I do not see the future as deterministically – other than the obvious large scal

I do not see the future as deterministically – other than the obvious large scale demographic economic and strategic trends that are all but inescapable – the short and medium term outcome of this ‘world restructuring’ is very hard to predict. There is just too much causal density and too many variables. Would you have imagined that Trump could cause China to replace Xi Jinping and cause the chinese to change strategy in just months? That never occurred to me. Do you see how trump got Europe to take responsibility for Ukraine, while treating Putin with some degree of respect? I mean, this nonsense was almost impossible to forecast – because we tend to extrapolate too few variables with too much confidence when there are other opportunities that can be exploited by novel strategies.