5) Even if most of us (cycle analysts) are correct, the problem is over-following your model as if accelerating shocks don’t come play as black swans. Not swans that change outcomes, but that accelerate or delay the determnistic outcomes.
Source date (UTC): 2022-01-27 05:59:22 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486579566483324929
Reply addressees: @Nordacus
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486579128530788353
IN REPLY TO:
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@Nordacus 4) Again I underestimated the impatience of all parties who see this window of opportunity and the public’s readiness for continued stress during a period where world social and familial reorganization is already established. This is a common problem for we who predict long term.
Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1486579128530788353
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