Curt Doolittle

Category: Politics, Power, and Governance

  • Why Were All The Polls In The 2015 Uk General Election So Different From The Results?

    THE CORRECT ANSWER
    Nate Silver is probably the world’s leading analyst of polls.  His opinion, stated yesterday, is that

    –“The World May Have A Polling Problem,” Silver asserted. “In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well.” Silver went on to cite four examples where the polls had failed to provide an accurate forecast of the election outcome: the Scottish independence referendum, the 2014 U.S. midterms, the Israeli legislative elections, and even the 2012 U.S. presidential election, where “Obama beat the final polling averages by about 3 points nationwide.”
    “[T]here are lots of reasons to worry about the state of the polling industry,” Silver concluded, citing a range of factors. “There may be more difficult times ahead for the polling industry.”—



    What he is saying is that there is conscious, and increasing bias in the polls, and that he will be able to use forensic statistics to determine who is biasing polls by how much.

    The purpose of polling whenever results are reported is to manufacture opinion.

    https://www.quora.com/Why-were-all-the-polls-in-the-2015-UK-general-election-so-different-from-the-results

  • Untitled

    See mass migration for what it is – invasion

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-07 11:34:00 UTC

  • What is a nation but a large family with frontiers? But it serves the interest o

    What is a nation but a large family with frontiers? But it serves the interest of politicians to convert family private property into a corporation and to sell off the assets, for their benefit.

    That is what statism does really.

    (H/T Aaron Kahland)

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-07 03:17:00 UTC

  • THE COST OF REVOLUTION 1) Revolutions are a cost. Not revolting is a cost. The q

    THE COST OF REVOLUTION

    1) Revolutions are a cost. Not revolting is a cost. The question is only which we prefer to pay.

    2) Property rights are obtained by raising the cost of not exchanging property rights. They are lost by failing to pay the cost of making property rights cheaper than their absence.

    3) Liberty is obtained by raising the cost of infringing upon liberty. Liberty is lost by failing to pay the cost of making liberty cheaper than the alternatives.

    4) The common law is obtained by raising the cost of constructing legislative commands and regulations. The common law is lost by failing to pay the cost of making the common law cheaper than its alternatives.

    Western civilization has accumulated a great deal of fragility. We can no longer (like Russians and Ukrainians) return to the farm for survival. There are four hours of energy, one day of water, four to six days of food, three weeks of order, 30 days of economic stability, and 90 days of political stability, in the funnel.

    We no longer need armies, masses in the streets, or a political majority to construct a revolution. What prevents a revolution today, is merely a solution that a minority are willing to fight for, despite paying the highest possible price.

    Property rights are constructed by the threat of violence and predation if they are not constructed.

    All other arguments are acts of free riding: theft by fraud. The attempt to obtain property rights without paying the (high ) cost of them.

    There can be no discount on liberty.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-05 10:50:00 UTC

  • does, of course, note that the first “neo-cons,” back in the 1960s, were overwhe

    http://takimag.com/article/authentic_sensibilities_kathy_shaidle/print#ixzz3ZGJqfehl—“Hartman does, of course, note that the first “neo-cons,” back in the 1960s, were overwhelmingly Jewish New York intellectuals and often ex-Trotskyites.”—

    Socialist, libertarians and neo conservatives.

    Meanwhile, rule of law requires no obscurantism or ideology or propaganda.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-05 07:25:00 UTC

  • WHY NATIONS FALL (profound) (Taleb) (cycles) (rule of law) Food for thought, sin

    WHY NATIONS FALL

    (profound) (Taleb) (cycles) (rule of law)

    Food for thought, since the first political scientist (machiavelli) didn’t provide the answer:

    As far as I know, states fail for a number of reasons that are obvious in retrospect.

    1) Plague and starvation.

    2) Weather pattern / climate change.

    3) Disruption of trade routes.

    4) Exceeding institutional means of organising production and controlling consumption.

    5) Frigility from the inability to adapt due to accumulated rents.

    6) Over extension or exhaustion from war.

    7) Conquest, genocide and plundering.

    8) Immigration, insufficient reproduction, and outbreeding.

    Of these, except for 1 and 2, are political failures caused by the same problems we face in democracy: accumulated rent seeking instead of accumulated investment in risk mitigation.

    Or what Taleb refers to as Fragility.

    In other words: malinvestment.

    The reason I make this argument is that there is only one institutional defense against the accumulation of Fragility: rule of law, universal standing in defence of private and commons, and the articulation in property rights of a total prohibition on free riding in all its forms: violence, fraud, free riding, privatization of commons, socialization of losses, and conspiracy; and that such prohibition enforcing against all forms of property: institutional commons, normative commons, phyical commons, private commons (corporate), personal property, body, mind, mate and kin.

    Fragility is the product of the failure of the organic common law to prevent the accumulation of Malinvestment by maintaining a total prohibition on free riding.

    ( Hence my support of this blog.)

    The western competitive advantage in economic and technical velocity lies in the rule of law, the independent judiciary, the jury, property rights, universal standing, and our unique emphasis on objective truth telling in all walks of life, because this system provides the least opportunity for the development of rents.

    We can see the twentieth century as an organized effort to undermine truth telling by both the academy, intellectuals and the state.

    Grammar, Rhetoric, Witness and Testimony, and with the advent of science: ‘e-prime’ and operational language, are necessary skills by which we learn to speak truthfully. Since it is not natural for man. ( It is no mystery why English speakers developed analytic philosophy, the contemporary scientific method, and computer programming.). Man evolved language to negotiate, not describe.

    Westerners discovered truth.

    That is the secret of the west.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev,Ukraine

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-05 06:58:00 UTC

  • “Conservatism since Burke has been defined (in part) by the principle that was m

    —“Conservatism since Burke has been defined (in part) by the principle that was must first understand and deal with reality as it exists before we can create the reality that we want.”—Eric Field

    Perfect. Going to use that often.

    Hence my argument that libertarianism is rationalist and justificationary, and conservatism scientific and explanatory, and socialism pseudoscientific and deceptive.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-04 08:36:00 UTC

  • Raise The Cost Of Tyranny Through Violence

    [T]he only way to obtain liberty is to raise the cost of tyranny, just as the only means of constructing property is to raise the cost of parasitism. We can raise costs by a) gossip – meaning shaming, b) economic ostracization – meaning boycott, and c) violence. a) does not work for obvious reasons – the incentives to act as a parasite are superior under redistributive government. b) does not work, since we are actively prohibited by law from ostracization and separatism. Therefore (c) violence, is our only choice. Since even with small numbers we can dramatically raise the cost of parasitism upon us, and the destruction of our family and civilization. Thankfully, at no time in human history, save perhaps during the sea people’s period, has civilizatino been so fragile. It is the easiest period in which we can restore our liberty. Or lose it forever.

  • Raise The Cost Of Tyranny Through Violence

    [T]he only way to obtain liberty is to raise the cost of tyranny, just as the only means of constructing property is to raise the cost of parasitism. We can raise costs by a) gossip – meaning shaming, b) economic ostracization – meaning boycott, and c) violence. a) does not work for obvious reasons – the incentives to act as a parasite are superior under redistributive government. b) does not work, since we are actively prohibited by law from ostracization and separatism. Therefore (c) violence, is our only choice. Since even with small numbers we can dramatically raise the cost of parasitism upon us, and the destruction of our family and civilization. Thankfully, at no time in human history, save perhaps during the sea people’s period, has civilizatino been so fragile. It is the easiest period in which we can restore our liberty. Or lose it forever.

  • Dissent in Russia: Putin’s Propaganda Machine (video)

    https://news.vice.com/video/silencing-dissent-in-russia-putins-propaganda-machine-full-length?utm_source=vicenewstwitterSilencing Dissent in Russia: Putin’s Propaganda Machine

    (video)

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-02 05:58:00 UTC