Ok. I’m off a call. A less quick answer. There are no examples in history where

Ok. I’m off a call.
A less quick answer.
There are no examples in history where these circumstances exist that has not led to internal conflict.
There are no examples in history where these external conditions haven’t lead to external conflict.
Pick which one you think will happen first.
If the external happens first it will delay the internal.
If the internal happens first it will immediately cause the external.
The civil war in the USA will likely be an incremental escalation of local violence to a patter of violence to a breakdown in transport, trade, communications, and government.
I have worked on this problem for a very long time.
The dates vary but by 2032 it’s almost a certainty.
How long, how serious, and what happens after is all random.

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