Category: Commentary, Critique, and Response

Good. Tho I think you’ve involved two different causal axes there. a) How would we create an escalation of solving problems+acknowledgement, incrementally, up to heroism and ‘risk for the purpose of signaling’?
b) Not sure sex diffs in #3 are resolvable without training both.

@PeterZeihan critics:
1. I don’t expect my fellow ‘predictors’ like PZ to be right on PATHING or TIMING only on DIRECTION and DESTINATION.
2. Pathing and Timing are subject to high causal density: chaos.
3. Limit based reasoning describes direction and destination – CORRECTLY. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1618999959650717696

I don’t expect my fellow ‘predictors’ like PZ to be right on PATH or TIMING only on DIRECTION and DESTINATION.

Yes, though, again, as someone who issues rare predictions myself, I’m aware that limit based predictions are simple going to happen, but w/ ‘noise’ amid the signal. And that PZ isn’t as conscious of political extremes possible under duress given new tech and rates of adaptation.