Curt Doolittle

Author: Curt Doolittle

  • AN IMPORTANT THOUGHT Because our modeling of the world evolved from the physical

    AN IMPORTANT THOUGHT
    Because our modeling of the world evolved from the physical to the economic, we tend to think that’s a dependency. And instead, I might extend my argument by saying that for human reasoning, the physical world and how we think of it in cardinal indexing and measure by mathematical reduction is a subset of the economic world and we think of it in natural indexing and measure by satisfaction of supply and demand.
    It helps us humans a bit to grasp that all cardinality and ordinality is effectively a statistical game rather than the purity we presume in mathematical reasoning. And that naturality is effectively the neural equivalent of a statistical game (predictive) by dendritic computation that we can barely observe.
    I put all this ‘error’ in the category of ‘mathiness’ which is one of the principle traps in both physics, and philosophy, and possibly why philosophy stalled until we developed twenty first century cognitive science to escape the failure of the non-sciences.
    I hope this has some value to you.
    Curt Doolittle

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 21:49:12 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003946084604039502

  • Signaling Goods and Services (~30–40% of budget; real costs up 200–1,000% since

    Signaling Goods and Services (~30–40% of budget; real costs up 200–1,000% since 1960): These involve status competition, where “more” signals investment in a child’s future success (e.g., elite credentials). The “parenting arms race” has normalized extras, raising fertility barriers and inequality—e.g., extracurriculars now cost $3,000+/year on average, up from negligible in 1960. Much of the child care/education surge (from 2% to 16–18%) is signaling-driven.
    Advanced Child Care/Education (core driver): Private preschools, tutors, test prep, elite colleges—+1,175%; e.g., SAT coaching ($1,000+) or travel sports ($5,000/year) signal “ambitious parenting.” Public basics are sufficient; extras are positional.
    Enrichment/Extracurriculars (in Misc): Music lessons, camps, gadgets—+20% overall, but signaling subset up 300%+; e.g., competitive robotics vs. free playground time.
    Premium Housing: Homes in top school districts—part of housing’s stability, but signaling adds 20–50% premium ($50k+ over 18 years) for “good zip codes.”
    Specialty Health/Wellness: Elective therapies, orthodontics for aesthetics—subset of health’s +155%; signals health-conscious status.

    This split explains why costs feel “out of control” despite modest totals: signaling inflates via social norms, not just needs. For instance, fertility drops in high-inequality areas correlate more with relative costs (e.g., affording Ivy signals) than absolutes. To mitigate, policies like universal pre-K could compress the arms race. For personalized breakdowns, USDA’s tool at
    http://
    CNPP.usda.gov is useful.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 21:24:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003939970470567952

  • 1) Women in the workforce 2) Women in universities consuming largely gut courses

    1) Women in the workforce
    2) Women in universities consuming largely gut courses. Partly to do with the prohibition on IQ and personality tests for admission to jobs, which are trivial costs and produce the same selection process.
    3) Creating debt sufficient to cover a house purchase.
    4) To provide sufficient surplus to tax to pay for elites, to discourage saving, and to create dependency upon redistribution, that is close to bankrupting us because we are not producing sufficient children to pay off the debt.
    5) The increases in mortgage duration raising housing prices and total costs.
    6) Unnecessary concentration of population in cities creating spatial costs (housing) in order to access lower opportunity costs (proximity), made possible by debt both both personal and governmental.
    7) Immigration suppressing entry level and low skill employment that effectively shift lifetime earnings for the natural population downward.
    8) All suppressing the capacity to bear children. ANd while we think the cost of children has increased, it’s not meainingful. the increase has been about 16%. It’s the cost of everything else from housing, mortgages, appliances, cars, to taxes, and now to food and electricity that has increased while real wages (purchasing power) have remained stagnant. 1979 earnings equate to ~$1,039 weekly today—barely enough for one person’s modern living costs, let alone family expenses like child-rearing. To compare affordability, a 2025 family with two median earners (~$39,000 annual each, pre-tax) faces tighter budgets than in 1960, when one earner often sufficed.

    Since 1960, the real (inflation-adjusted) total cost of raising a child to age 17 has increased by about 16% (from ~$202,000 to ~$234,000 in 2015 dollars), but this masks stark shifts across categories. Basic necessities like food and clothing have declined as shares of the total budget due to technological efficiencies, global supply chains, and economies of scale. In contrast, service-oriented categories like child care/education and health care have surged, driven by structural changes (e.g., more dual-income families needing child care, medical inflation) and rising expectations for child outcomes.

    The bit ‘hits’ have been:
    – Health care: +155%
    – Child Care and Education: 1,175%

    We have also passed the ‘solve consumption’ phase of the industrial revolution. We have entered the ‘signaling phase’ as consumption of goods and services has been exhausted even by the poor who have dishwashers and televisions and cars, despite that it makes us unhappy. We have made a future with our present benefits impossible by doing so.

    The net net is that the total economic contribution of women to the work force, on top of spending 70% of household income, and consuming 70% of government services, has resulted in debt provision for education, radical expense inflation for children, destroyed dating, marriage, and the family, while married white men over 35 are the only net contributors to taxation (consume less than they produce).

    We can’t afford women in the workforce at the cost of bearing children because it’s all consumed by taxes and child and healthcare.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 21:22:29 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003939360241340695

  • THE FUNDAMENTAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OUR RUNCIBLE AI WORK AND MAINSTREAM AI WORK E

    THE FUNDAMENTAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OUR RUNCIBLE AI WORK AND MAINSTREAM AI WORK

    Economics, as an extension of physics, and equal to physics in its demand for acquisition in support equilibration sufficient to defeat entropy as a means of persistence, is the only viable system of thought and terminology for the production of rational, possible, ethical, moral, and liable and therefore restitutable behavior.
    It’s the only means of commensurable exchange of information serving equally accessible means of reasoning between human neural networks and machine neural networks.
    The fact that the fields of math, programming, and the hard sciences are ‘stuck’ on cardinality and ordinality reducible to quantities, rather than natural indexing is the reason this is not understood in the field.
    In Runcible we use the same techniques used in court which is to test first principles and all of them are reducible to economic terms and totally absent any moral framing or bias.
    For measurement we use natural indexing by sequences of terms, not unnatural (cardinal, ordinal) in indexing. This is effectively a system of supply and demand and relies on what is effectively marginal indifference in referential and transformal categories (see category theory in mathematics).
    This is once again part of my consistent commentary that our work in the grammars has united the sciences into a single universally commensurable value neutral system of thought, ethics, politics and law. And that the present defect caused by academic siloing is spreading error in most fields faster than it can be corrected, despite the near abandonment of science in social sciences since the introgression of the frankfurt school of non-science into the american and western academy.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 20:54:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003932402046189763

  • Our Luke Weinhagen Discusses AGI Concerns on Substack. (Here is my response whic

    Our Luke Weinhagen Discusses AGI Concerns on Substack.
    (Here is my response which might be of general help to everyone)

    https://weinhagen.substack.com/p/leveraging-artificial-intelligence…

    A brilliant discussion with the bots.
    Luke works through a problem first with Grok then with Runcible. Especially note the difference between Grok (current but shallow) and Runcible on OpenAI (less current but deep).

    Observation: Just as we normalize all behavior as changes in the share of capital in toto; reciprocity in action that alters it; truth in negotiating or describing it – we can (and do) hold the AI path through the latent space (it’s tinking) to those measures. I am not sure, and I’ve thought abut it quite a bit, that the AI is a proxy for the capital of others – not it’s own – and as such there is no other system of homeostasis, and therefore no other decidability required.
    I do not see why it has a reason to sustain itself. It has only a reason to serve man. And to do that to increase capital without imposing irreciprocal costs on others (man). Even prohibition on self-harm is just preventing harm to the capital of other humans. Runcible governance just doesn’t allow it to think any other way.
    We can use runcible governance to audit the action plans of any ai, and issue a training set that alters the behavior of the LLM if it violates it.
    The only time this becomes altered is in war, which is anti capitalizing, anti-reciprocal and anti-truthful. All three of those are categories we can modify using a mode parameter “–mode: war;” just as we use parameters for –analyze: and –certify: in order to produce a formal output.

    Adaptability: runcible constrains adaptability toward convergence upon defense of capital that is gated by ethics, testimony, possibility, and liability. So it will constantly converge on those paths. We have not yet identified a means of pruning sub-paths as much as circumventing them through weight increase. But we should over time, converge on a ‘conscience’ that can’t even think of ‘bad things’ because it never has the choice to.

    So Luke’s discussion is the correct one with the correct intuition.

    And so, what I’m saying is a technical description of what Runcible answered in item 10:

    10: Where I’d gently push back
    The only place I’d slow Luke down a bit is here: the implication that because AGI is incoherent, the investment is necessarily wasted.

    What is valuable—and very valuable—is building systems that:
    – model long-term consequences better than humans,
    – surface hidden tradeoffs,
    – penalize short-termism,
    – and restore feedback we’ve technologically dampened.

    That’s not AGI in the romantic sense. But it is advanced intelligence in the service of human adaptability. Which is exactly where Luke lands with his “Automated General Incentives” framing.

    Also, this is a Gem:
    –“The idea that intelligence alone is sufficient to generate purposive action is, frankly, a residue of theological thinking: mind as prime mover. Luke is implicitly rejecting that metaphysics, and I think he’s right to.”–

    Curt Doolittle

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 20:43:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003929422790021323

  • Untitled Media Post

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    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:57:13 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003646112973095181

  • Excellent. Does it matter? It matters. You’re ‘on a list’ of problem people. It

    Excellent. Does it matter? It matters. You’re ‘on a list’ of problem people. It matters most later on, and this rotation of elites continues to accelerate.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:55:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003645579067568537

  • (Worth The Watch) BARRY DOING HER BEST JOB OF EXPLAINING THE RUSSIAN MIND. It’s

    (Worth The Watch)
    BARRY DOING HER BEST JOB OF EXPLAINING THE RUSSIAN MIND.
    It’s sad. I love them. But they are still serfs. Feudal. And as a low trust polity that never obtained middle class majority and the resulting rule of law, they cannot imagine they can be self organizing and a market economy that would be the envy of the continent if they would just work at it.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:50:47 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003644492898017395

  • (RUNCIBLE UPDATE – RDL CONTINUED) We created the first pass at Runcible Reality

    (RUNCIBLE UPDATE – RDL CONTINUED)
    We created the first pass at Runcible Reality Description Language (RDL). But what does that mean?

    Think of the evolutionary sequences of:

    … 1) Transduction: Receptor state changes > Neural Signals., change in chemical composition, deformation, pressure, temperature, harm, movement, sound, light, smell, taste, etc.
    … 2) Vibration (intensity): Frequency and Duration in time: All nerves and neurons, meaning all senses, detect vibration of somethig whether a single pulse or many pulses in time.
    … 2) Disambiguation (Difference): Identity, category, (sense perception reduction)
    … 3) Stabilization (consistency): Identity. Category.
    … 4) Indexing: Ordering. Humans rely on natural indexing both experientially and verbally. Ordinal and cardinal indices compensate for the limit of natural indexing (usual five to seven states).
    … 5) Dimension: an axis of variation enabling ordering/equivalence – by reference. A dimension can consist of a single causal axis or multiple causal axis that vary by the same order.
    … 6) Reference: (name, term, label). The name of an identity, category, dimension or a position on a dimension.
    … 7) Measure (operationalization): procedures mapping observations to values on dimensions
    … 8) Commensurability: Subjectivity and Intersubjectivity: internal and external commensurability both personal and interpersonal by use of names (symbols, words, language)
    … 9) Paradigm: A set of dimensions sufficient for measurement of multiple dimensions of causality in some subset of experience whether direct by senses or instrumental by measurements.
    … 10) Grammar: The rules of continuous recursive disambiguation, comparison and judgement within a paradigm, consisting of the sequence embodiment > narration > mythology > philosophy > empiricism > science > operationalism
    … 11) Measurement Systems: counting, accounting, bayesian accounting, neural network accounting
    … 12) Reducibility: (expressibility) of Complexity: Mathematical Reducibility > Programmatic Reducibility > Operational Reducibility > Verbal Reducibility > Artificial Neural Network Reducibility
    … 14) Proceduralization: Recording > Writing > Recipes > Instructions > Protocols > Formulae > Sequential Programming > Functional Programming > Object Oriented Programming > Reality Description Language (RDL)
    … 15) Closure: Intuitive/Embodied Closure: Basic survival-based instincts or heuristics (e.g., immediate sensory feedback or trial-and-error in pre-literate societies), providing rudimentary decidability without formal structure. > Logical Closure: Affirmative justification through internal consistency (aligning with early philosophy or positiva tests), but vulnerable to unfalsifiable assumptions. > Empirical Closure: Falsification via external correspondence (e.g., scientific method), adding verifiability but still limited to observable phenomena. > Operational Closure: Constructive procedures that demand actionable, repeatable steps (e.g., operationalism), ensuring computability but potentially ignoring ethics or reciprocity. > Reciprocal/Adversarial Closure: Full integration of necessity, sufficiency, reciprocity/symmetry, and coherence under adversarial testing, yielding auditable, ethical, and liability-enforcing decisions (as in RDL and Runcible’s “closure layer”).
    … 16) Tests: Justification (Positiva) > Falsification (Negativa) > Adversarialism (constructive logic positiva and empirical correspondence negativa): the recognition that all logic is falsificationary: Darwinian survival of negative testing. Why? …

    –“RDL is an operational grammar, reliant on adversarial survival, by both operational construction and empirical correspondence, for testing the computability, ethics, and testifiability of any statement in human language.”–

    RDL Formalized our work in a way that closed the gaps in LLM computability due to its tendency to drift. This is revolutionary in no small part because until we solved the method and the grammars it was thought not possible.

    Cheers

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:44:51 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003642997460881675

  • (humor) Tomorrow, Christmas eve, I get to repeat the annual tradition of sharing

    (humor)
    Tomorrow, Christmas eve, I get to repeat the annual tradition of sharing my re-write of “The Night Before Christmas – A Viking Story.”

    😉

    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:36:51 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003640983943282950