Category: Civilization, History, and Anthropology

  • Four Reasons For The Long Term Decline In Violence

    Regarding Pinker’s new book on the decline in violence in the world over time. I would argue that there are the following reasons for the worldwide decline in violence. 1. The Abstraction Of Property Stated by an unnamed commenter on The Economist: Odd that no mention is made of the most obvious point: that when one can abstract wealth (for example, into bank accounts and physical property) violence declines proportionately. In some parts of Africa where wealth is largely a function of how many cattle one has, violence is quite prevalent. This is because wealth can be captured by violent means – the risk/reward ratio is favorable. But in the West, what can a mugger hope to get? A few pounds or euros or dollars. The victim’s wealth is largely inaccesible. So only the most desperate resort to violence – far better to become a Wall Street banker and steal billions quite legally without needing to use any physical force at all. The correlation between violence and the abstraction of wealth is well understood so the omission of this fact is quite surprising.2. Increases In the Likelihood of Punishment. Contrary to liberal desires, it turns out that longer, and harsher sentences are in fact a deterrent. That’s the data. That’s the fact. Plain and simple. 3. Increasing real wealth Obviously a deterrent. 4. Cheap Entertainment A bored male is a dangerous thing.

  • List of 20th Century Genocides

    The worst genocides of the 20th Century (160 million killed) – Mao Ze-Dong (China, 1958-61 and 1966-69, Tibet 1949-50) 49-78,000,000 – Jozef Stalin (USSR, 1932-39) 23,000,000 (the purges plus Ukraine’s famine) – Adolf Hitler (Germany, 1939-1945) 12,000,000 (concentration camps and civilians WWII) – Leopold II of Belgium (Congo, 1886-1908) 8,000,000 – Hideki Tojo (Japan, 1941-44) 5,000,000 (civilians in WWII) – Ismail Enver (Turkey, 1915-20) 1,200,000 Armenians (1915) + 350,000 Greek Pontians and 480,000 Anatolian Greeks (1916-22) + 500,000 Assyrians (1915-20) – Pol Pot (Cambodia, 1975-79) 1,700,000 – Kim Il Sung (North Korea, 1948-94) 1,600,000 (purges and concentration camps) – Menghistu (Ethiopia, 1975-78) 1,500,000 – Yakubu Gowon (Biafra, 1967-1970) 1,000,000 – Leonid Brezhnev (Afghanistan, 1979-1982) 900,000 – Jean Kambanda (Rwanda, 1994) 800,000 – Saddam Hussein (Iran 1980-1990 and Kurdistan 1987-88) 600,000 – Tito (Yugoslavia, 1945-1987) 570,000 – Sukarno (Communists 1965-66) 500,000 – Fumimaro Konoe (Japan, 1937-39) 500,000? (Chinese civilians) – Jonas Savimbi (Angola, 1975-2002) 400,000 – Mullah Omar – Taliban (Afghanistan, 1986-2001) 400,000 – Idi Amin (Uganda, 1969-1979) 300,000 – Yahya Khan (Pakistan, 1970-71) 300,000 (Bangladesh) – Benito Mussolini (Ethiopia, 1936; Libya, 1934-45; Yugoslavia, WWII) 300,000 – Mobutu Sese Seko (Zaire, 1965-97) ? = Charles Taylor (Liberia, 1989-1996) 220,000

  • William Iron Arm was a Norman knight then count who fought in Italy and Sicily.

    William Iron Arm was a Norman knight then count who fought in Italy and Sicily. He was even bigger than most of his peers and arrogant in a way that we have forgotten is useful.

    At one point the Byzantines sent a herald/messenger to threaten him and his men. As a demonstration more powerful than words he swung his mailed fist and killed the messengers horse dead with a single blow. Gave the messenger a new horse and sent him on his way.

    No words could have had equal meaning.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-24 12:43:00 UTC

  • Sinter klaus was a byzantine. Incorrectly referred to as a Turk. He gave childre

    Sinter klaus was a byzantine.

    Incorrectly referred to as a Turk.

    He gave children morsels.

    Did you know why Europeans were bigger? Less hungry. Partly because of their plow. Partly because they controlled their breeding. The Dutch are the tallest nation.

    Obviously my Breton celt genes were more influential than the Norman side… 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-24 12:09:00 UTC

  • Traveling from the ecotopian culture, through the breadbasket culture to the fou

    Traveling from the ecotopian culture, through the breadbasket culture to the foundry culture it is painfully obvious that the only declining culture in north america is the foundry sub civilization that was built around the great lakes and Erie canal in order to supply goods for the western expansion and rapid immigration that was made possible and then necessary by the Louisiana purchase.

    The civil war was fought over which economy and culture would profit from westward expansion. And the success if the propagandists to define the war as over slavery or unity is exceeded only by the propaganda that Germany started the first world war.

    We should never have ceded from England nor stopped the south from doing so. The end of the west is not started by the French revolution as much as the american.

    economics tells us the incentives and the incentives tell us the truth. Words are too often used as deception to mask a fraud.

    In history the French are always wrong – reveling in their creativity at corruption , the English a but less so because of their empiricism, and the Germans right about everything because it fell to them to keep the east at bay, but demonized for their discipline and treated as rubes — a convenient propaganda measure to hide the dependence that France and England relied upon for their freedoms.

    How is that for casual analysis? 😉

    Everything is related to everything across a ling enough time span.

    Our vanities have consequences. Because small things in large numbers have vast consequences.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-24 11:13:00 UTC

  • Inverting The Argument: Inequality Is The Product Of Diversity

    Over on Stumbling And Mumbling, Chris Dillow writes about inequality, and refers to OECD Gini-charts on inequality and trust, in an effort to suggest it’s ‘how we believe’ one thing or another that determines redistributive policy. As if conservatives simply need to ‘feel differently’ in order to desire a more egalitarian society. I try to show him that a tolerance for redistribution is a function of cultural homogeneity, and a lack of threats to the status economy. Here is most of Chris’ article:

    My chart shows that the correlation between big government and equality is weak. Yes, countries with big government spending tend to be more equal, but there’s a lot of variation around this. For example, France and Norway have similar levels of equality, but France spends 13 percentage points more of GDP. And the UK has the same inequality as Australia or Japan, but spends 10 percentage points more of GDP.

    In fact, it could be that the positive correlation between equality and public spending doesn’t reflect causality from the latter to the former at all, but rather an omitted variable. Countries that combine big government and equality tend to be high trust societies. It could be, then, that the same high trust that makes people supportive of redistribution – because they believe “welfare scroungers” aren’t ripping them off – also makes them support big government as they trust politicians not to waste money. This possibility hints at another – that perhaps it’s possible to combine small government and equality if the right cultural or institutional factors are in place. I mean, for example: – Strong trades unions. These not only raise the pay of the worst off, but also help restrain top pay. – A collectivist culture. A society that believes that corporate performance depends upon the abilities of all its employees will be more egalitarian than one which believes that organizations can be transformed by star managers. – Education. A highly educated workforce might be more equal, if only because it creates more competition for top jobs. There is a correlation between education levels (pdf) and equality – the egalitarian Nordics do better than the inegalitarian US and latin Americans. And the causality mightn’t be entirely from inequality to poor education. However, high educational standards are achieved not by increased spending, but by a culture which values schooling – and the UK lacks this. Herein, I fear, lies the big challenge for the Left. Although it is technically possible to reconcile small government or fiscal conservatism with greater equality, the UK lacks the cultural underpinnings which would permit this happy combination.

    Despite the fact that for many of us equality of outcome is not a goal, but freedom, the difference between egalitarian and non egalitarian states is, driven by factors in addition to those you mention:

    • Education
    • Status Signals
    • Access to power, Resistance to Changes In power:

    [callout]…small homogenous Protestant countries with high median IQ’s are more distributive than factional, non-protestant countries with lower median IQ’s.[/callout]

    d) Size: it is easier for a small homogenous culture to create an environment that tolerates redistribution. This is the reason for the egalitarianism of the nordic countries. They’re small and homogenous and there are few if any external pressures from ‘unlike’ groups with different cultural and therefore status signals and different “property definitions.” e) Composition: IQ distribution matters. This difference affects the USA, and dramatically effects South America. South america is also highly tribal – as are Brits. The USA is a domestic empire over a set of different cultures consisting of different economic, religious, racial and cultural interests in various compositions, each with different IQ distributions, and this in turn correlates pretty consistently with performance of the groups, which in turn creates competition for status signals, and a desire for access to power in order to expand them, and a counter-desire for people who which to resist that expansion. A number of these factors run counter to the progressive fantasy about the nature of mankind, and individual behavior in society. And failing to include them in your list, is simply a prescription for failing to accomplish your desired state of ‘equality’, by denying the factors that dramatically affect political preferences in redistribution. The lesson to take away from any analysis of the tolerance for redistribution of one’s productive gains (‘equality’), is that **Human beings seek status as much or more than money, and that those who have money will redistribute it to the less advantaged if they perceive that they are not undermining their status as individuals, their status as a cultural class, or their status as a system of cultural manners, ethics and morals.** In other words, if the proletariat has to behave and conform, (which it does in france and doesn’t’ in england or the USA) then people will tolerate redistribution. If the proletariat doesn’t have to behave or conform, then they will resist it. That’s the difference between seeing people as disadvantaged and lazy and incompetent or threatening and destabilizing. *Adherence to norms determines the tolerance for egalitarian sentiments. And cultural diversity reduces tolerance for egalitarian sentiments.* Economists look only at the monetary economy. But the monetary economy is a Maslowian pyramid that exists first to support basic needs, second to provide individuals with the needs for reproduction, and third to provide the needs for status signals – which in turn provides access to mates, and ease of nesting/reproduction. As the economy improves, and the upper classes expand, the status signal economy dominates the monetary economy – ie: the society becomes politicized. The only solution is cultural homogeneity. In other words, there are opposing curves that describe cultural homogeneity and the tolerance for monetary redistribution, which in effect describes the status signal economy. THE DECEPTION CREATED BY THE OECD CHARTS Here are the charts the you’re referring to. And from these charts, we are expected to deduce that ‘high trust societies’ are the most redistributive. However, what these charts actually show, is that small homogenous Protestant countries with high median IQ’s are more redistributive than factional, non-protestant countries with lower median IQ’s.

    All this means is that PEOPLE ARE MORE REDISTRIBUTIVE WHEN THERE ARE FEWER THREATS TO THEIR WAY OF LIFE. And Charles’ argument is just another example, of why any economic argument that mentions the nordics is be definition, false. Curt

  • Warriors, Soldiers, Citizens, States and Empires

    Warriors, Soldiers, Citizens, States and Empires http://www.capitalismv3.com/index.php/2011/12/warriors-soldiers-citizens-states-and-empires/


    Source date (UTC): 2011-12-11 13:47:52 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/145862363113979904

  • Curt, You posted once that archaeological digs of dead civilizations show poorer

    Curt, You posted once that archaeological digs of dead civilizations show poorer food near the surface than deep down (where the golden-age relics are found). So. . . I saw this in the Seattle Times today:


    Source date (UTC): 2011-11-15 20:16:00 UTC

  • What makes the west special is competition: the balance of power, and every indi

    What makes the west special is competition: the balance of power, and every individual’s commitment to preserving the balance of power, and respecting the consequences of that conflict as beneficial. It is a social system that is antithetical to everyone else on earth.

    While the self congratulatory set would love to say we achieved this feat on purpose, through debate and wisdom, that’s entirely false. It is a remnant of tribal heroism. Something else much of the world criticizes us for. (See John Keegan)

    While the self congratulatory set would love to say that our success comes from democracy, that’s false. It comes from aristocracy. From a balance of power between small states, who treated the church as a sort of supreme court system. Democracy is a luxury good. It’s something the very wealthy can afford for very short times – it’s a means of spending your trust fund. But it doesn’t make that trust fund.

    The west’s “Killer Apps” as Nial Ferguson calls them are, 1) competition, 2) science, 3) property rights, 5) the consumer society 6) the work ethic. It’s these killer apps that created the great divergence between “the west and the rest”.

    But those six apps are CAUSED by every individual’s commitment to preserving the balance of power, and competition as a means of determining outcomes.

    Under the competitive model, we do not develop consensus.

    We develop experiments.


    Source date (UTC): 2011-10-05 10:19:00 UTC

  • mom. Ever wonder why the government built that airport on the Family farm near t

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Plan_RedGee mom. Ever wonder why the government built that airport on the Family farm near the canadian border? Turns out they had a pretty strange reason. 🙂


    Source date (UTC): 2011-09-22 00:45:00 UTC