Mostly I follow other think tanks, in particular Rand et al. I read their white

Mostly I follow other think tanks, in particular Rand et al. I read their white papers and watch their videos. The thing about zeihan is that he says in fifteen minutes to an hour what they say in hours and hours. 😉 And while Peter does have a bias, it’s obvious. But he gets paid by the private sector. A lot of the other think tanks are paid by the public sector or those who are contractors for it. It’s often a bit harder to disentangle their biases.
Now, peter works from LIMITS (limits based reasoning). And over the long haul this is pretty much the best strategy. However, what he doesn’t use, because he can’t (often), is the political will of different polities to pay costs that western countries won’t and can’t pay – the primary problem with democracies at war, or under duress.
Once you grasp who pays him, the data he uses, the logical reasoning he uses, and the one weakness I see that is consistent (durability of political groups at the extremes), then he’s pretty easy to interpret and he’s relatively accurate – as accurate is possible when you’re predicting the future.

@PeterZeihan

Reply addressees: @partymember55


Source date (UTC): 2024-10-19 00:44:12 UTC

Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1847438565632069635

Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1847393757236204020

Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *