RUSSIA-UKRAINE DEAL? Russia (RU) perceives a need for the two eastern provinces

RUSSIA-UKRAINE DEAL?
Russia (RU) perceives a need for the two eastern provinces of Luhansk and Donetsk where they have control – and they don’t need what they limited control over in the southern of Zaporizhia and Kherson which are Ukraine’s (UA) coastal ports and some of their best growing regions. And of course RU will fight hard for Crimea because it’s their only warm water port, and it gives them access to the oil regions in the black sea, preventing Ukraine from accessing them. Strategically UA can’t give up the southern provinces and allow RU to seize a future opportunity to take the Odessa region, and attempt to seize moldova – making Ukraine geologically bound and prohibited from shipping lanes.
I would offer Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea and return Zaporizhia and Kherson. This would maintain RU dependence on the bridge to Crimea, but it would maintain UA access to the seas which it needs to export it’s agricultural and manufacturing products (the food that feeds a lot of people).
IMO Trump is just trying to get Europe to pay their way. And in particular, to force germany to follow France and England, and now Poland into full armament including nuclear armament and nuclear power.
I have a vague idea of what Trump will offer to RU, and it could include very different and more expansive strategy than is not stated in the media. He might even offer them full integration, which is what they require for their survival.

CD


Source date (UTC): 2024-11-23 19:04:31 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1860399043450667011

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