Category: Evolutionary Computation and Systems

  • FWIW: Test of Hayekian analysis ~requires simulations not just models. Operation

    FWIW: Test of Hayekian analysis ~requires simulations not just models. Operations not calculations. Decisions not measures.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-01-04 12:02:58 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/683981947325050880

    Reply addressees: @FriedrichHayek

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/683480666126721024


    IN REPLY TO:

    @FriedrichHayek

    Here is more of Vassei’s mathematical treatment of Hayek https://t.co/s6EFelMKN7 https://t.co/b2P2OqaW3K

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/683480666126721024

  • Axelrod’s Model of Ethno Centrism

    [A] friend sent this update on Axelrod’s work on the competitive value of ethnocentrism, and how entho-centrism always wins. I had assumed this was fairly obvious, but while axelrod also focuses on cooperation, I want to convert this into propertarian language and therefore make it more compatible with ethics and political economy. So over the next few months I’ll try to write a few posts that make use of this argument. (Thanks)

    THE ERROR OF ANGLO UNIVERSALISM – CONVERSATION WITH NICHOLAS CARDACI ON EVOLUTIONARY STRATEGIES

    DAVID Were you aware of this series of experiments that were carried out on evolutionary strategies competing with one another? I found them very useful: https://egtheory.wordpress.com/…/06/30/how-ethnocentrics-r…/ CURT Yes. Axelrod and followers have been working on this model for many years. I include him in my reading list. This particular set of studies is interesting in that it addresses the value of ethnocentrism. While economic utility CAN be expressed as reproduction, it is not always the case as Sweden shows today. But I should probably comment on the study so that I draw the connection with propertarianism. DAVID Were you surprised that the mechanism of ethnocentric ascension was straight up robbery of humanitarians, rather than limitation of free riding? I think there’s definitely both going on, but the weakness of the mediation (?) hypothesis surprised me. CURT No, it’s obvious. One of the values of modeling that Axelrod (and other life-models) brought to the debate (with the aid of computer science) was equilibrial modeling rather than linear projection. It’s great stuff. I think I read him first … I dunno. It seems like the 80’s or maybe early 90’s. My wife and I were travelling in the UK at the time and I read it in the wee hours of the morning. It was one of the most influential pieces that I read. Actually, maybe i’ll write a post about the relationship between axelrod in cooperation and mandelbrot in stock markets, and taleb in risk, and equilibrium in prices. These behaviors are all the same: before we had data and computers we could not conduct these measurements and we could not see them. This means that unless one can describe an idea as a supply and demand curve, that one is engaging in idealism. DAVID I’ve been pondering this topic recently, mulling over the conflict between the moral universalism and ethnocentrism. One thing that’s readily obvious to me, especially being around alot of southern europeans, is that this ethnocentrism though isn’t always great. As it seems to me that it’s always accompanied with high family nepotism. Italy, is extremely regionalist and nepotistic within the family, and seriously limits how big their commons can be I think. The country is way too big as it is, with that level of heterogeneity. Some of it seems to be the greater levels of inbreeding that’s gone on historically. The bolded text in this post by hbd chick pretty much nails the kinship/family nepotism that goes on down there. https://www.reddit.com/…/the_reality_of_deep_southern_euro…/ Even in the anglo countries, I still see it going on, with italians from the same region letting eachother off parking fines It makes them more impervious to outside infiltration, but they can never reach the same commons as their northern neighbors. CURT Nepotism (family corporialism) is not the same as corruption or deceit. if one biases opportunities toward the family in maters not in the commons then that is not an imposition of costs upon others. If one exercises corruption in the production of commons, then that is another thing altogether. So you’d distinguish those then? CURT Yes. Favoring market opportunity is different from imposing costs upon the commons. Even the innocent nepotism, seems to be harmful to an extent. Like you mentioned on the Shoah, it limits a society’s ability to put the best person in the job. There was a good article recently outlining how in Romance Europe, family owned corporations are far more dominant than in the Anglo markets, where there’s ‘market-based management’, meritocracy essentially. So just as anglo model works under great opportunity (and as the model shows) the family model (and aristocracy which is also a family model) defeats the anglo over time. that’s what Axelrod’s model shows. DAVID This is true. As they cooperate with people defecting against them. Yes. It seems to me to be both a gift and a curse. That’s cliched, but its the only way I can think do describe attitudes in southern europe. CURT It’s just that no principle of measurement is infinitely extensible. A rule acts as a means of measurement (decidability). There are not infinitely true rules. There are limits to every rule. (Which is a very complex bit of philosophy, but the reason why apriorism can’t be true.) The tactics you use in one circumstance and those in another are different. It is probably short term better to use universal ethics until your competitors catch up, and then return to familial ethics in order to prevent defectors from becoming parasites. (this is a very good discussion we should probably post for others to follow) DAVID Yes. That’s what it seems to me. Southern europeans are capped in what they can do, but what they have is far more robust and secure than what the anglos and co have achieved. Should we post it on the Subreddit? CURT Yes. It’s a pretty good conversation that we can probably use to educate others. We are touching on a set of very big ideas here that are not obvious: the limits to any evolutaionary strategy, the advantage of familialism over universalism in the long term, the conceptual problem of training people to models and demand curves instead of ideal types and linear progressions. What we are saying is that we must increase the complexity of the basis of moral argument. DAVID Yes, we cant simply pretend to have moral arguments among ourselves (as europeans) in isolation any longer. It’s eating away at us. I went through my finance textbook and found the study about family ownership I mentioned. Faccio & Lang, “The Ultimate Ownership of Western European Corporations” (1997) A bit older than I thought Also, there’s a study indicating their outperformance over more anglo style firms, strangely enough. Anderson & Reeb, “Founding Family Ownership and Firm Performance from the S&P500” (2003) Going to head off. CURT Cheers

  • Axelrod’s Model of Ethno Centrism

    [A] friend sent this update on Axelrod’s work on the competitive value of ethnocentrism, and how entho-centrism always wins. I had assumed this was fairly obvious, but while axelrod also focuses on cooperation, I want to convert this into propertarian language and therefore make it more compatible with ethics and political economy. So over the next few months I’ll try to write a few posts that make use of this argument. (Thanks)

    THE ERROR OF ANGLO UNIVERSALISM – CONVERSATION WITH NICHOLAS CARDACI ON EVOLUTIONARY STRATEGIES

    DAVID Were you aware of this series of experiments that were carried out on evolutionary strategies competing with one another? I found them very useful: https://egtheory.wordpress.com/…/06/30/how-ethnocentrics-r…/ CURT Yes. Axelrod and followers have been working on this model for many years. I include him in my reading list. This particular set of studies is interesting in that it addresses the value of ethnocentrism. While economic utility CAN be expressed as reproduction, it is not always the case as Sweden shows today. But I should probably comment on the study so that I draw the connection with propertarianism. DAVID Were you surprised that the mechanism of ethnocentric ascension was straight up robbery of humanitarians, rather than limitation of free riding? I think there’s definitely both going on, but the weakness of the mediation (?) hypothesis surprised me. CURT No, it’s obvious. One of the values of modeling that Axelrod (and other life-models) brought to the debate (with the aid of computer science) was equilibrial modeling rather than linear projection. It’s great stuff. I think I read him first … I dunno. It seems like the 80’s or maybe early 90’s. My wife and I were travelling in the UK at the time and I read it in the wee hours of the morning. It was one of the most influential pieces that I read. Actually, maybe i’ll write a post about the relationship between axelrod in cooperation and mandelbrot in stock markets, and taleb in risk, and equilibrium in prices. These behaviors are all the same: before we had data and computers we could not conduct these measurements and we could not see them. This means that unless one can describe an idea as a supply and demand curve, that one is engaging in idealism. DAVID I’ve been pondering this topic recently, mulling over the conflict between the moral universalism and ethnocentrism. One thing that’s readily obvious to me, especially being around alot of southern europeans, is that this ethnocentrism though isn’t always great. As it seems to me that it’s always accompanied with high family nepotism. Italy, is extremely regionalist and nepotistic within the family, and seriously limits how big their commons can be I think. The country is way too big as it is, with that level of heterogeneity. Some of it seems to be the greater levels of inbreeding that’s gone on historically. The bolded text in this post by hbd chick pretty much nails the kinship/family nepotism that goes on down there. https://www.reddit.com/…/the_reality_of_deep_southern_euro…/ Even in the anglo countries, I still see it going on, with italians from the same region letting eachother off parking fines It makes them more impervious to outside infiltration, but they can never reach the same commons as their northern neighbors. CURT Nepotism (family corporialism) is not the same as corruption or deceit. if one biases opportunities toward the family in maters not in the commons then that is not an imposition of costs upon others. If one exercises corruption in the production of commons, then that is another thing altogether. So you’d distinguish those then? CURT Yes. Favoring market opportunity is different from imposing costs upon the commons. Even the innocent nepotism, seems to be harmful to an extent. Like you mentioned on the Shoah, it limits a society’s ability to put the best person in the job. There was a good article recently outlining how in Romance Europe, family owned corporations are far more dominant than in the Anglo markets, where there’s ‘market-based management’, meritocracy essentially. So just as anglo model works under great opportunity (and as the model shows) the family model (and aristocracy which is also a family model) defeats the anglo over time. that’s what Axelrod’s model shows. DAVID This is true. As they cooperate with people defecting against them. Yes. It seems to me to be both a gift and a curse. That’s cliched, but its the only way I can think do describe attitudes in southern europe. CURT It’s just that no principle of measurement is infinitely extensible. A rule acts as a means of measurement (decidability). There are not infinitely true rules. There are limits to every rule. (Which is a very complex bit of philosophy, but the reason why apriorism can’t be true.) The tactics you use in one circumstance and those in another are different. It is probably short term better to use universal ethics until your competitors catch up, and then return to familial ethics in order to prevent defectors from becoming parasites. (this is a very good discussion we should probably post for others to follow) DAVID Yes. That’s what it seems to me. Southern europeans are capped in what they can do, but what they have is far more robust and secure than what the anglos and co have achieved. Should we post it on the Subreddit? CURT Yes. It’s a pretty good conversation that we can probably use to educate others. We are touching on a set of very big ideas here that are not obvious: the limits to any evolutaionary strategy, the advantage of familialism over universalism in the long term, the conceptual problem of training people to models and demand curves instead of ideal types and linear progressions. What we are saying is that we must increase the complexity of the basis of moral argument. DAVID Yes, we cant simply pretend to have moral arguments among ourselves (as europeans) in isolation any longer. It’s eating away at us. I went through my finance textbook and found the study about family ownership I mentioned. Faccio & Lang, “The Ultimate Ownership of Western European Corporations” (1997) A bit older than I thought Also, there’s a study indicating their outperformance over more anglo style firms, strangely enough. Anderson & Reeb, “Founding Family Ownership and Firm Performance from the S&P500” (2003) Going to head off. CURT Cheers

  • Information Systems for the Persistence of Man

    SYSTEMS G-GENES, 0-PROPERTY, 1-INTUITION, 2-REASON, 3-COOPERATION(REPRODUCTIVE DIVISION OF PERCEPTION, COGNITION, KNOWLEDGE, LABOR)

    (profound) (worth repeating)

    [O]ur logical capacity extends to the limits defined by the flight of an arrow. For more complex multi-dimensional relations we resort to the cartesian representations. And if the problem is more complicated than that, then our reason, and ability to envision causal relations, is terribly frail.

    And if I am correct (and it appears at present that I am), then “System 0″ is little more than a producer of reward and punishment endorphins in response to increases or decreases in an individual’s inventory of “property”. Property that is necessary for his life, cooperation and reproduction.

    Emotions are reactions to changes in state. Changes in state are determined by changes in property. Humans act to acquire that which improves their condition. Humans resent and punish, at great personal expense, appropriations of that which they have acted to acquire.

    Reason (Stanovich’s System “2”) rides on the elephant of intuition (Stanovich’s System “1”), whose objects of consideration ( Doolittle’s System “0”) are what we call ‘property’. Our brains are difference engines. And we calculate differences in property: that which we have acted to obtain.

    Curt Doolittle
    The Propertarian Institute
    Kiev.

  • Information Systems for the Persistence of Man

    SYSTEMS G-GENES, 0-PROPERTY, 1-INTUITION, 2-REASON, 3-COOPERATION(REPRODUCTIVE DIVISION OF PERCEPTION, COGNITION, KNOWLEDGE, LABOR)

    (profound) (worth repeating)

    [O]ur logical capacity extends to the limits defined by the flight of an arrow. For more complex multi-dimensional relations we resort to the cartesian representations. And if the problem is more complicated than that, then our reason, and ability to envision causal relations, is terribly frail.

    And if I am correct (and it appears at present that I am), then “System 0″ is little more than a producer of reward and punishment endorphins in response to increases or decreases in an individual’s inventory of “property”. Property that is necessary for his life, cooperation and reproduction.

    Emotions are reactions to changes in state. Changes in state are determined by changes in property. Humans act to acquire that which improves their condition. Humans resent and punish, at great personal expense, appropriations of that which they have acted to acquire.

    Reason (Stanovich’s System “2”) rides on the elephant of intuition (Stanovich’s System “1”), whose objects of consideration ( Doolittle’s System “0”) are what we call ‘property’. Our brains are difference engines. And we calculate differences in property: that which we have acted to obtain.

    Curt Doolittle
    The Propertarian Institute
    Kiev.

  • SYSTEMS G-GENES, 0-PROPERTY, 1-INTUITION, 2-REASON, 3-COOPERATION(REPRODUCTIVE D

    SYSTEMS G-GENES, 0-PROPERTY, 1-INTUITION, 2-REASON, 3-COOPERATION(REPRODUCTIVE DIVISION OF PERCEPTION, COGNITION, KNOWLEDGE, LABOR)

    (profound) (worth repeating)

    Our logical capacity extends to the limits defined by the flight of an arrow. For more complex multi-dimensional relations we resort to the cartesian representations. And if the problem is more complicated than that, then our reason, and ability to envision causal relations, is terribly frail.

    And if I am correct (and it appears at present that I am), then “System 0″ is little more than a producer of reward and punishment endorphins in response to increases or decreases in an individual’s inventory of “property”. Property that is necessary for his life, cooperation and reproduction.

    Emotions are reactions to changes in state. Changes in state are determined by changes in property. Humans act to acquire that which improves their condition. Humans resent, and punish, at great personal expense, appropriations of that which they have acted to acquire.

    Reason (Kahneman’s System “2”) rides on the elephant of intuition (Kahneman’s System “1”), whose objects of consideration (System “0”) are what we call ‘property’. Our brains are difference engines. And we calculate differences in property: that which we have acted to obtain.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-06-27 11:16:00 UTC

  • PROPERTARIANISM AND INFORMATION THEORY (Guest Post) Eds: Kirill stated “well, yo

    PROPERTARIANISM AND INFORMATION THEORY

    (Guest Post)

    Eds: Kirill stated “well, you’ve unified science and social science. So how do we unify science, social science, and information theory”. (Pretty awesomely Nerdy question really!!!) He thought about if for a bit and sent me this post. And, maybe it’s hard to grasp the elegance of his point, but if you’re enough of a science wonk then you’ll see how brilliantly he puts it together (Despite English being his third language.)

    “FROM ENTROPY TO TRUTH TELLING”

    – Kirill Latish

    [E]ntropy is commonly understood as a measure of disorder. According to the second law of thermodynamics entropy of isolated system never decreases. Moreover. Hubble’s law tells us that Entropy of Universe tends to increase with time. And even more — the cosmological arrow of time points in the direction of the Universe’s expansion, or in other words — in the direction of Entropy increasing.

    So we can assume that everything tends to Chaos – most stable state. That means that Evolution – is expressible as “a process of chaos production”.

    This statement looks absurd from the first look. You can argue – we investigate the Universe, learn more and more about Nature, produce new and new things (read – order). But let’s not forget about costs. Each bit of partial knowledge that we accumulate, each product that we produce – is the result of an action, and that action, according to the second law of thermodynamics, can only increase Entropy. So that means it increased the amount of Chaos.

    **Everything we do leads to increasing amount of disorder in the Universe**

    From the other side we can say that Intelligence level of a person is amount of Chaos produced by this person. At the same time Intelligence level is amount of True facts that person knows and can use. And there are only two ways how we can “earn” Truth facts – empirical, or analytical:

    – Empirical – try to get Truth from experiments.

    – Analytical – try to get Truth statements from the information flow around us.

    COMMUNICATION

    Information flow exists only because we communicate with each other. So let’s ask – why do we communicate? And the answer is fairly simple – it is profitable for us. In many senses. From the beginning of our history we collaborate because it is much easier to survive in groups. It is easier to defeat our enemies, easier to learn, easier to resist to unpleasant environment conditions, and easier to produce goods and services of all kinds.

    And so we can make two key conclusions:

    1. In groups we can do more than apart – so the group is producing more disorder than all members individually.

    2. For all our lives we try to resist the Universe – we are trying to not become fuel for Chaos.

    TRUTH TELLING

    And let’s think about difference between telling Truth and Lying. Truth telling is expensive in short term perspective because you have to check facts, and telling A lie doesn’t cost anything. But in long term perspective Truth telling gives you a competitive advantage by giving you the ability to use knowledge against your enemies.

    And it is only one real choice that you have in your life – tell the truth and face up with all costs on this way, or lie and become a fuel for the Universe. From that point choice is obvious. But the problem is that we are almost always using greedy algorithms trying to solve our problems. But that doesn’t work in long-term perspective – and moreover – leads to defeat in the main battle in our life – Battle for survival.

    So now we have very clear, long-term, survival strategy:

    ***Collaborate with society, operate only with truthful facts, try to attract maximum number of participants to your group in long term***

    Kirill Latish,

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2015-06-24 08:17:00 UTC

  • THE ELIMINATION OF MONOPOLY FROM REPRODUCTION, PRODUCTION OF GOODS AND SERVICES,

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sBNg4NpDTxMEVOLUTION: THE ELIMINATION OF MONOPOLY FROM REPRODUCTION, PRODUCTION OF GOODS AND SERVICES, AND FROM THE PRODUCTION OF THE COMMONS.

    (profound idea)

    The only moral criteria I can identify is one of voluntary cooperation, and the only political criteria I can find across heterogeneous moral codes is voluntary cooperation , reflecting heterogeneous reproductive strategies. The more incompetent require mutual insurance, and the more competent require liberty. The more incompetent require socialism, the more competent require private property. The more incompetent require organization, the more competent construct the voluntary organization of production. Both the more competent and less incompetent require organized violence in both defense, and construction of the voluntary organization of production.

    There is no reason we cannot create a market for (a) the construction of commons, just as we have created a market for (b) the provision of goods and services, and a ‘market’ for (c)the provision of mates: marriage. But to create a market for the construction of the commons, we must give up on the monopoly of decision making that we gave up under alpha monopoly of reproduction, totalitarian monopoly of organizing agricultural production in the fertile crescent – and give up on monopoly of production of commons.

    I am quite certain that alphas could not imagine marriage and monogamy, equally certain that tyrants could not imagine the voluntary organization of production, and it is obvious that we now face the problem of the voluntary organization of commons. But whether a dramatic change in affairs is hard to imagine places little bearing upon its possibility. All that was required for marriage was the use of violence to produce reproductive choice. All that was required to create the market was the use of violence to produce productive choice. All that is required to create a market for commons is the application of violence to government, to prevent all involuntary transfers, free riding, rent seeking, privatization of gains, and socialization of losses from the organized production of commons: to transform the monopoly production of commons that we call government, to a market for the production of commons.

    Monopoly serves no purpose except involuntary transfer.

    See:


    Source date (UTC): 2015-01-08 14:35:00 UTC

  • (sketch) (model) (computer model of polities) The literature of psychology and s

    (sketch) (model) (computer model of polities)

    The literature of psychology and sociology is not just littered, but polluted with the errors of universalism (equality etc). Where it isn’t it’s polluted with socialism or the fallacy of treating non-compliance and conformity as a disease rather than a specialization. So the axis of thought tends to be largely pseudoscientific if not just plain ‘wrong’. You may want to help an individual in terms of diagnoses, but you want to help a culture with an understanding of psychological _supply and demand_.

    ———————–

    Pretty sure this is about right. All can be represented as ‘v’ shaped curves I think, or overlapping bell curves

    1) SOLIPSISTIC – AUTISTIC SPECTRUM

    –FEMININE–

    …………”CRAZY”

    …………SOLIPSISTIC

    …………SENSITIVE

    …………CONSIDERATE

    –NORMAL–

    …………FOCUSED

    …………OCD

    …………ASPIE

    …………AUTIST

    –MASCULINE–

    2) IQ SPECTRUM – VERBAL SPECTRUM and SPATIAL SPECTRUM

    3) IMPULSIVITY SPECTRUM and TIME PREFERENCE SPECTRUM

    4) REPRODUCTIVE DESIRABILITY SPECTRUM and GROUP UTILITY SPECTRUM

    5) FAMILY STRUCTURE SPECTRUM MATERNAL(COLLECTIVE – socialism) and PATERNAL(INDIVIDUAL – property rights)

    6) MILITARY CRITERIA FOR ‘WINNING’ and GEOGRAPHY/TERRAIN SPECTRUM

    That’s a simple model. And I think it’s probably very predictive. I could add geography, and competitors to it and probably produce a wonderful model (simulation) and that would be pretty interesting.

    Be fascinating to start out with different data sets and see what survives to some sort of equilibrium.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-07-10 10:49:00 UTC

  • HAYEK AND COMPUTER SCIENTISTS : SIMILAR, CORRECT, MODEL “[Hayek] made a quite fr

    HAYEK AND COMPUTER SCIENTISTS : SIMILAR, CORRECT, MODEL

    “[Hayek] made a quite fruitful suggestion, made contemporaneously by the psychologist Donald Hebb, that whatever kind of encounter the sensory system has with the world, a corresponding event between a particular cell in the brain and some other cell carrying the information from the outside word must result in reinforcement of the connection between those cells. These day, this is known as a Hebbian synapse, but von Hayek quite independently came upon the idea. I think the essence of his analysis still remains with us.”

    — Gerald Edelman, in “Through a Computer Darkly : Group Selection and Higher Brain Function”, in Bulletin — The American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Vol. XXXVI, No. 1, (October 1982), p. 25


    Source date (UTC): 2013-10-23 03:46:00 UTC