I was too conservative because I expected the rates outside of China to be lower

I was too conservative because I expected the rates outside of China to be lower, and they’re coming in the same @ 20% of Spanish Flu’s 10-20% mortality rate, 1% european, 3%+ world population loss. So will cause contraction b/c hospitalization, work disruption, zero inventory. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1232465743729442816