Rudyard also, as an honest public intellectual, takes the risk of prediction by

Rudyard also, as an honest public intellectual, takes the risk of prediction by stating that by predicting he’s “betting against god”. Meaning that this kind of thing is very hard to predict because of the causal density.
That said if you study history (he has, I have) there are very predictable trends (he lists them), and that he’s almost never directionally wrong.
And so I ask people try to remember his job. It’s to point out dangers so that we act to avoid them. It’s not to pretend the dangers don’t exist and assume we will.