Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • Q: CURT: “WHY DO FEDERATIONS BENEFIT FROM FORMING A TRADE BLOCK?” 1) Nash Equili

    Q: CURT: “WHY DO FEDERATIONS BENEFIT FROM FORMING A TRADE BLOCK?”
    1) Nash Equilibrium: Small countries have no negotiating power in trade. However, an alliance of such countries can negotiate as a block and obtain preferential treatment in negotiation. It’s beneficial to all parties because negotiating itself is costly. The same is true for defense and insurance, or anything where all parties have an interest. It’s the same for business. Would you rather sell easily and a lot to Walmart or to 10,000 independent stores? If you can lock Walmart into a contract then you can plan on an increasingly long time horizon, which reduces risk. Conversely, as in China, where you are ‘concentrated’ in a single market (USA) you are somewhat bound in external actions because of your dependence on that market.

    2) Ending internal frictions of negotiation between parties. It is very painful and expensive to have transport of goods especially, and services somewhat across multiple borders. Open markets within a federation radically discount the friction of trade, just as the distribution of property rights from the village(tribe), to the family, to the individuals in the family eliminated the opportunity for corruption, and increased the velocity of cooperation and trade.

    MEANING:
    Alliance on a) defense, b) external and internal trade, and c) internal insurance against such things as disasters, and in rare cases d) a central bank of currency issuance and exchange, distributes the cost of something that benefits from scale while federation of states allows custom production of commons that do not benefit from scale, and instead, generate FRICTION AND CONFLICT because they do NOT scale.

    -Curt Doolittle

    Reply addressees: @anderstegn


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-08 17:02:15 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633513471278030854

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633505618249097225

  • SLIDE DECK ON THE ‘REAL’ RU ECONOMY Sonnenfeld’s slide deck on the REAL state of

    SLIDE DECK ON THE ‘REAL’ RU ECONOMY
    Sonnenfeld’s slide deck on the REAL state of the Russian economy. Tip: the IMF is ‘making it up’. And all the talking heads are relying on the IMF reports when they claim the sanctions aren’t working.

    My take: RU has food, energy, very low… https://twitter.com/JeffSonnenfeld/status/1633483143888994304 https://t.co/4A7srMyB2M


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-08 15:45:40 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633494199264763905

  • (All: Surprised this morning when I heard a news channel state that at least the

    (All: Surprised this morning when I heard a news channel state that at least the IMF could have TOLD us they had no reliable data. Instead, they sought to preserve their pretense of neutrality by saying nothing. So we listened to month after month of talking heads quote the IMF…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-08 15:26:36 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633489400876154880

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633487236086857729

  • Great question. But with or without prices we can observe what people seek to ac

    Great question. But with or without prices we can observe what people seek to acquire, inventory, use, trade, and consume.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-08 09:46:51 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633403897627672576

    Reply addressees: @BasedLawyer

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633402233596309506

  • NO THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY ISN’T OK. (more institutional failure)

    NO THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY ISN’T OK.
    (more institutional failure)
    https://fortune.com/2023/03/06/imf-naively-parroted-putin-fake-statisticsand-botched-economic-forecast-russia-ukraine/


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-08 06:44:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633358115595857920

  • Our GDP FIgures are relatively meaningless and most economists understand that i

    Our GDP FIgures are relatively meaningless and most economists understand that it’s just ‘best we can do’ as a global approximate set of weights and measures.

    Now, for forty years or so I”ve been complaining about the Accounting profession because between lenders and the government, and standard accounting practices, ‘information is laundered from the money’ as it passes through the organization. And the reason is that its more work to ‘account properly’, and more work to find errors if you do account properly.

    So I want a cash, operating, financial(asset changes), ebitda, and interest, taxes, and finally net representation of any business so that I don’t have to deconstruct it myself. And I want to see P&L’s and Balance sheets monthly so that I don’t have to have the memory of an elephant. (in services I want numbers weekly). We’ve (my team) generally works on a six week window so that we react quickly. Some companies can’t put their numbers out within that time. (I built software so that I see everything in real time. Something that’sthe envy of any ceo in any business.)

    Now, for the public sector, it’s both a matter of laundering information from money (and laundering money), but worse, we don’t really keep a balance sheet. And if we did we don’t include the CAPITAL of every kind on it. Which would include every kind of human capital, resource capital, infrastructure capital, and every other demonstrated interest.

    Now, we should separate strategic industries from non. And production from non. etc, so that we know when we are losing production capacity and shifting it to financial capacity, and creating an economic imbalance.

    And just as in business, moving assets around can mask losses, in public sector accounting, not only is debt a problem but BURNING DOWN CAPITAL is an extraordinary problem.

    Now, you don’t know this but our organization’s software will eventually do this. But that’s going to take millions more investment to do it.

    Why would a government resist it?

    That much transparency prevents lying.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-07 22:52:47 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633239297938673669

  • Our GDP FIgures are relatively meaningless and most economists understand that i

    Our GDP FIgures are relatively meaningless and most economists understand that it’s just ‘best we can do’ as a global approximate set of weights and measures.

    Now, for forty years or so I”ve been complaining about the Accounting profession because between lenders and the government, and standard accounting practices, ‘information is laundered from the money’ as it passes through the organization. And the reason is that its more work to ‘account properly’, and more work to find errors if you do account properly.

    So I want a cash, operating, financial(asset changes), ebitda, and interest, taxes, and finally net representation of any business so that I don’t have to deconstruct it myself. And I want to see P&L’s and Balance sheets monthly so that I don’t have to have the memory of an elephant. (in services I want numbers weekly). We’ve (my team) generally works on a six week window so that we react quickly. Some companies can’t put their numbers out within that time. (I built software so that I see everything in real time. Something that’sthe envy of any ceo in any business.)

    Now, for the public sector, it’s both a matter of laundering information from money (and laundering money), but worse, we don’t really keep a balance sheet. And if we did we don’t include the CAPITAL of every kind on it. Which would include every kind of human capital, resource capital, infrastructure capital, and every other demonstrated interest.

    Now, we should separate strategic industries from non. And production from non. etc, so that we know when we are losing production capacity and shifting it to financial capacity, and creating an economic imbalance.

    And just as in business, moving assets around can mask losses, in public sector accounting, not only is debt a problem but BURNING DOWN CAPITAL is an extraordinary problem.

    Now, you don’t know this but our organization’s software will eventually do this. But that’s going to take millions more investment to do it.

    Why would a government resist it?

    That much transparency prevents lying.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-07 22:52:47 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633239297733058562

  • RT @curtdoolittle: @jordanbpeterson @nytimes @paulkrugman UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRU

    RT @curtdoolittle: @jordanbpeterson @nytimes @paulkrugman UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRUGMAN
    Jordan (all).
    After 2008 crash, before choosing to ref…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-07 15:35:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633129296893030401

  • UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRUGMAN Jordan (all). After 2008 crash, before choosing to re

    UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRUGMAN
    Jordan (all).
    After 2008 crash, before choosing to reform the law, I briefly considered working on reforming economics now that the evidence of its failure arrived with a vengance. And Paul Krugman was my inspiration for doing so. Now, I don’t want to write something detailed about this, but we can decompose (disambiguate) anyone’s biases and incentives given enough time and information. After studying his work, I realized that explaining the dept of the network of lies he used in every article would require three times the length of the origional. A fact that confirms that the principle problem of refuting desirable lies is far more costly than their production. But without much effort we can reduce his incentives to their first principles. And whether you like it or not, Paul Krugman’s ethic is that of a Jewish cosmopolitan authoritarian socialist elitist, like many of his fellow postwar soviet immigrants to NY, with no small hatred of the European civilization which tolerates him. In reductive form, he is the worst kind of racist, filled with venemous hatred to fuel an undeserving self image, and virtue he doesn’t possess.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-07 15:35:37 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633129283836100608

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633120404913913858

  • UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRUGMAN Jordan (all). After 2008 crash, before choosing to re

    UNDERSTANDING PAUL KRUGMAN
    Jordan (all).
    After 2008 crash, before choosing to reform the law, I briefly considered working on reforming economics now that the evidence of its failure arrived with a vengance. And Paul Krugman was my inspiration for doing so. Now, I don’t want to write something detailed about this, but we can decompose (disambiguate) anyone’s biases and incentives given enough time and information. After studying his work, I realized that explaining the dept of the network of lies he used in every article would require three times the length of the origional. A fact that confirms that the principle problem of refuting desirable lies is far more costly than their production. But without much effort we can reduce his incentives to their first principles. And whether you like it or not, Paul Krugman’s ethic is that of a Jewish cosmopolitan authoritarian socialist elitist, like many of his fellow postwar soviet immigrants to NY, with no small hatred of the European civilization which tolerates him. In reductive form, he is the worst kind of racist, filled with venemous hatred to fuel an undeserving self image, and virtue he doesn’t possess.

    Reply addressees: @jordanbpeterson @nytimes @paulkrugman


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-07 15:35:37 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633129283685081088

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1633120404913913858