7) All of us are subject to the same errors in prediction, because we can identi

7) All of us are subject to the same errors in prediction, because we can identify necessary unavoidable trends, but we cannot necessarily judge the minds of few acxtors who really matter. This is why Intel largely consists of obtaining just that info, more than anything else.


Source date (UTC): 2022-01-27 06:03:08 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486580515696226312

Reply addressees: @Nordacus

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486579974802923522


IN REPLY TO:

Unknown author

@Nordacus 6) I know in my own work this is the constant error I make – I am not a good judge of the position of the overton window, so much as knowing where it will end up.
The boad is set, the pieces are in play, acceleration occurred, the end result is obvious, but the path there chaos.

Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1486579974802923522

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