RUSSIA IS HEADING INTO BECOMING A NORTH KOREA? (Worth Repeating) The Eight Possi

RUSSIA IS HEADING INTO BECOMING A NORTH KOREA?
(Worth Repeating)

The Eight Possible Futures for Russia
… 1) Repeat France (Good): absolutist, big bureaucracy, bloody revolutionary tradition, threatening neighbors, into settling down into not threatening your neighbors. (though france still is, just softly)

… 2) Authoritarian Leader, don’t threaten your neighbors (solve the ukraine problem, not the russia problem). Because trying to threaten neighbors is a losing game.

… 3) Chinese Puppet Regime. Stalin vs Mao, reversed. A partner to be anti western to protect the CCP against the west. (Catastrophic for russia as well as the west)

… 4) The Biggest North Korea we’ve ever seen. Isolated, disconnected from the international system, incentivized for mischief across the board. A semi-puppet regime for china but russia constantly troubles china. (This is the current pathway. (CD: I AGREE))

… 5) Anarchy and Collapse.

… 6) This current tragedy continues for decades

… 7) Apparently, a democratic Russia is off the table? Even with the Marshall Plan Times Ten? I don’t think so.

… 8) We have no idea. 😉

via Kotkin.