Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • the malthusian myth is dangerous. But dont’ be self impressed with our productiv

    http://www.capitalismv3.com/index.php/2011/07/well-the-world-may-or-may-not-be-overpopulated-but-its-energy-not-geography-that-determines-population/Yes, the malthusian myth is dangerous. But dont’ be self impressed with our productivity: “It’s All Energy Silly.”


    Source date (UTC): 2011-07-23 16:34:00 UTC

  • I’ve got to share this because it’s…. ridiculous. From Absurd Economics: The r

    https://helda.helsinki.fi/bitstream/handle/10138/27239/HECER-DP335.pdfOK I’ve got to share this because it’s…. ridiculous. From Absurd Economics: The relationship between the size of male genitalia and economic performance. Very small and very large populations underperform. ie: Asians and Africans. What’s the optimum GDP producing size? 5.31 inches. (Who thinks of this stuff? And who PAYS for it? — Other people spam Dilbert strips. Today I spam the academic equivalent.)


    Source date (UTC): 2011-07-20 07:26:00 UTC

  • definition of “Equitable” requires we understand ALL the transfers involved, and

    http://www.capitalismv3.com/?p=3302Any definition of “Equitable” requires we understand ALL the transfers involved, and the ALL consequences of those transfers.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-07-18 08:56:00 UTC

  • Mark Thoma Asks A Fallacy Of False Choice With “Which Tax Is Preferable?”

    On Economists View, Mark asks:

    Is it important for taxes to be progressive? Or is progressivity in the net benefits the only important consideration?

    In this context:

    In Europe, the VAT is used extensively. VATs are regressive, but they’re an important source of revenue for the highly progressive tax-and-transfer systems in Europe. That is, although the tax itself is regressive, it is very good at producing revenue and once the distribution of benefits is accounted for (both cash transfers and other benefits), the systems are highly progressive overall. I have always argued for progressive taxes, in particular for the principle of “equal marginal sacrifice” (the lost dollar paid in taxes should lower utility by the same amount or everyone, and since the marginal utility of a dollar falls with income this implies a progressive structure). But increasingly I’m wondering if a flatter structure that brings in more revenue and ends up more progressive once the benefits are accounted for might not be better. The political right seems to think there is something valuable about the pain from paying taxes, that’s why they complain when people are able to avoid them (unless you are rich and manage this through legal avoidance). ((Note: Mark makes another mistake in criticizing the rich for avoiding taxes, when the reason that they avoid them is their disagreement over how they are USED, and the unequal risk they must take to create wealth. Again, financial sector aside. Conservatives think in terms of business people. Progressives think in terms of bankers. )) When people are forced to feel the pain from taxes, they argue, that helps to keep government small (this seems to argue for equal marginal sacrifice and progressivity so that the marginal pain is the same). My argument for progressivity is a bit different. It is based upon equity. It seems fair to have those with more pay proportionately more. But why shouldn’t the overall outcome be the important consideration?

    So, he bases his question on the assumption of ‘Equity’ in result, meaning that ‘a moral sense of equity’ is the means by which decisions should be made. A SELF SERVING DEFINITION OF EQUITY. Even if Mark’s right that ‘equal marginal sacrifice’ is the definition of ‘equity’, it is a selective definition because it only considers money transferred. But far more than money is reallocated in these transfers. He’s using (as do most progressives) a conveniently selective definition of ‘transfers’. All transfers have secondary effects called ‘externalities’. An economist who selectively chooses to ignore externalities in transfers is effectively committing a form of deception. In Mark’s case, given his consistency, it’s a form of self deception that humans commonly use to deceive themselves and others in order to justify obtaining their preferences. What are the Non-Monetary transfers under ‘equal marginal sacrifice’?

      SIGNALS MATTERS Humans will sacrifice food and money to observe their alphas. They learn from their alphas. There are alphas in every social group, and every economic group. Without social status, there would be little signal for people to learn from. People would invent ‘black market signals’ for social status. The benefit of the western model is that social status is earned through the service of consumers in the market, not mysticism, or violence. While redistribution of money may be sound, redistribution of status is HARMFUL. ((I differ from my other libertarian friends on redistribution for TECHNICAL and LOGICAL reasons that I believe would invalidate propertarian analysis. An accidental side effect of Hoppe’s interpretation of Habermas.)) This is not to say that there isn’t a Pareto efficient system of redistribution that transfers no status, creates no aristocratic disincentives, and that deprives society of no knowledge. There is such thing. But it is not ‘knowable’ or ‘calculable’ using politicians. PERVERTED INCENTIVES As an political economist, what I object to most about this discourse, is that the function of the ‘state’ is to determine how the spoils are split, instead of how to increase the pool of spoils. After all, entrepreneurs risk their lives and homes to create wealth. It does not magically happen. And specialization being what it is, and humans having the incentives and motivations that they do, there is a regressive conflict of interest between having one political organization focus on the EASY task of redistribution AND the VERY HARD task of creating prosperity via the market. Humans universally select those politically rewarding and easily understood problems. Innovation is a very hard problem where one can be wrong at all times. It involves risk. Redistribution is quite simple. Trivial. Fun even. Everyone wants to give away someone else’s money. No one wants to be responsible and accountable for creating returns on investment. Instead, if we had two houses: one which created wealth through investment, and another which could distribute returns on that investment, then the conversation about our society would be quite different. Equity would be something both ends of the spectrum desired. THE FALSE CHOICE Mark’s question is a false choice. There is no equity in forcible transfer. There is equity in charity because of the social status people award to contributors to society, and along with social status, ability to command adherence to norms. There is equity in voluntary exchange. But there is no equity in forcible redistribution of money, no equity in deprivation of status, no equity in debasement of norms, no equity in involuntary transfer, no equity in appropriation of political power. So the question is not one of equity. It may perhaps, be one of UTILITY: in that keeping the lower classes well fed, well protected, and gainfully employed is actually CHEAPER than having them ill fed, uneducated, and engaged in career mischief. But any claim of “Equity” assumes a community of shared interests toward ends and means. And under involuntary transfer – theft – there is no possibility of community in a domestic empire as diverse as the USA. TAX DEMOCRACY INSTEAD OF REPRESENTATIVE DEMOCRACY Furthermore, any assessment of ‘equity’ requires that some random person in ‘authority’ determines how ‘equity’ is measured (if at all), who to take money from, how much to take, and what purposes to put it to. And this process is highly politicized. So the question is false as it is structured. But there is still an alternative: Assuming that instead, all people above certain incomes were required to contribute an aggressive and progressive amount of their income by purchasing auctions for the purpose of fulfilling community ends – then they would actually have choice in the matter. And because of transparency, these people could be controlled — assuming that their contributions were visible, and their names attached, so that they would be checked by market forces. The process of ‘elections’ then would be turned from one of class warfare, abstract rhetoric, and demagoguery wherein we create that most horrid of specialists – the politician. TO one where we actively engaged and encouraged our upper classes to participate in society, rather than make as much as they can before abandoning it. Sick bureaucracies would be eliminated easily and quickly. Government waste would be radically reduced. Our precious ‘Universal Insurance’ programs would be managed by market forces. And society would be steered by popular sentiment, rather than political diatribe. In other words, an tax democracy:

        ANSWERING MARK’S QUESTION Under such a system a highly progressive income tax would be superior to a VAT, because a VAT puts unnecessary burden on the lower classes, and creates unnecessary and expensive administration costs. POLITICIANS ARE ARTIFACTS The political class is an artifact of our prior lack of the information technology needed to make directly democratic decisions. We no longer lack that technology. We no longer need politicians. We need technology, free speech, courts, and public intellectuals. We do not need politicians. Politicians are commissioned salesmen for the transfer of wealth from producers to those in need, and transfer of social status from those who have earned it to those politicians who do not. We do not need rulers. We only need rules and tools. WHY PEOPLE OBJECT TO GOVERNMENT It is not taxes people object to. It is the disagreeable use of them. Especially uses that take from them status and the political power to defend themselves. It’s not the abstract of government that people object to. It is the dishonesty of electoral politics the technique of fomenting class warfare, the transfer of earned social status, and the incompetence and self service of bureaucracy.

      • don’t disagree on objectives. We disagree on methods and externalities

        http://www.capitalismv3.com/?p=3184We don’t disagree on objectives. We disagree on methods and externalities.


        Source date (UTC): 2011-07-10 00:18:00 UTC

      • We Don’t Disagree On Objectives

        On Modeled Behavior, Karl posts that Unemployment is ‘Awful’. And he posts a chart illustrating that losing a job is a serious emotional experience. But, the most obvious conclusion from the data in that chart is that “separation from your social and familial group” – separation from your tribe – is what troubles human beings the most. There is nothing to be learned about ‘money’ from the list of psychological stressors. That aside, and back to your point: No one disagrees that unemployment is bad. The disagreement results from our differences in opinion over how to improve unemployment while producing the least damaging externalities. The difference between conservatives and progressives is largely one of creating systemic fixes with positive externalities using the private sector that may take time on the one hand, and creating dependencies that create negative externalities using the government sector that produce immediate relief and long term negative consequences that serve to reduce liberty on the other. And in the different evaluation of those externalities by the two sides. To progressives, a powerful state that helps them oppose the market is beneficial. To conservatives a powerful state that opposes the market is a threat. It is inconceivable to conservatives that freedom is not more important than temporary stress. Conservatives in the US are classical liberals, which by definition means liberty-seekers. Freedom is an intrinsic good. They do not understand that freedom is, and always has been, a minority proposition, and that only under rare circumstances can freedom be obtained – precisely because a large percentage of people do not want it, and another group can achieve elite status by preventing any group from obtaining it. Market prosperity requires personal freedom: property rights. Market prosperity does not require political or national freedom. Given the distribution of freedom seekers versus security seekers, Political freedom for the majority is a guarantee that the freedom-seeking minority will lose both political and personal freedom. Freedom is not a desire of the many. Inexpensive goods that result from freedom are. But freedom to take risks in the market is, and always has been, a minority proposition that is only possible during periods where the majority of citizens are small business people – such as under expansionist agrarianism in both Classical Greece, MIgration Period Settlement, Ascendent England, and the conquest of the american continent. The rest of the time, most people are some form of dependent – serfs – to the minority of people who actually take personal speculative risk in creating production for the market. The progressive vision of the universe is that there is a world of plenty from which they are ostracized. The conservative vision of the universe is that there is a world of scarcity which must be constantly replenished through risk taking and experimentation. The progressive sees human reason as able to solve anything we can agree upon. The conservative vision sees human reason as demonstrably frail, and that our hubris is what undermines our success – only discipline and work can create material improvement.

      • started with higher unemployment and contracted less. “Far from suffering its wo

        http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/Programs/ES/BPEA/2011_spring_bpea_papers/2011_spring_bpea_conference_burda.pdfGermany started with higher unemployment and contracted less. “Far from suffering its worst labor market response since the war, as the United States did, Germany employment barely fell. … the key explanation is that the low confidence of manufacturers that the preceding expansion would last led to low hiring at that time, which meant that fewer workers needed to be laid off…”


        Source date (UTC): 2011-07-05 12:05:00 UTC

      • problem of “Beached White Males”. The middle aged unemployed may never be employ

        http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2011/07/04/krauthammer_middle-aged_may_never_get_employed_again.html#.ThMr2PaN3sc.facebookThe problem of “Beached White Males”. The middle aged unemployed may never be employed again. If we distort the economy with credit so that people pursue careers that are only possible within credit bubbles, they are no longer retrainable and able to reenter the work force.


        Source date (UTC): 2011-07-05 11:24:00 UTC

      • of the US population spends 50% of healthcare dollars. 50% of the US population

        http://nihcm.org/images/stories/NIHCM-CostBrief-Email.pdf5% of the US population spends 50% of healthcare dollars. 50% of the US population spends only 3% of healthcare dollars.


        Source date (UTC): 2011-06-30 20:42:00 UTC

      • Keynesian Stagnationism is diametrically opposed to Creative Destruction. We can

        Keynesian Stagnationism is diametrically opposed to Creative Destruction. We cannot forecast the future. But we can choose to allow ourselves to build it. The western social technologies of competition, science, the rule of law, consumerism, and the work ethic are just that – technologies for constant reorganization. And the reason we could develop those technologies was Fraternalism:Aristocracy.


        Source date (UTC): 2011-06-30 11:12:00 UTC