(NLI) Revolutions. I have used this vacation to prepare for the presentation on

(NLI)
Revolutions.
I have used this vacation to prepare for the presentation on the course and conduct of a revolution. (“making it real for people.”)
After reviewing every strategy ever used over the past two hundred years, with emphasis on degree of institutional development, ethnic diversity, ideological competition, and the many other factors involved, I’m more convinced than ever that my strategy is not only viable but is a trap from which the state cannot escape.
The entirety of the problem will be keeping the factions from fragmenting – and I see solving this problem of as the central preparatory groundwork after we complete and publish the set of demands.
I am not counting on a trigger event. We are going through a period where a trigger event might occur. That trigger event would not only agitate the populace but encourage foreign actors to support that trigger.
But that said I do not see how it will be possible to take advantage of a trigger event by organized means – we are two years behind in our strategy to do so. So risk factors are rather terrifying.
So I suspect that the result of any trigger event will not produce the desired outcome at scale but will merely advance the likelihood of successful “elite replacement” on our predicted timeline (which is evolving into consensus opinion among those who study such things.)
If on the other hand for example T is elected, and there is a counter-reaction. Or T is not elected and the govt is considered more illegitimate than today, and especially if the new administration attempts something intolerable, then organic pressures will escalate, and organic consequences emerge.
I do not see much hope of influencing, guiding, or controlling this process given our degree of maturity. We need two years.
That said, with two years I am confident of success.

CD
ps: (I need set aside road trip think-time more often.)