RUSSIA UKRAINE
You’re thinking too hard. 😉
1) the coalition supporting Ukriaine has said it’s support is limited to taking back territory. If Ukraine want’s to attack RU they must do it without coalition arms.
2) RU military has been exposed as a paper tiger. That, like all previous Russian militaries, uses population as canon fodder, and masses of artillery to accomplish by brute force what cannot be achieved by strategy and tactics. And they now lack the population and the resources to fight by that means – as well as more advanced means.
3) RU cannot use nuclear arms without be itself exterminated. Trump made this clear in the meeting where no documentation was made between them over this conversation, and if I remember correctly, only one translator. Biden has continued trump policies almost across the spectrum.
4) RU decided after it lost the south last year, that they are going to wait out the present administration and try to stalemate the war, because they really have no other choice. They believe the next administration will want a quick resolution. This is a hope as c ope because Putin really has no other choice.
5) The US and UA strategy however, now that Russia’s paper tiger has been exposed, is to grind RU military, economy, and political authority to dust – so RU strategy plays into US strategy.
6) US strategy is, while unstated, targeting regime change or regime policy change, so that negotiations on a long term problem to RU security and integration with Europe is possible. Otherwise RU dies in th next generation from population and economic collapse and invasion from the east and south that forces ethnic Russians back east of the Urals into the core RU territories north and east of Ukrainian. And this fear is driving putin’s demand for eastern Ukraine.
WHAT SHOULD YOU DO?
Stope worrying about it because we are playing a medium to long term game with both RU and China. While we are very close to civil war in the west over immigration, as long as that does not happen both RU CN will collapse for demographic, economic, and political reasons in the next twenty years.
However, if we have this civil war, (which I am desirous of) then the world will fall into chaos and war and while we will be find in the end, the rest of the world will spend a century recovering from the disaster.
Reply addressees: @FromKulak