Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • Ostrom identified eight “design principles” of stable local common pool resource

    Ostrom identified eight “design principles” of stable local common pool resource management:

    1. Clearly defined (clear definition of the contents of the common pool resource and effective exclusion of external un-entitled parties);

    2. The appropriation and provision of common resources that are adapted to local conditions;

    3. Collective-choice arrangements that allow most resource appropriators to participate in the decision-making process;

    4. Effective monitoring by monitors who are part of or accountable to the appropriators;

    5. A scale of graduated sanctions for resource appropriators who violate community rules;

    6. Mechanisms of conflict resolution that are cheap and of easy access;

    7. Self-determination of the community recognized by higher-level authorities; and

    8. In the case of larger common-pool resources, organization in the form of multiple layers of nested enterprises, with small local CPRs at the base level.

    via Oliver Westcott


    Source date (UTC): 2017-03-05 20:47:00 UTC

  • THERE IS NO TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS PER SE There is only a tragedy of the politic

    THERE IS NO TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS PER SE

    There is only a tragedy of the politically managed commons, but there is no tragedy of the privately managed commons.

    Read Ostrom and stop using that term when you don’t understand it. A government commons is abused, a private one is not.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-03-05 20:12:00 UTC

  • Agreed. I’d still like to criminalize the use of pseudoscience in econ. to creat

    Agreed. I’d still like to criminalize the use of pseudoscience in econ. to create fragility like we do other ‘hazards’.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-03-02 21:27:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/837414086778433536

    Reply addressees: @nntaleb

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/837376011675262976


    IN REPLY TO:

    @nntaleb

    It took me a while to realize you can’t convince economists; but we can work on the dismantlement of the DC economic machinery. https://t.co/ze6isFDFJh

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/837376011675262976

  • UNDERSTANDING ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE I’ve been told all my life by some asshole

    UNDERSTANDING ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE

    I’ve been told all my life by some asshole or other that I don’t understand accounting or finance. And I always found that humorous. I took the same classes as everyone else. I just learned something very different from them: most of it is used to lie under pseudoscientific pretense caused entirely by the necessity of limiting profitability in order to reduce taxation, complying with government regulation that obscures real costs of doing business, and complying with bank lending requirements that force you to claim regularity to your income that does not exist, forcing you to keep Operational P&L to run a business, Credit P&L to borrow money, Tax P&L to pay taxes, and Investor P&L to estimate upside.

    But given the archaic and pseudoscientific nature of accounting and finance and that super-pseudoscience we call mainstream macro economics, all of these things are falsehoods that address special cases.

    The value of a business is one of three things: the current liquidation value in the event of closure, the value of the business as a going concern to a competitor in the market, and the value to some sucker you can find who will pay you more than either of those numbers.

    What it is expressly NOT is whatever nonsense your bank, or the government says that it is. Every time I hear the value of a company is expressed in market cap I wanna put irons on someone and stick them in a cell.

    Suckers exist in america in large numbers principally because we just create so many of them, and we hold so few punishments for them, that the legal and financial industry largely seems to exist in order to allow and profit from, sucker- plays. Now sure, you might be lucky and get a Peter Theil or one of the other Paypal Mafia to invest in your company. These are entrepreneurs who happen to have turned to entrepreneurship at scale. They are not engaged in financialization which provides them with gains whether you win or lose. But that is exactly how most of the capitalist class functions.

    We need to get back to lender beware.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-03-01 14:40:00 UTC

  • ON UNIONS The unions made common mistakes of overreach. They began with the mora

    ON UNIONS

    The unions made common mistakes of overreach. They began with the moral: safety, liability, minimum wages, profit sharing, and replacing with cheaper workers (arbitrage). But then proceeded with overreaches that varied from moral hazard: demands for impossible future claims: continuous increases and pensions; then to the immoral: mandatory membership, mandatory fees, and fostering endemic corruption; then to the violation of natural law: interfering in the political process.

    It’s a shock to capitalists and free marketers raised on the myth of constant growth made possible under the agrarian and industrial (hydrocarbon) eras, and prohibiting temporal labor arbitrage is perhaps hard for the layman to understand when it occurs across decades of time rather than across national borders, but men are not commodities and their marketability declines rapidly after choice of first opportunity – and seizing all the ‘best’ time at the lowest price under promise of future rewards is merely an act of fraud. So it is all too easy to socialize uncompetitiveness and privatize commons into the hands of investors and capitalists.

    Most capitalists cannot compete under free trade because profits would be much smaller. Contrary to libertarian dogma, and contrary to anglo bourgeois values, while the puritan/manorial work ethic is an unquestionable good, and while rule of law assisting in capital concentration and formation is an unquestionable good, as a good Propertarian we query ‘But what are the limits of that good? Because there exist no unlimited theories and therefore no unlimited goods.’ And we find that it is possible to socialize losses and privatize gains if we do not perform full accounting.

    And a full accounting only ends when we have reduced all accounts to ‘time’. Because it is ‘time’ that is the currency we trade.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-03-01 09:06:00 UTC

  • THE STATE OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS Understanding advanced mathematics of econom

    THE STATE OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS

    Understanding advanced mathematics of economics and physics for ordinary people.

    The Mengerian revolution, which we call the Marginalist revolution, occurred when the people of the period applied calculus ( the mathematics of “relative motion”) to what had been largely a combination of accounting and algebra.

    20th century economics can be seen largely as an attempt to apply the mathematics of relative motion (constant change) from mathematics of constant categories that we use in perfectly constant axiomatic systems, and the relatively constant mathematics of physical systems, to the mathematics of inconstant categories that we find in economics – because things on the market have a multitude of subsequent yet interdependent uses that are determined by ever changing preferences, demands, availability, and shocks.

    Physics is a much harder problem than axiomatic mathematics. Economics is a much harder problem than mathematical physics, and before we head down this road (which I have been thinking about a long time) Sentience (the next dimension of complexity) is a much harder problem than economics.

    And there have been questions in the 20th century whether mathematics as we understand it can solve the hard problem of economics. But this is, as usual, a problem of misunderstanding the very simple nature of mathematics as the study of constant relations. Most human use of mathematics consists of the study of trivial constant relations such as quantities of objects, physical measurements. Or changes in state over time. Or relative motion in time. And this constitutes the four dimensions we can conceive of when discussing real world physical phenomenon. So in our simplistic view of mathematics, we think in terms of small numbers of causal relations. But, it does not reflect the number of POSSIBLE causal relations. In other words, we change from the position of observing change in state by things humans can observe and act upon, to a causal density higher than humans can observe and act upon, to a causal density such that every act of measurement distorts what humans can observe and act upon, by distorting the causality.

    One of our discoveries in mathematical physics, is that as things move along a trajectory, they are affected by high causal density, and change through many different states during that time period. Such that causal density is so high that it is very hard to reduce change in state of many dimensions of constant relations to a trivial value: meaning a measurement or state that we can predict. Instead we fine a range of output constant relations, which we call probabilistic. So that instead of a say, a point as a measurement, we fined a line, or a triangle, or a multi dimensional geometry that the resulting state will fit within.

    However, we can, with some work identify what we might call sums or aggregates (which are simple sets of relationships) but what higher mathematicians refer to as patterns, ‘symmetries’ or ‘geometries’. And these patterns refer to a set of constant relations in ‘space’ (on a coordinate system of sorts) that seem to emerge regardless of differences in the causes that produce them.

    These patterns, symmetries, or geometries reflect a set of constant relationships that are the product of inconstant causal operations. And when you refer to a ‘number’, a pattern, a symmetry, or a geometry, or what is called a non-euclidian geometry, we are merely talking about the number of dimensions of constant relations we are talking about, and using ‘space’ as the analogy that the human mind is able to grasp.

    Unfortunately, mathematics has not ‘reformed’ itself into operational language as have the physical sciences – and remains like the social sciences and philosophy a bastion of archaic language. But we can reduce this archaic language into meaningful operational terms as nothing more than sets of constant relations between measurements, consisting of a dimension per measurement, which we represent as a field (flat), euclidian geometry (possible geometry), or post Euclidian geometry (physically impossible but logically useful) geometry of constant relations.

    And more importantly, once we can identify these patterns, symmetries, or geometries that arise from complex causal density consisting of seemingly unrelated causal operations, we have found a constant by which to measure that which is causally dense but consequentially constant.

    So think of the current need for reform in economics to refer to and require a transition from the measurement of numeric (trivial) values, to the analysis of (non-trivial) consequent geometries.

    These constant states (geometries) constitute the aggregate operations in economies. The unintended but constant consequences of causally dense actions.

    Think of it like using fingers to make a shadow puppet. If you put a lot of people together between the light and the shadow, you can form the same pattern in the shadow despite very different combinations of fingers, hands, and arms. But because of the limits of the human anatomy, there are certain patterns more likely to emerge than others.

    Now imagine we do that in three dimensions. Now (if you can) four, and so on. At some point we can’t imagine these things. Because we have moved beyond what is possible to that which is only analogous to the possible: a set of constant relations in multiple dimensions.

    So economics then can evolve from the study of inputs and outputs without intermediary state which allows prediction, to the study of the consequence of inputs and the range of possible outputs that will likely produce predictability.

    in other words, it is possible to define constant relations in economics.

    And of course it is possible to define constant relations in sentience.

    The same is true for the operations possible by mankind. There are many possible, but there are only so many that produce a condition of natural law: reciprocity.

    Like I’ve said. Math isn’t complicated if you undrestand that it’s nothing more than saying “this stone represents one of our sheep”. And in doing so produce a constant relation. all we do is increase the quantity of constant relations we must measure. And from them deduce what we do not know, but is necessary because of those constant relations.

    Math is simple. That’s why it works for just about everything: we can define a correspondence with anything.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2017-02-25 11:05:00 UTC

  • Erik Weinstein, Theil Capital (From Elsewhere) A, fan. But a few comments 1) Eri

    Erik Weinstein, Theil Capital

    (From Elsewhere)

    A, fan. But a few comments

    1) Eric ends up describing the elusive goal of reducing discretionary economic *policy* to non-discretionary *rule of law*. The way he expresses it is just unclear. This is the holy grail of political, and legal as well as economic and social science.

    2) Regarding the ‘new economy’. Perhaps, it’s rather better to state that the production of commons in the market for commons (politics) by the demonstration of behavior in the commons, is of greater value in producing goods for consumption, than the production of goods, services, and information in the market for consumption (private goods), when the ability to organize people by voluntary incentives (capitalism and markets) is no longer possible because of the excess of labor, and limited contribution of labor to that process.

    3) Unstated in Eric’s assumptions is a concept of ‘We’ evolved under the enlightenment seizure of the organs of the state from the aristocracy, and its universalism under the subsequent influence of Cosmopolitanism and the Industrial Revolution, and my understanding is that this concept of ‘we’ is disintegrating along with the ‘luxury’ of the cosmopolitan presumption.

    4) Because of the ‘we’ question (the value of nation states, because of the dead weight of the underclasses under Cosmopolitanism), as far as I can tell, the most successful group evolutionary strategy is to force new-normative behavior into nations with large underclasses. And I am all but certain that it is this return-to-normal that will play out.

    5) What Eric does not mention is the similarity between silicon valley and the german princedoms wherein monarchies fought for status and wealth by sponsoring talents across the spectrum. Rather than cosmopolitan solutions I suggest that this is the reason that the germans nearly brought about the second scientific revolution and it’s consequential second enlightenment pre-war. And that this is the model we should take from Silicon Valley, not the fact that Silicon valley is

    In other words, Eric is making the progressive error, common in the Cosmopolitans and Postmoderns that the assumption of growth that the Capitalist state relies upon, is not the assumption he himself relies upon. Bigger is only better if capital is brought to people rather than people to capital.

    As far as I an tell there is no means of constructing a higher incentive than kin, when macro incentives fail, and the choice is between absorbing far more risk and change and increased competition, or creating scarcity and benefitting from it.

    This is how I position the worldwide shift at present. My understanding of the 20th century ‘overstatement’ of economics and mathematics is marginally indifferent from Eric’s. But my understanding of human history is that there is absolutely nothing unique about our present condition other than scale. And one can ‘hope’ and ‘pray’ and ‘aspire’ and ‘labor’ to bring about a solution that continues evolving the world to what amounts to a universal caste system, but the mathematics of the formation of voluntary organizations of production in all the markets: association, reproduction, production, production of commons, production of polities, and group evolutionary strategies, suggests that it’s not possible. But that a larger number of smaller polities can achieve those ends without expanding the underclasses and causing the ‘problem’ that Eric is leaving unstated: the market for human beings will not bear goods for that which has no demand – other than kinship.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute.

    Kiev, Ukraine.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-02-22 13:35:00 UTC

  • (draft in progress) 1 – ACCUMULATED TIME: BUT NON-MONEY … 1.1 GOODS (MEDIUM OF

    (draft in progress)

    1 – ACCUMULATED TIME: BUT NON-MONEY

    … 1.1 GOODS (MEDIUM OF BARTER)

    … … a) limited demand for each good limits exchange

    … 1.2 COMMODITY (MEDIUM OF EXCHANGE)

    … … a) unitary weight and volume

    … … b) universal or near universal demand / universal exchange.

    2- ACCUMULATED TIME : MONEY-PROPER

    … 2.1COMMODITY MONEY

    … … a) unitary weight and volume

    … … b) high ratio of purchasing power to weight and volume

    … … c) difficult to inflate (expensive to find and make)

    … … d) Sufficiently limited (downward) volatility to

    … … … allow market prices to form. (This is one of the principle

    … … … advantages of monetary policy, is that stabilizing prices even

    … … … at the cost of inflation reduces risk and extends production

    … … … cycles producing goods and services at lower costs.)

    … … e) capable of bearing trademark: promise of weight and measure

    3 – ACCUMULATED TIME: MONEY-SUBSTITUTES

    … 3.1DEPOSIT MONEY

    … … … (Redeemable)(full reserve, money substitutes)

    … … … PROMISSORY NOTE MONEY: CURRENCY PROPER

    4 – MIXED ACCUMULATED TIME AND UN-PRODUCED TIME (PROMISSORY TIME)

    … PARTIAL-PROMISSORY MONEY-SUBSTITUTES

    … … (redeemable, partial reserve, money substitutes)

    5 – TIME-PURCHASED, MONEY SUBSTITUTES

    … … TOKEN MONEY (PAPER MONEY)

    … … … Non-Redeemable, Required Money.

    ( now start on shares, then debt instruments, )


    Source date (UTC): 2017-02-22 12:12:00 UTC

  • by Ivan Ilakovac I think that “time as the first cause of economics” would be a

    by Ivan Ilakovac

    I think that “time as the first cause of economics” would be a great starting point for “idiots”. Its pretty obvious:

    1. Time is resource.

    2. We need cooperation to use time effectively.

    3. We need truthful testimony to cooperate effectively.

    4. We need strict rules to testify as truthful as possible.

    So:

    5. We need strict rules of information-sharing (communication) in order to use time effectively.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-02-22 09:19:00 UTC

  • ON USURY Usury is not a question of risk, but a question of maximum loss, and th

    ON USURY

    Usury is not a question of risk, but a question of maximum loss, and the use of circumstance to create an opportunity for ongoing parasitism.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-02-20 19:53:00 UTC