Author: Curt Doolittle

  • False dichotomy. Both. Germanic > English > American Germany created the city st

    False dichotomy. Both. Germanic > English > American
    Germany created the city state and federation of princedoms. England invented the modern state. America converted it to a written constitution under commonality and concurrency. The founders looked to all countries especially…


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 06:12:08 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870351528483233943

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870340705895305356

  • WHO IS CURRENTLY SUPPLYING OIL TO CHINA? As of December 2024, China sources its

    WHO IS CURRENTLY SUPPLYING OIL TO CHINA?

    As of December 2024, China sources its crude oil from a diverse range of suppliers. The approximate percentages of total imports from key countries are as follows:

    50%:
    Russia: Approximately 15% of China’s crude oil imports originate from Russia. In July 2024, imports from Russia were about 1.76 million barrels per day, reflecting a 7.4% decrease compared to the same period in the previous year.Reuters
    Saudi Arabia: Accounting for around 13% of China’s imports, Saudi Arabia remains a significant supplier. In July 2024, imports from Saudi Arabia increased by 13% year-on-year to 1.51 million barrels per day. Reuters
    Malaysia: Imports from Malaysia have surged, with some estimates suggesting it accounts for over 10% of China’s crude oil imports. Notably, the volume of imports from Malaysia exceeds its total production, indicating that some of this oil may be transshipped from other countries, such as Iran, to circumvent sanctions.U.S. Energy Information Administration
    Iran: Despite sanctions, China continues to import Iranian oil, often through indirect channels. Estimates indicate that Iranian oil constitutes about 13% of China’s imports. However, these imports are subject to fluctuations due to geopolitical factors and enforcement of sanctions.Reuters

    50%:
    Other Suppliers: China also imports oil from countries like Brazil, the United States, and various African nations, each contributing smaller percentages to the overall import portfolio.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 05:26:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870340147474251776

  • As of December 2024, several European Union countries continue to import Russian

    As of December 2024, several European Union countries continue to import Russian oil, primarily through the Druzhba pipeline, which remains operational despite EU sanctions targeting seaborne imports. The main importers are:

    Hungary: Hungary relies significantly on Russian oil delivered via the Druzhba pipeline. Hungarian officials have emphasized the importance of this supply route for the country’s energy security.Reuters

    Slovakia: Slovakia continues to receive Russian crude oil through the southern branch of the Druzhba pipeline, maintaining its energy imports from Russia.

    Czech Republic: The Czech Republic also imports Russian oil via the Druzhba pipeline. Recent reports indicate that oil flow to the Czech Republic through the pipeline resumed after an unexplained shutdown, highlighting ongoing dependence.

    The Druzhba pipeline is one of the world’s largest oil pipeline networks and a key component of the Soviet-era energy infrastructure. It transports crude oil from Russia to several European countries, including members of the European Union.
    Length: The pipeline spans approximately 4,000 kilometers.
    Capacity: The pipeline has an estimated capacity of over 1 million barrels of oil per day.
    It originates in Russia and splits into two branches:
    Northern Branch: Supplies Poland and Germany.
    Southern Branch: Supplies Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 05:12:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870336587369992192

  • THIS ONE: BEING IN CHARGE MEANS DIFFERENT THINGS. I PLAY MERLIN NOT ARTHUR 1) I

    THIS ONE:

    BEING IN CHARGE MEANS DIFFERENT THINGS. I PLAY MERLIN NOT ARTHUR

    1) I am an INTP. I actively seek out INTJ’s to ‘run things’. So I suspect that the possibility of being ‘in charge’ tactically (INTJ) or strategically (INTP) is not something the ordinary folk reading the OP intuit. My ability to absorb and make use of information is better suited to exploiting strategic opportunities(strategy) than seeking operational efficiencies (tactics). This is common for sales-oriented executives.

    2) When I run companies I hire strong operations people to manage daily operations (details). I focus on processes, developing executive talent, expanding the business, doing acquisitions, winning customers, deals, and acquiring (usually stealing) talent. I give almost all control to these people and in particular I don’t ever sign checks, and only sign contracts as a secondary. I prefer a board meeting where every group reports. I use my board and management team. I expect them to falsify my ideas. If I can’t convince them, I don’t do it. If I can, and we get unanimity I do it. That’s sort of a knights of the round-table thing.

    3) I find that smart diligent people can do operations, and that there are many of them. I find daily operations (finance(banks, investors), accounting(ar/ap,payroll), managerial accounting (measurements), contracts, both tedious, boring, and a bad use of my time. I am better at doing what others cannot do nearly as well. That is especially true of training a management team from supernerds, and continuous strategic expansion of the business.

    4) To some degree I run a business as if I am a consultant running continuous strategy sessions. Because, running strategy sessions (business analysis, strategy, operations, and tactics). I evolved a habit of working hard for three months to drive the business strategically involving a lot of people in strategy sessions, and then working lightly and tactically for three months letting the management team ‘take charge’ (learn), then repeating the cycle. I meet with a BIG management team every week, and I consider it a class in operating businesses. I run it like a grad session.

    5) While this model works best for me, there are problems with this method that I have observed repeatedly. (a) the staff grows overconfident as daily management, since they do not realize what I am doing to and with them and this ends up with power struggles. (b) companies seem to always survive my departure, but stagnate and lose their ‘magic’.

    6) So far my only ‘failures’ have been when I am unable to find that operations person, or when the person I do find is overconfident and has bad intuitions. (three times). There is a reason I’ve partnered with the same people over multiple companies. We know our roles. Curt (sales, delivery, talent/ ceo), Jim(operations / president-COO) and steven (customer service/evp).

    7) the problem with being ‘visionary’ to some degree, is that it is almost impossible for people to grok you’re plans, and they will circle to outmaneuver some plans if they understand them. SO this is why I have a reputation somewhere between merlin and the devil.

    I think the reason people like working for me is the “run a company like a grad session” model, with a LOT of participants, while holding decisions to the partners (owners).

    I think the reasons people don’t like working for me are numerous.

    Jul 07, 2018 8:33am

    Reply addressees: @Hail__To_You


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 04:13:23 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870321644767686656

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870317908007825594

  • I have all of them except about 60 days in may-june 2020 or 2021

    I have all of them except about 60 days in may-june 2020 or 2021


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 04:08:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870320475274121710

    Reply addressees: @Hail__To_You

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870317908007825594

  • It’s more akin to typoglycemia – reading whole blocks of text without conscious

    It’s more akin to typoglycemia – reading whole blocks of text without conscious recognition of words or their characters. But in this case it’s just touch-typing and autocorrect that I didn’t notice while on a laptop. 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 03:46:15 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870314816533119023

    Reply addressees: @QEInfinity1 @xaotica @Plinz

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870312364467187769

  • LOW CAUSAL DENSITY: IS THIS RAINING ON THE LLM PARADE? @polynoamial,@BrianRoemme

    LOW CAUSAL DENSITY: IS THIS RAINING ON THE LLM PARADE?
    @polynoamial,@BrianRoemmele
    All the test being used to measure advances in LLMs are low causal density even if high permutability – they’re effectively easy. Yet the AIs can’t manage much of our (my) work without logical collapse -and rapidly, because it’s high in causal density. And while it’s possible for any stem student to practice and certainly teachable to high school students, the LLMs can’t do so whatsoever.
    And that means LLMs can’t test tesifiability(truth) or reciprocity (morality) – meaning anything meaningful, and especially safety in any meaningful durable way.
    The underlying problem is that the LLM tests are measuring OUTSIDE (above and below) the bell curve distribution of causal density.
    The three hard problems of causal density are:
    1) Operationalism (behavior – what our org works on)
    2) Physicality (effectively what Tesla is working on)
    3) Practicality (what no one is working on – cost and viability of physicality)
    Math and Programming are simple paradigms (causal dimensions), grammars (vocabulary) with limited operations (actions, verbs) and referents (variables, nouns) and comparisons (agreements).
    This is a serious question really.
    Training LLMs in operationalism will be time consuming and costly.
    And, it appears we need to deal with it.
    CD


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 03:44:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870314381831254016

  • RT @MeinKapitan: @Blondes_tweets I’d like to once and for all counter the false

    RT @MeinKapitan: @Blondes_tweets

    I’d like to once and for all counter the false narrative that @curtdoolittle pissed his pants.

    People…


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 02:53:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870301609210913009

  • Autocorrect. Joscha != Joshua. Sigh

    Autocorrect. Joscha != Joshua. Sigh.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 02:22:34 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870293756169383965

    Reply addressees: @Plinz

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870286321908146394


    IN REPLY TO:

    Unknown author

    The Soul is Simple: The soul is an accounting system for the self vs others: reciprocity/credit(+) and imposition/debt(-) and the resulting security and mindfulness(+) vs insecurity and fear(-). And that is all it is. And neurologically that’s all it can or need be.

    Humor: Joshua is a proper German – discourse on mind is somehow incomplete without poetry and phenomenalism. We anglos prefer dry scientific and legal prose. 😉
    -Hugs @Plinz 😉

    Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1870286321908146394

  • Awareness: The recognition or knowledge of relevant facts, conditions, or obliga

    Awareness: The recognition or knowledge of relevant facts, conditions, or obligations.

    Responsibility: The obligation to act (or refrain from acting) in a way that prevents harm or fulfills a duty.

    Accountability: The evaluation of whether the individual’s actions aligned with their responsibility.

    Liability: The assignment of consequences when actions cause harm or violate responsibilities.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-12-21 02:05:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1870289343493091328