Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • (From Elsewhere) RE: US China Trade Negotiations as “Delay and Deceive”, “Face B

    (From Elsewhere)
    RE: US China Trade Negotiations as “Delay and Deceive”, “Face Before Truth” and Outright Lying.

    The Chinese are nothing like Westerners. They do not seek win-win but authoritarianism. They use “Face before Truth”, they use “Delay and Deceive”, the do not seek partnership they seek rule in the interest of their ruling class regardless of the consequence to their people or to others. They never adhere to agreement or contract by using delay and deceive.

    As a rational pragmatism, it is merely better to Talk vs War. However, we are all waiting to determine who will blink first – the chinese economy, the Chinese CCP, or Trump and the Trump administration. So basically, we will have until at least next spring before anyone ‘blinks.

    Most of the outcome is predicated on how fast the Trump administration can push through both domestic and international agenda, so that the US Economy has a future independent of China, or whether the rate and severity of the decline in the Chinese economy causes a threat to the stability of the CCP necessitating their compromise.

    IMO war is their best option but it only will accelerate the decline of the CCP. This leader, another chinese “Bad Emperor” problem (Look it up) could have kept on building their commercial dominance and the rest of the world would have been just as happy as we were before “Bad Emperor Xi”. But between the Taiwan issue, the India issue, the Russia Issue, the North Korea issue, the CCP is just another well funded state terrorist organization.

    The USA makes plenty of mistakes but they want all people to have sovereignty within their borders, human rights for all, and free trade for all. And Americans have spent too much blood and treasure dragging mankind out of its historical warfare into the Pax Americana to have their investments seized and abused by yet another set of authoritarian terrorists trying to set the world backward by two centuries.
    CD
    #TradeWar


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-11 22:43:19 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1921697657845899264

  • (From Elsewhere) RE: US China Trade Negotiations as “Delay and Deceive”, “Face B

    (From Elsewhere)
    RE: US China Trade Negotiations as “Delay and Deceive”, “Face Before Truth” and Outright Lying.

    The Chinese are nothing like Westerners. They do not seek win-win but authoritarianism. They use “Face before Truth”, they use “Delay and Deceive”, the do not seek partnership they seek rule in the interest of their ruling class regardless of the consequence to their people or to others. They never adhere to agreement or contract by using delay and deceive.

    As a rational pragmatism, it is merely better to Talk vs War. However, we are all waiting to determine who will blink first – the chinese economy, the Chinese CCP, or Trump and the Trump administration. So basically, we will have until at least next spring before anyone ‘blinks.

    Most of the outcome is predicated on how fast the Trump administration can push through both domestic and international agenda, so that the US Economy has a future independent of China, or whether the rate and severity of the decline in the Chinese economy causes a threat to the stability of the CCP necessitating their compromise.

    IMO war is their best option but it only will accelerate the decline of the CCP. This leader, another chinese “Bad Emperor” problem (Look it up) could have kept on building their commercial dominance and the rest of the world would have been just as happy as we were before “Bad Emperor Xi”. But between the Taiwan issue, the India issue, the Russia Issue, the North Korea issue, the CCP is just another well funded state terrorist organization.

    The USA makes plenty of mistakes but they want all people to have sovereignty within their borders, human rights for all, and free trade for all. And Americans have spent too much blood and treasure dragging mankind out of its historical warfare into the Pax Americana to have their investments seized and abused by yet another set of authoritarian terrorists trying to set the world backward by two centuries.
    CD
    #TradeWar


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-11 22:43:19 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1921697658105962662

  • Q: Curt: “Do you have any thoughts about Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)?”– It d

    –Q: Curt: “Do you have any thoughts about Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)?”–

    It depends on what you’re asking me. I have an informal and a formal answer.

    INFORMAL ANSWER
    1) While his public persona and speech are inflationary, and his motives one of self interest, I can’t claim he’s other than optimistically honest despite his inflationary speech, rather than intentionally or unintentionally deceptive.
    2) If I were to invest BTC I would happily put at least half of my holdings in his organization – not because of his salesmanship per se, but because I don’t believe there is any malfeasance going on, and now that not just the institutional investors but governments are treating BTC as a stable reserve I see nothing but a deterministically optimistic future with periodic withdrawals and advances, and my estimates for BTC price stabilization say that there is a long way to go.
    3) In other words, his ‘marketing’ might be inflationary but it is not contradictory to likely predictive future outcomes.

    FORMAL ANALYSIS (FROM NLI)

    Normie Version
    Michael Saylor presents himself as a champion of personal freedom and long-term thinking through Bitcoin. But if we examine his behavior through the lens of operational truth, reciprocity, and institutional responsibility, we get a more accurate picture:

    Academic Version
    Michael Saylor, is an epistemically inflationary entrepreneur whose rhetoric packages speculative asymmetric gain as moral truth. While he performs reciprocity in market terms, he fails operational tests of decidability and testifiability, and promotes an illusion of systemic sovereignty without institutional warrant. His actions contribute to evolutionary computation by accelerating monetary experimentation, but his discourse remains parasitic upon ambiguity, and fails to satisfy the demands of decidability or reciprocity in moral, legal, or institutional dimensions.

    1. What He Says vs What He Does
    What he says:
    – Bitcoin is “digital energy” and a path to personal sovereignty.
    – Fiat money is broken, and Bitcoin is the solution.
    – Holding Bitcoin is a moral and strategic imperative.
    What he does:
    – Uses his company, MicroStrategy, to buy billions in Bitcoin, aligning his personal and corporate interests with the price.
    – Gains enormous public influence by mixing investment advice with philosophical claims.
    – Benefits financially and reputationally from market hype and belief in his narrative.
    – Takeaway: His words and actions mostly align, but he packages investment speculation as a moral crusade—creating belief to serve both public cause and private gain.

    2. Does His Argument Hold Up to Scrutiny?
    Operational test:
    – He uses powerful metaphors, but doesn’t define terms like “digital energy” in any measurable or testable way.
    – He offers no rule set, no framework for decision-making, and no way to falsify his claims.
    Reciprocity test:
    – Market-wise, he’s reciprocal: he buys what others can buy, and takes risks.
    – But rhetorically, he’s not: his claims are exaggerated, unaccountable, and can’t be challenged using shared standards.
    – Takeaway: His public narrative fails the tests of clarity, accountability, and reciprocity. It motivates people, but doesn’t equip them to judge or decide for themselves.

    3. What Role Does He Play in the Big Picture?
    – He’s not building institutions or rules—he’s telling a story that encourages people to speculate.
    – He speeds up the experiment of monetary decentralization, which can be good—but without offering safety nets, protections, or dispute resolution.
    – His influence adds energy to the system, but also risk, volatility, and confusion.
    – Takeaway: He’s an accelerant—driving change without building the structure needed to stabilize it.

    4. Moral and Civilizational Contribution
    – He draws on American values of liberty, property, and rebellion—but without offering the duties, rules, or institutions that make liberty sustainable.
    He acts like a cross between a prophet and a salesman: inspiring but not accountable.
    – Takeaway: He offers a compelling narrative but not a system. His contribution is to spread belief—not to build trust.

    Final Verdict
    Michael Saylor is a skilled communicator and bold investor who presents speculation as truth and risk as sovereignty. While his market behavior is reciprocal, his rhetoric is not. He contributes to change but not to order. He inspires belief but does not offer decidable knowledge. He is part of the evolutionary process—but not of its long-term solution.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-09 21:20:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920952106686742550

  • Q: Curt: “Do you have any thoughts about Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)?”– It d

    –Q: Curt: “Do you have any thoughts about Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)?”–

    It depends on what you’re asking me. I have an informal and a formal answer.

    INFORMAL ANSWER
    1) While his public persona and speech are inflationary, and his motives one of self interest, I can’t claim he’s other than optimistically honest despite his inflationary speech, rather than intentionally or unintentionally deceptive.
    2) If I were to invest BTC I would happily put at least half of my holdings in his organization – not because of his salesmanship per se, but because I don’t believe there is any malfeasance going on, and now that not just the institutional investors but governments are treating BTC as a stable reserve I see nothing but a deterministically optimistic future with periodic withdrawals and advances, and my estimates for BTC price stabilization say that there is a long way to go.
    3) In other words, his ‘marketing’ might be inflationary but it is not contradictory to likely predictive future outcomes.

    FORMAL ANALYSIS (FROM NLI)

    Normie Version
    Michael Saylor presents himself as a champion of personal freedom and long-term thinking through Bitcoin. But if we examine his behavior through the lens of operational truth, reciprocity, and institutional responsibility, we get a more accurate picture:

    Academic Version
    Michael Saylor, is an epistemically inflationary entrepreneur whose rhetoric packages speculative asymmetric gain as moral truth. While he performs reciprocity in market terms, he fails operational tests of decidability and testifiability, and promotes an illusion of systemic sovereignty without institutional warrant. His actions contribute to evolutionary computation by accelerating monetary experimentation, but his discourse remains parasitic upon ambiguity, and fails to satisfy the demands of decidability or reciprocity in moral, legal, or institutional dimensions.

    1. What He Says vs What He Does
    What he says:
    – Bitcoin is “digital energy” and a path to personal sovereignty.
    – Fiat money is broken, and Bitcoin is the solution.
    – Holding Bitcoin is a moral and strategic imperative.
    What he does:
    – Uses his company, MicroStrategy, to buy billions in Bitcoin, aligning his personal and corporate interests with the price.
    – Gains enormous public influence by mixing investment advice with philosophical claims.
    – Benefits financially and reputationally from market hype and belief in his narrative.
    – Takeaway: His words and actions mostly align, but he packages investment speculation as a moral crusade—creating belief to serve both public cause and private gain.

    2. Does His Argument Hold Up to Scrutiny?
    Operational test:
    – He uses powerful metaphors, but doesn’t define terms like “digital energy” in any measurable or testable way.
    – He offers no rule set, no framework for decision-making, and no way to falsify his claims.
    Reciprocity test:
    – Market-wise, he’s reciprocal: he buys what others can buy, and takes risks.
    – But rhetorically, he’s not: his claims are exaggerated, unaccountable, and can’t be challenged using shared standards.
    – Takeaway: His public narrative fails the tests of clarity, accountability, and reciprocity. It motivates people, but doesn’t equip them to judge or decide for themselves.

    3. What Role Does He Play in the Big Picture?
    – He’s not building institutions or rules—he’s telling a story that encourages people to speculate.
    – He speeds up the experiment of monetary decentralization, which can be good—but without offering safety nets, protections, or dispute resolution.
    – His influence adds energy to the system, but also risk, volatility, and confusion.
    – Takeaway: He’s an accelerant—driving change without building the structure needed to stabilize it.

    4. Moral and Civilizational Contribution
    – He draws on American values of liberty, property, and rebellion—but without offering the duties, rules, or institutions that make liberty sustainable.
    He acts like a cross between a prophet and a salesman: inspiring but not accountable.
    – Takeaway: He offers a compelling narrative but not a system. His contribution is to spread belief—not to build trust.

    Final Verdict
    Michael Saylor is a skilled communicator and bold investor who presents speculation as truth and risk as sovereignty. While his market behavior is reciprocal, his rhetoric is not. He contributes to change but not to order. He inspires belief but does not offer decidable knowledge. He is part of the evolutionary process—but not of its long-term solution.

    Reply addressees: @partymember55


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-09 21:20:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920952106326110208

  • RT @curtdoolittle: REPATRIATION OF STRATEGIC INDUSTRIES The Original Reason Chip

    RT @curtdoolittle: REPATRIATION OF STRATEGIC INDUSTRIES
    The Original Reason Chip Companies Moved from The Usa to Taiwan in 1987

    TSMC’s fou…


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-08 15:18:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920498674221674926

  • RT @ItIsHoeMath: I don’t think I should have to pay half my income in taxes to s

    RT @ItIsHoeMath: I don’t think I should have to pay half my income in taxes to support large numbers of people who have nothing in common w…


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-08 14:42:07 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920489397088116927

  • ECONOMICS POSITIVA VS NEGATIVA Principles vs Pathologies (Bookmark it) Common de

    ECONOMICS POSITIVA VS NEGATIVA Principles vs Pathologies (Bookmark it) Common de

    ECONOMICS POSITIVA VS NEGATIVA
    Principles vs Pathologies
    (Bookmark it)
    Common derivations from my work. https://t.co/58mjq1jvRP


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-08 00:59:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920282259082584111

  • ECONOMICS POSITIVA VS NEGATIVA Principles vs Pathologies (Bookmark it) Common de

    ECONOMICS POSITIVA VS NEGATIVA
    Principles vs Pathologies
    (Bookmark it)
    Common derivations from my work.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-08 00:59:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920282259015536640

  • Austrian Economics = Economics Science. Freshwater Economics = Economic Insuranc

    Austrian Economics = Economics Science.
    Freshwater Economics = Economic Insurance
    Saltwater Economics = Economic Coercion. 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-01 18:55:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1918016491926241574

    Reply addressees: @WOLF_Crypto_X

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1918002712261627964

  • Sex Differences in Approximate Contribution Estimates While precise figures are

    Sex Differences in Approximate Contribution Estimates
    While precise figures are unavailable, estimates based on income disparities suggest that:​
    Men: Approximately 60–70% of federal income tax revenues, but consume a fraction of federal services.
    Women: Approximately 30–40% of federal income tax revenues​, and consume a majority of federal services.
    There is a vast involuntary redistribution of wealth from men to women.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-05-01 18:34:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1918011167974502400