: (a) long-term determinism will almost always pl

Now here is an important caveat: (a) long-term determinism will almost always play out (this is what Peter is saying). (b) That does not mean that political actors will not take the risk that such things can’t be avoided. They will. They do. Humans ALL double down on priors. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1568273169311465473

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-09 17:02:01 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568283597253091329

https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1568273169311465473

September 9, 2022
Authoritarians are happy and able to try to write their names in history as a re

Authoritarians are happy and able to try to write their names in history as a reward for the stress of the minutia of their daily lives, and general failure to achieve ends over their careers, and to export the risk to the people and institutions.

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-09 16:32:35 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568276188887490565

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568276187323011081

IN REPLY TO:

Unknown author

But why is determinism “fragile when applied to political will to alter an extreme?” Because of the inversion of risk-reward at the extremes. And concentrations of power (empires, totalitarians, dictators, tyrants) lack controls on limiting risk under black swan opportunties. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1568273169311465473

Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1568276187323011081

September 9, 2022
But why is determinism “fragile when applied to political will to alter an extre

But why is determinism “fragile when applied to political will to alter an extreme?” Because of the inversion of risk-reward at the extremes. And concentrations of power (empires, totalitarians, dictators, tyrants) lack controls on limiting risk under black swan opportunties. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1568273169311465473

Source date (UTC): 2022-09-09 16:32:34 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1568276187323011081

https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1568273169311465473

September 9, 2022