Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • (Rumination on the deterministic centralization of banking) Well, you know, I’m

    (Rumination on the deterministic centralization of banking)

    Well, you know, I’m on the optimistic side, and I thought there was at least a reasonable chance the feds could get ahead of this self-created contagion so that it wouldn’t spiral very quickly, but you can see where this banking episode is going, employment is going, the workforce threat is coming from, the demographic threat is coming from, strategic threats are coming from, and I think the ‘experiment’ with Keynesian limits – much of which occurred in my lifetime – is on the way to being over. It’s no solace that Austrians get to say “I told you so” as we did in 2008.

    Between JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, and Visa we might as well nationalize it all. Because the “Red State Banks” are going to have a really hard time pretty soon.

    Unfortunately, the govt is too slow with FEDCOIN. And the blue-red-grey war in culture and Congress is so divisive (and unresolvable and at least for the right, unforgivable), when combined with the complete impossibility of a democratic government with short-term service to produce and execute strategic planning outside of the military – means that nothing will change until a crisis occurs.

    That said, I still don’t see how the world runs anywhere but the USA and the Dollar as this crisis and the subsequent decline of global trade contracts, and wealthy populations continue to collapse.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-04 01:31:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653935231399784448

  • (Rumination on the deterministic centralization of banking) Well, you know, I’m

    (Rumination on the deterministic centralization of banking)

    Well, you know, I’m on the optimistic side, and I thought there was at least a reasonable chance the feds could get ahead of this self-created contagion so that it wouldn’t spiral very quickly, but you can see where this banking episode is going, employment is going, the workforce threat is coming from, the demographic threat is coming from, strategic threats are coming from, and I think the ‘experiment’ with Keynesian limits – much of which occurred in my lifetime – is on the way to being over. It’s no solace that Austrians get to say “I told you so” as we did in 2008.

    Between JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, and Visa we might as well nationalize it all. Because the “Red State Banks” are going to have a really hard time pretty soon.

    Unfortunately, the govt is too slow with FEDCOIN. And the blue-red-grey war in culture and Congress is so divisive (and unresolvable and at least for the right, unforgivable), when combined with the complete impossibility of a democratic government with short-term service to produce and execute strategic planning outside of the military – means that nothing will change until a crisis occurs.

    That said, I still don’t see how the world runs anywhere but the USA and the Dollar as this crisis and the subsequent decline of global trade contracts, and wealthy populations continue to collapse.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-04 01:31:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653935231529889795

  • Individual banks reporting their numbers, despite state participation vs local a

    Individual banks reporting their numbers, despite state participation vs local and regional government numbers entirely captured by the state. Banks have an interest in stating this information at least vageuly accurately.

    (FWIW: the reason my prediction of the timing China’s ‘correction’ was so far off, and the only long term prediction I’ve been off on, was the quality of the information, which we increasingly understand, with increasing shock, was effectively fabricated.)

    Reply addressees: @whitehibachiguy


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-03 13:33:10 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653754574015012866

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653744627592069121

  • Individual banks reporting their numbers, despite state participation vs local a

    Individual banks reporting their numbers, despite state participation vs local and regional government numbers entirely captured by the state. Banks have an interest in stating this information at least vageuly accurately.

    (FWIW: the reason my prediction of the timing China’s ‘correction’ was so far off, and the only long term prediction I’ve been off on, was the quality of the information, which we increasingly understand, with increasing shock, was effectively fabricated.)


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-03 13:33:10 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653754574086307850

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653744627592069121

  • “Chinese banks have completed 100% of their annual deposit targets in Q1 but onl

    –“Chinese banks have completed 100% of their annual deposit targets in Q1 but only 10% of their loan targests.”–

    Well, kinda hard to make money on deposits and to pay interest when you can’t make loans…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-03 12:31:38 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653739090783641602

  • RE: “FDIC financing $50 billion to JP Morgan.” The problem is the float. The flo

    RE: “FDIC financing $50 billion to JP Morgan.”

    The problem is the float. The float of the bank they’re taking over is gone – that’s the reason for their seizure. So for solving the problem for the government of keeping the bank alive, and preventing the need for the FDIC to payout on guarantees on the 250k limit (minimum but really all of it) while STILL having the bank fail, the FDIC instead, loaned JPM 50B so it would have the float (cash flow) to handle the seized biz, and to tolerate additional runs on that seized bank.

    In other words, this was a good deal for everyone. Especially when it’s the fed that by inflation caused the bonds to be valueless and drove these banks under.

    There are plenty of reasons to blame the industry for 2008. And yes, there is some blame here for failing to predict the increase in interest rates and the decline in value of bonds. But as far as I can see the system is working FAR better than in 83 or 08. And I’m kind of impressed really. (Tho it will continue to get worse over the next couple of years.)


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-01 18:01:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653097389031317516

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653001447250821126

  • RE: “FDIC financing $50 billion to JP Morgan.” The problem is the float. The flo

    RE: “FDIC financing $50 billion to JP Morgan.”

    The problem is the float. The float of the bank they’re taking over is gone – that’s the reason for their seizure. So for solving the problem for the government of keeping the bank alive, and preventing the need for the FDIC to payout on guarantees on the 250k limit (minimum but really all of it) while STILL having the bank fail, the FDIC instead, loaned JPM 50B so it would have the float (cash flow) to handle the seized biz, and to tolerate additional runs on that seized bank.

    In other words, this was a good deal for everyone. Especially when it’s the fed that by inflation caused the bonds to be valueless and drove these banks under.

    There are plenty of reasons to blame the industry for 2008. And yes, there is some blame here for failing to predict the increase in interest rates and the decline in value of bonds. But as far as I can see the system is working FAR better than in 83 or 08. And I’m kind of impressed really. (Tho it will continue to get worse over the next couple of years.)

    Reply addressees: @toodarkmark


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-01 18:01:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653097388905472001

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653001447250821126

  • yes. Is consumption capitalizing? No. Is it decapitalizing (yes). How can I have

    yes. Is consumption capitalizing? No. Is it decapitalizing (yes). How can I have responsibility without capital to be responsible for? I can’t. How can i increase my consumption without increasing my responsibility for capital?

    Ergo we evolved in a world of justificationary via positiva logicl of the male, but we must think of the female as a via negative: all existence is maximization of consumption by evasion of responsibility for the production, defense, transformation, and trade of capital whether private or common.

    Ergo the habit of stating the female as via negativa of the male.

    See?


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-01 17:47:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653093866063421449

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653092398191239175

  • yes. Is consumption capitalizing? No. Is it decapitalizing (yes). How can I have

    yes. Is consumption capitalizing? No. Is it decapitalizing (yes). How can I have responsibility without capital to be responsible for? I can’t. How can i increase my consumption without increasing my responsibility for capital?

    Ergo we evolved in a world of justificationary via positiva logicl of the male, but we must think of the female as a via negative: all existence is maximization of consumption by evasion of responsibility for the production, defense, transformation, and trade of capital whether private or common.

    Ergo the habit of stating the female as via negativa of the male.

    See?

    Reply addressees: @Turbo_Flux @TheAutistocrat @WalterIII @StevePender


    Source date (UTC): 2023-05-01 17:47:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653093865966952464

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1653092398191239175

  • RT @William68332190: @ConceptualJames @curtdoolittle Businesses are not allowed

    RT @William68332190: @ConceptualJames @curtdoolittle Businesses are not allowed to collude to fix prices or wages. But they can collude to…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-30 20:00:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1652764933686276099