Great Powers Go Thru Cycles … from which we can learn the cause and effect rel

Great Powers Go Thru Cycles … from which we can learn the cause and effect relationships, that combine to produce radical reorganization of international relations.
1. Fragility: Extraordinary Debt Requires regularity, without which the order cannot be maintained.
2. Internal Conflict: Internal Discord resulting from any variety of causeas most importantly asymmetries in interests.
3. External Conflict: Rise of Competitive Powers
4. Disruption: Techological Innovation, esp. that gives rise to competitive powers.
5. Destruction: Acts of nature: droughts, floods and pandemics
–Raly Dalio