THE AI QUESTION AND THE ANSWER
There are three different stages of Artificial Intelligence we have to discuss:
1) Specific Artificial Intelligence (imitation intelligence)
SAI can perform routine tasks and do so better than people, and is bound by algorithmic limits.
Achieved by sufficient hardware and processing speed, algorithms, and existing software and databases.
vs
2) General Artificial Intelligence (functional intelligence)
GAI can solve problems and make decisions, can be bound by limits and act morally.
Achieved by sufficient hardware, processing speed, algorithms, and I suspect new software and database structures (think video cards and geometry)
vs
3) Conscious Artificial Intelligence (creative intelligence)
CAI can want, hypothesize, identify opportunities, theorize, create, invent, and learn, evolve, transcend, and circumvent limits and morality.
Achieved by what I suspect will require new hardware and embedded software, with new software and database structures (as above)
CONSEQUENCES OF FIRST STAGE AI
There are an awful lot of jobs that are currently done by hand that can be done better and automated.
Certainly accounting, ar/ap/pr will fall to SAI rapidly and first.
Certainly circuit board design and development can be automated.
Certainly assembly of products can be automated and has been.
Certainly packing and shipping are already being automated.
Certainly delivery of goods can be automated.
Certainly food service can be automated.
Certainly forecasting can be automated
Certainly hiring can be automated (and firing) (My product will help with this)
Certainly ad-buying can be automated (easily).
Certainly on the job training for most functions can be automated (My product is built toward that end).
Certainly research can be automated.
Certainly stock purchasing can be automated.
I don’t see organizing people into communities (businesses) being automated for a while.
I don’t see strategic planning at the ceo level being automated for a while.
I don’t see ‘outwitting competition’ as being automated for a while.
I don’t see ‘selling people’ as being automated.
I don’t see ‘serving’ people as being automated.
The growth of the problem will be limited by the cost of financing such equipment versus moving production to cheaper labor than the cost of financing the equipment.
The primary economic problem is this: you have to produce something for a lot of people in order to pay for yourself but you can only serve so many people at a time.
There will be too few ways of getting money in people’s hands to spend.
There will be a ridiculous oversupply of people in the end.
I have been trying to solve this problem for a while now and I think I understand the solution.
Most of what we will do is provide each other with entertainment, and others performing research.
In other words, there will exist a 10% or 20% of the population with employable advantage and the rest of the people will be effectively pets.
Curt Doolittle
The Propertarian Institute
Kiev Ukraine
Source date (UTC): 2017-07-26 19:02:00 UTC
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