COVID LOCKDOWN CONSEQUENCES
—“i think people are just sick of it ( not judging not observing) and governments are hesitant to lockdown again”—
Correct.
At some point the people will, in fact, prefer opening the economy, especially because the vector is NARROW: elder care, health care industries, to home transmission, spread thru entertainment(gatherings), and limiting isolation to those groups, combined with criminalization can work.
At present, trait-(dis)agreeablness determines tolerances (genetics). But all tolerance for these conditions has a half-life.
If the duration continues more than another 12-18 months,then:
a) Entertainment will never recover. Neither will education or commercial real estate.
b) Educational reform by conversation to software gaming, esp at the expense of the teacher’s union.
c) University education too is unnecessary dead weight on reproduction and economy, forcing immigration.
d) commercial real estate worthless, and
e) car travel to those locations waste.
Large democratically controlled, immigrant, and underclass cities were already killing the country one city at a time.
But without need for commercial real estate and without the need for wasted commute time, economic concentration in cities will redistribute geographically. all commute will be limited to idustrial production – at least until all industrial production is eliminated by automation.
If risk continues longer (land is with us long term) then this is just a short list of the major consequences. Most of which are GOOD, and will cause necessary and beneficial ecnomic reforms without need for political consensus or political action.
Source date (UTC): 2020-10-28 01:40:25 UTC
Original post: https://gab.com/curtd/posts/105109862800546236
Leave a Reply