POWER SHIFTING IN THE MIDDLE EAST OR $$$ SHIFTING?
The Iranians are an on going threat to the Saudis and that will never end as long as Iran is under the Mullahs. What’s happening instead is that china is becoming the dominant oil market and China needs to ensure that supply because it’s their only chance of survival if they start a conflict. So it’s profitable for everyone to siphon at the Chinese trough today like the American in the past. AFAIK, the Saudis will never truly surrender their dependence upon American protection without equal insurance from another state that can both project power and prohibit Iran.
I don’t know when Israel with cut off Iran’s head, but as far as I know we are all remaining diligent and waiting for Iran to internally reorganize such that this issue is no longer necessary, and the Iranians give up their dreams of empire as the rest of the region has.
I mean, it sure appears to be working slowly in both Russia and China. Why? America is of necessity a logistics conscious military and state. And if Americans have time to prepare we gut production and win by firing fewer shots. Though, thankfully, like our European colonial ancestors, we have learned that ‘some human animals can’t be domesticated’ – sorta like horses vs zebras. 😉
As we sit today, it’s hard to imagine Iran isn’t already at war with Pakistan. (Which if I had any access to incitement, I would.)
I was pretty certain around 1990 that we had succeeded in ending the age of totalitarian agrarian empires and fully I ushered in the era of nation states, federation, and a worldwide understanding of the mutual value of free trade.
And… well. That idea didn’t last long. By 2010 we understood the opposite was true. We always cut off our ‘wars’ too early, because that is the European tradition with one another, and we are as optimistic about other civilization’s behavior as we are European.. And that as in all things turns out to be false.
We are in fact WEIRD. 😉
Curt Doolittle
Source date (UTC): 2023-09-19 02:40:02 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1703962123385135104