THE MIDDLE EAST
1) ME did not develop trifunctionalism because despite the center of world trade, the supply of a sequence of ‘hill people, desert people, then steppe people’ caused rotation of conqueres of concentrated capital production along the rivers preventing trust formation.
2) There are only three means of human coercion (seduction, exchange, force) -> three sets of institutions (religion, contract law, state) -> the sequence of institutions determines the hierarchy of influence.
3) ME sequence was Religion -> State -> Common Law (Contract). ie: all civilizational differences are caused by degree of heterogeneity, number of competitors, means of agrarian age production, and geography.
4) So ME heterogeneity (tribalism), serial conquest, river production, and religion (first generation institution) generates demand for authoritarian religion and authoritarian state, instead of common law (Indo-european) or bureaucratic state (china).
5) So despite ME invention of all mechanisms of trade ( writing, recording, accounting, weights/measures) other than Greeks and their money. And despite being center of world trade, conflict maintained demand for low trust abstract authority rather than high trust empirical law.
6) As we see in China, in India, and in the ME, the rate of evolutionary computation is determined by the degree of empiricism FIRST, the degree of trade second, and the homogeneity of the population third. Ergo: Which civ evolves fastest is more influential than which was first.
7) If I am correct, each civilization revolts against empiricism, because it produces inequality despite raising overall prosperity(envy), then ME should only require another generation (max three) if present rates of development continue, presuming no new wave of fundamentalism.
8) this is evident in the younger generation. Interestingly the west has become degenerate b/c of tolerance, the russians and chinese are preventing this and I assum ME will do so as well. Then the west will over-correct as well.