Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • Why Should A Person Believe In Austrian Economics?

    It is not a question of ‘belief’. There are five or six different strategic economic biases in favor of a different set of levers for encouraging an economy. These different levers vary from the fastest and most redistributive and distorting to the slowest, least redistributive and distorting.   They are loosely Modern Monetary (fastest), Monetarism, Fiscal Policy, Industrial policy, and Human Capital policy (slowest – austrianism).

    The other criticisms of the ideas of these schools as consisting of ‘true’ or ‘false’ propositions are absurd. All schools are merely utilitarian, and reward one or more sectors of an economy and one or more social classes, asymmetrically. All have side effects that are positive or negative.   Austrianism trades slower growth for greater personal freedom, greater innovation, smaller boom and bust cycles, with greater development of a natural aristocracy, and natural intertemporal increases in the rate of expansion of the economy between the classes.

    The competition between the schools is merely a preference for one set of EXTERNALITIES over another set of externalities.  With austrianism preferring to cause the lowest redistribution of capital, and the greatest reward, and greatest incentive for entrepreneurship, and the least incentive for political actors, and the greatest diversity of wealth (inequality), in exchange for greater relative wealth for all.  It also has the best system of feedback for the expansion of positive norms – which conservatives feel (correctly) are more important for the expansion of an economy than any other property.

    Claims that austiranism is apodeicitcally certain are specious.  Any system so certain must be substantially complete, and praxeology as it is currently constructed is incomplete enough that it cannot render judgements of certainty except in the most reductio (absurd) cases. (I am trying to fix this problem but it will take me another year or so.)   Instead, praxeological analysis simply exposes the the incentives of individuals and illustrates their rational actions,  IN effect allowing us to judge whether our ascertations about human behavior are true or false.   This leads to exceptional insights about human nature in an economy.  However, a) this does not invalidate the other schools only opens the door for discussions of trade offs.  b) we have been wrong on a number of topics that appear to be rational to individual actors but in practice are false (stickiness of prices, and irrationality of actions.)  

    The central tenet of austiranism, is the business cycle theory, which states that any  intervention in an economy will pervert incentives and information and causes worse busts and booms.  This argument appears to be correct. It is just questionably useful in a democracy where voters will demand action from government.

    A wise man would say, that each of these sets of levers and externalities has value to moving an economy.  But that it appears to be impossible in our democratically structured politcal system, to use each lever for the purposes to which it is suited, and for the benefit of all.  Politics in democracy is a means of obtaining power to conduct rents.   And since each of the different schools and their levers allows a different kind of rent to be sought for a different class of citizens, we merely fight over the control of these levers for our sects.

    You will not likely hear this explanation elsewhere. You may not understand this explanation.  Because I cannot take the time, sitting in my hotel room, to write a twenty page essay on the topic.  However, it is most likely the only correct analysis of the different economic schools currently available.

    Cheers.
    Curt
    (Thank you for asking me to answer this question. Although I think only the most sophisticated of students will understand it.)

    https://www.quora.com/Why-should-a-person-believe-in-Austrian-economics

  • No, the price of gasoline is not increasing. The value of the dollar is decreasi

    No, the price of gasoline is not increasing.

    The value of the dollar is decreasing.

    There is a difference.

    A really big scary difference.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-10-02 10:00:00 UTC

  • THE NUMBER OF HOURS NEEDED TO PURCHASE A GLASS OF BEER Practical cost of living

    THE NUMBER OF HOURS NEEDED TO PURCHASE A GLASS OF BEER

    Practical cost of living differences between countries.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-25 11:33:00 UTC

  • PRIVATE SCHOOLS SUCCEED

    http://econjwatch.org/articles/why-the-denial-low-cost-private-schools-in-developing-countries-and-their-contributions-to-educationWATCH : PRIVATE SCHOOLS SUCCEED


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-24 21:23:00 UTC

  • 47% OR IS IT 74%? I love that this issue is getting popularized. This article tr

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/five-myths-about-the-47-percent/2012/09/21/57dc7bbe-0341-11e2-8102-ebee9c66e190_story.htmlTHE 47% OR IS IT 74%?

    I love that this issue is getting popularized. This article tries to debunk a few myths but misses out on a few important and related statistics:

    a) something close to 74% of people join the tax paying majority at some point in their lives. The young, immigrants and the old of course, are not. The people of productive age of course are. So, it’s true that at any given point less than half of americans pay taxes. But that’s not the same thing as saying that more than half of them will become, or have been, taxpayers.

    b) The 1% consists largely of people who are in that 1% for only one or two years – people who make windfalls.

    c) About 12% of americans actually qualify as ‘poor’. The rest are either recent immigrants, young or old, and the remainder are those who have made poor reproductive decisions, or have other problems that leave them to the left of the curve.

    d) Any statistic that makes use of ‘household’ rather than individual numbers means the author is lying. The composition of the family has eroded so significantly since the sixties that any statistical comparison of households is irrelevant. We humans choose spatial independence at all costs. This means more smaller poorer households.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-23 16:34:00 UTC

  • Is There Any Independent, Third-party Research On The Fiscal Grievance Of Catalonia With Spain?

    Joe: that’s not what the numbers mean.
    Catalonia represents 14% of the population and pays 22% of the taxes.  The tax rate is both unfair, and harmful, since it is the one region of spain that might form an innovative industrial heartland, in southern Europe. Furthermore,  Catalonias speak a slightly different language and have a distinct culture and have tried repeatedly to gain independence from spain, only succeeding for a brief period.

    Federalism only works if a culture is homogenous.  That is the problem for the US, and for Europe,

    https://www.quora.com/Is-there-any-independent-third-party-research-on-the-fiscal-grievance-of-Catalonia-with-Spain

  • How Sound Is The Process Of Providing Government Stimulus Based On Keynesian Economics In A Country With A Large Fiscal Deficit?

    Bertil Hatt answers the question correctly. But I think I”ll try to add an answer to WHY that trust is necessary.

    I tend to criticize Keynesian advocates daily, Krugman included, for arguing under the pretense that people do not understand the Keynesian model and the value of Keynesian stimulus.  It’s not that they don’t understand.  Its that the act of providing such a stimulus rewards and expands the government and its influence.  And the citizens have become polarized, into the the masculine hierarchcal model (conservative aristocracy) and the feminine communal model (social democracy), and no longer trust the government to spend in favor of all, but in favor of their cultural constituency.

    Small homogenous cultures tend to be redistributive.  One of the sillly myths, is that 350M americans of various value systems can be governed as are 10M northern european protestant germanics.  Majority rule assists us in selecting fiscal priorities when our interests and values are the same.  But as the values of a country become heterogeneous through immigration, or the breakdown of the nuclear family that allows women to return to their communal state of bearing children but asking others to pay for them, we render majority rule impossible. Because now we are not selecting priorities for the use of scarce resources, and generating laws to prevent privatization of those investment ‘commons’, but we are instead, generating laws to advance one system of moral codes at the expense of another, and using money from one group to achieve what is amoral to them.

    This is why democratic government is limited to homogenous cultural entities.  And why the market serves us across heterogeneous entities.  Our institutions of majority rule are not competent to solve this problem of heterogeneous values.

    So in a heterogeneous state, the Keynesian stimulus only works if the government can spend on investments that do not favor one constituency or another. And that is impossible.

    https://www.quora.com/How-sound-is-the-process-of-providing-government-stimulus-based-on-Keynesian-economics-in-a-country-with-a-large-fiscal-deficit

  • ANYONE ELSE TIRED OF EURO-BLOWHARDS restating the patently obvious? The northern

    http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2012/09/europes-crisisIS ANYONE ELSE TIRED OF EURO-BLOWHARDS

    restating the patently obvious? The northern and southern cultures are incompatible. Or better stated, the Protestant german speaking cultures are incompatible with the catholic countries. Is that difficult to understand?

    The euro was doomed from the start. Either the germanic peoples leave and save the south, or the south leaves and dies by suicide. Although some of our south american friends have proven even that is survivable if you have a parent currency to leverage.

    The Economist for some reason feels the need to print toilet tissue on the subject. But this is not a question of economic efficiency. It’s a question of cultures.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-21 00:01:00 UTC

  • WORTH AND TRUST? The title is a charmer and a bit misleading. But the net is, th

    http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2012/09/net_worth_makes.html#.UFvkMMUvnW0.facebookNET WORTH AND TRUST?

    The title is a charmer and a bit misleading. But the net is, that there are a lot fewer wealthy people walking around today.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-20 23:52:00 UTC

  • it into the middle class

    http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/20/who-makes-it-into-the-middle-class/Making it into the middle class.


    Source date (UTC): 2012-09-20 23:30:00 UTC