History doesn’t matter other than to inform the present. Peter uses constraint-based reasoning and reasons backward from there. It’s the most empirical method of predicting. And, he’s got the advantage of a dominant pair of HARD constraints: trade and population to reason from.
Source date (UTC): 2023-01-12 18:01:40 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1613597090076299264
Reply addressees: @pizerhall @DanAnde23836316 @Cyclical_invest @MadiHilly @ShellenbergerMD @PeterZeihan
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1613579287080349696
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