Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • On Negative Sums


    – Guest Post by Eli Harman – November 22nd, at 7:04am


    [T]he allegation is often made (by libertarian anarchists) that what states do is fundamentally incalculable, but that it is always negative sum. In other words, we cannot know the absolute value of any state or state policy, but we can be certain about its sign.


    Voluntary trades in the marketplace – as the argument goes – are always mutually beneficial (else they wouldn’t occur) and positive sum.


    State policies differ in requiring coercion. If they did not require coercion, they could occur in the marketplace. But if they do, then someone is losing out, so there is no way to be sure they represent a net gain. Without the mechanism of voluntary exchange, the information transmitted by prices in a marketplace are absent and no calculation is possible. In all likelihood they represent a net loss, certainly a loss relative to the opportunity cost of the purely voluntary marketplace foregone.


    But is doesn’t seem that states ever would have become ubiquitous or persistent if this were true. Empirically, state-ridden peoples have proven competitive against stateless ones. If error and parasitism were the whole story, they would not be. States, after all, are in constant conflict and competition with one another and with alternatives (or at least they were at one time.)
    However, the argument is incomplete and therefore incorrect.

    We can reasonably expect voluntary, fully-informed, exchanges – free of externality – to be Pareto improvements. (They make someone better off and no one worse off.)


    But in the first place, market transactions don’t always live up to this standard, because they are not necessarily fully informed nor free of externality.


    And in the second place, some of the things states do might; because they are of the nature of voluntary exchanges.
    An individual exchanges the sum total of costs a state imposes (on them) for the sum total of benefits it offers (to them) every time they voluntarily choose not to move to the jurisdiction of another state. (And these exchanges can be made more precisely calculable by reducing the exit costs and increasing the number and variety of states on offer.)


    Furthermore, all states require the voluntary consent of at least enough individuals and groups to successfully compel the submission of the remainder. And the coalition that arises to perform this function arises by a process of reciprocal exchange (You want such and such a boon to participate in our coalition? Well we want this concession and that from you in exchange.)
    In brokering these exchanges, a Monarchy offers several advantages over a democratically elected government.


    A democracy will be inherently and irreparably susceptible to negative-sum corruption because of the problem of concentrated benefits and dispersed costs. A policy which benefits 1,000 people $10,000 each may be politically profitable even if it costs a million people $100 each. The concentrated interest will be relatively less hampered by information costs and coordination problems. So it will be able to muster more votes and resources in defense of the policy than those harmed will be able to muster against it, though the harm be much greater.


    Nothing would stop anyone from proposing such a policy to a king. And a king could get away with implementing it. But a king, who owns his realm and title, as well as its capital value, would not benefit from doing so. The future revenue he could expect to derive from his realm and subjects would decline as a result. And so his incentive would be to veto such proposals.


    Furthermore, in a majority democracy, if your ruling coalition encompasses more than 51 percent of voters, it’s leaving rents on the table. If you’re getting, say, 70 percent of the vote, that simply means you’re delivering more value than you need to and failing to extract as much as you could. You could take a little more and give a little less without losing the election. So in a democracy, we can expect the ruling coalition at any given time to consist of about 51% of voters (and those the worst 51%) and that does indeed seem to be what we see.


    But conflict and compulsion, though inevitable and irresolvable under democracy, are costly and actually largely unnecessary. So we can expect a wise monarch to start building his coalition of supporters with the best and keep working his way down the list until the only people that remain in need of compulsion are those who have nothing to offer which is worth what they demand in exchange for voluntary cooperation: in short, people who probably should be coerced.

  • On Negative Sums


    – Guest Post by Eli Harman – November 22nd, at 7:04am


    [T]he allegation is often made (by libertarian anarchists) that what states do is fundamentally incalculable, but that it is always negative sum. In other words, we cannot know the absolute value of any state or state policy, but we can be certain about its sign.


    Voluntary trades in the marketplace – as the argument goes – are always mutually beneficial (else they wouldn’t occur) and positive sum.


    State policies differ in requiring coercion. If they did not require coercion, they could occur in the marketplace. But if they do, then someone is losing out, so there is no way to be sure they represent a net gain. Without the mechanism of voluntary exchange, the information transmitted by prices in a marketplace are absent and no calculation is possible. In all likelihood they represent a net loss, certainly a loss relative to the opportunity cost of the purely voluntary marketplace foregone.


    But is doesn’t seem that states ever would have become ubiquitous or persistent if this were true. Empirically, state-ridden peoples have proven competitive against stateless ones. If error and parasitism were the whole story, they would not be. States, after all, are in constant conflict and competition with one another and with alternatives (or at least they were at one time.)
    However, the argument is incomplete and therefore incorrect.

    We can reasonably expect voluntary, fully-informed, exchanges – free of externality – to be Pareto improvements. (They make someone better off and no one worse off.)


    But in the first place, market transactions don’t always live up to this standard, because they are not necessarily fully informed nor free of externality.


    And in the second place, some of the things states do might; because they are of the nature of voluntary exchanges.
    An individual exchanges the sum total of costs a state imposes (on them) for the sum total of benefits it offers (to them) every time they voluntarily choose not to move to the jurisdiction of another state. (And these exchanges can be made more precisely calculable by reducing the exit costs and increasing the number and variety of states on offer.)


    Furthermore, all states require the voluntary consent of at least enough individuals and groups to successfully compel the submission of the remainder. And the coalition that arises to perform this function arises by a process of reciprocal exchange (You want such and such a boon to participate in our coalition? Well we want this concession and that from you in exchange.)
    In brokering these exchanges, a Monarchy offers several advantages over a democratically elected government.


    A democracy will be inherently and irreparably susceptible to negative-sum corruption because of the problem of concentrated benefits and dispersed costs. A policy which benefits 1,000 people $10,000 each may be politically profitable even if it costs a million people $100 each. The concentrated interest will be relatively less hampered by information costs and coordination problems. So it will be able to muster more votes and resources in defense of the policy than those harmed will be able to muster against it, though the harm be much greater.


    Nothing would stop anyone from proposing such a policy to a king. And a king could get away with implementing it. But a king, who owns his realm and title, as well as its capital value, would not benefit from doing so. The future revenue he could expect to derive from his realm and subjects would decline as a result. And so his incentive would be to veto such proposals.


    Furthermore, in a majority democracy, if your ruling coalition encompasses more than 51 percent of voters, it’s leaving rents on the table. If you’re getting, say, 70 percent of the vote, that simply means you’re delivering more value than you need to and failing to extract as much as you could. You could take a little more and give a little less without losing the election. So in a democracy, we can expect the ruling coalition at any given time to consist of about 51% of voters (and those the worst 51%) and that does indeed seem to be what we see.


    But conflict and compulsion, though inevitable and irresolvable under democracy, are costly and actually largely unnecessary. So we can expect a wise monarch to start building his coalition of supporters with the best and keep working his way down the list until the only people that remain in need of compulsion are those who have nothing to offer which is worth what they demand in exchange for voluntary cooperation: in short, people who probably should be coerced.

  • Untitled

    http://captaincapitalism.blogspot.com/2014/11/undermining-private-property.html


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-17 14:09:00 UTC

  • Thanks to Roman and David I have become an involuntary expert in digital currenc

    Thanks to Roman and David I have become an involuntary expert in digital currencies. Which in turn has made me quite a bit better at understanding all fiduciary instruments and money substitutes. To the point where I can’t actually find anyone who understands them (in monetary terms) much better than I do.

    (Unwanted expertise. Its sort of like becoming an expert at toilet cleaning. lol)


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-14 09:54:00 UTC

  • ON BITCOIN’S FUTURE – THERE IS NO POST-CAPITALIST FUTURE ON THE HORIZON. BITCOIN

    ON BITCOIN’S FUTURE – THERE IS NO POST-CAPITALIST FUTURE ON THE HORIZON. BITCOIN OR NO.

    um… capitalism (private property, contract, money, prices, and consequential incentives) will exist forever in the same way that math will exist forever, because it is a necessary information system. That can’t go away – ever, because capitalism is required for the voluntary organization of production.

    It is not capitalism that will be replaced, it is the reliance on the banking system that evolved during the era of hard currencies, that will be replaced.

    There is no evidence that a distributed block chain employing proof of work is superior to a series of centrally managed databases such as Visa, Mastercard, and Amex, wherein transactions are immediately verified.

    What is unique to this technology is that under fiat currency, each unit of currency is equal to a share of stock in the corporation of the state, which while not redeemable via the state, is insured by the state, and functions as a medium of exchange, unit of account and at least short term store of value.

    Digital currency represents a divisible, fractional share of the issuing network. The state currency is insured by the state, but the digital currency is private and uninsured.

    The state is more likely to demand that any network of sufficient scale is insured for it to be issued to the public without harm. I expect this legislation to appear within the coming decade.

    Digital currency merely removes the middleman – the bank – from the distribution channel for the currency, and therefore the need for the bank to insure each transaction during the period of clearance when performing an escrow service.

    This is the primary value of all bitcoin related technologies.

    CONVERSELY

    It is not rational to expect that the state will allow a digital currency to remain unregulated primarily because it is a ready-made vehicle for tax evasion and money laundering. (as we have already seen.) And digital currencies (a fractional share of a BTC network used as a money substitute) to rely upon infrastructure that is too perishable (even more so thank ATM networks) and as such the economic impact of such currency failure is too vast.

    So digital currencies will never evolve into replacements for fiat money – they may only be used as a store of value against the loss of purchasing power of the fiat currency, when the money supply is inflated.

    So the post-hard-currency era (I predict) will eliminate banks as a means of central distribution of credit to consumers, and function entirely as means of financing business credit. And transaction costs will drop precipitously since there is no escrow risk on the part of the bank.

    But I might as well bark at the moon because the people who talk about their fantasies for bitcoin are ideologues who have very little comprehension about that which they speak.

    Cheers.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-14 09:42:00 UTC

  • Great conversation with Eli Harman today. I tried to cover how voluntary exchang

    Great conversation with Eli Harman today. I tried to cover how voluntary exchange between compatible moral biases in the choice of investments in commons, provides us with an information system that facilitates utilization of the temporal division of labor between the biases, in the same way that prices provide us with an information system about the wants of others.

    This is one of the more important insights you can get from Propertarianism.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-14 09:10:00 UTC

  • Dear Critic of Capitalism, Yes. Capitalism objectively demonstrates your status

    Dear Critic of Capitalism,

    Yes. Capitalism objectively demonstrates your status among humans. Thus proving that your mommy lied to you. And that you are not special. You have no intrinsic value and you are not demonstrably valuable to others. Your existence is irrelevant as other than a consumer of resources, a producer of waste, and an existential threat that your offspring will be the same or worse. And so you are a dead weight upon your neighbors, society, man and earth. And as dead weight, the best that you can do is to not cause others too much burden or the earth too much damage. Now, without capitalism, the carrying capacity of the earth is one eighth of what it is today. So while capitalism makes your worthless dysgenic existence possible, please use every means at your disposal to eliminate it, so that we can return the earth to its agrarian carrying capacity without you.

    Sincerely,

    Mother Nature

    Planet Earth, Sol System, Milky way.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-13 08:37:00 UTC

  • Austerity is altruistic punishment in action. Its not only that we display altru

    Austerity is altruistic punishment in action. Its not only that we display altruistic punishment. But that we should, and will. Period.

    Paul Krugman is an immoral man. That is why he does not understand. He is morally blind.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-11 08:05:00 UTC

  • TRANSACTION COSTS: Why is imposing transaction costs on others not imposing any

    TRANSACTION COSTS:

    Why is imposing transaction costs on others not imposing any other cost upon them? Sure, of the various costs you can impose upon them: violence, theft, fraud, privatization, socialization conspiracy – like moral violations, they are indirect costs. But then that’s what we use the term morality to refer to: indirect costs. So then why is imposing indirect costs upon others different from any other immoral violation?

    Well it isn’t.

    Separatism imposes transaction costs.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-09 04:59:00 UTC

  • Consumer Capitalism? Or Is It Consumer Credit-Ism?


    [W]hy do we refer to our voluntary organization of production as Capitalism when that era ended at least half a century ago –  and call it Consumer Cedit-ism instead.

    Ukrainians are poor because they lack credit. Capitalism is a different social class problem altogether. And by historical standards we don’t really have any capitalists any longer – only people with enough trust to accumulate a lot if credit.  Our rich aren’t really rich enough to do much of anything other than try desperately to stay rich against all odds.

    In the 18th and 19th century, It was easy to amass a little capital and produce consumer goods.

    It was a lot harder to distribute consumer credit to all.  

    Consumer Credit-ism is how we operate our society – capitalism died with the end of the conversion of people from the farm.